For the next few days, there is an increased risk of a large-scale combined missile attack on Ukraine.
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AMK Mapping
For the next few days, there is an increased risk of a large-scale combined missile attack on Ukraine.
Probably tomorrow
AMK Mapping
Probably tomorrow
Tu-95MS and Tu-160 strategic bombers are mostly ready.
MiG-31Ks are being prepared.
Tu-22M3 bombers are being prepared.
Iskanders are ready.
Black Sea fleet has been quiet for a while, so I wouldn’t rule Kalibrs out either.
MiG-31Ks are being prepared.
Tu-22M3 bombers are being prepared.
Iskanders are ready.
Black Sea fleet has been quiet for a while, so I wouldn’t rule Kalibrs out either.
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Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast is under a large-scale Russian Geran-2 drone attack. ~15 drones are involved.
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Low resolution sentinel satellite imagery shows two clear impact sites from the Kinzhal missile strikes on Starokostiantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast yesterday.
Image credit: t.iss.one/zoka200/38427
Image credit: t.iss.one/zoka200/38427
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Russian forces have captured the village of Voskresenka, Prosyana Direction, Donetsk Oblast.
Pre-war population: ~532.
Total land area: ~1.54km².
Pre-war population: ~532.
Total land area: ~1.54km².
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AMK Mapping
For the next few days, there is an increased risk of a large-scale combined missile attack on Ukraine.
Regarding the next combined missile attack on Ukraine, which will probably take place in the very early hours of tomorrow morning (Kyiv time).
According to available information, 5-6 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-160 strategic bombers have been equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. The 2 Tu-160s and 3 of the 6 Tu-95s are at Engels-2 Airbase (Saratov Oblast), while the other 3 Tu-95s are at Olenya Airbase (Murmansk Oblast).
Additionally, 4-6 Tu-22M3 strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles, and ready for use. They are all stationed at Olenya Airbase, and one of these is the one which launched a missile strike on Mykolaiv City a few days ago. Extremely high levels of Tu-22M3 movement have been recorded over the past 4 days.
5 MiG-31Ks are also equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, 3 of which are stationed at Savasleika Airbase (Nizhny Novgorod Oblast) and 2 of which are at Akhtubinsk Airbase (Astrakhan Oblast). Not all of these are likely to be used in tomorrow's attack, but the 3 at Savasleika are likely contenders.
Furthermore, 3 surface carriers and 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" project are apparently equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, although this information is not confirmed.
As for drones, more than 250 Geran-2 drones have been accumulated for launches from several launch locations from multiple directions. Not many were launched today, so tomorrow's numbers are expected to be much larger.
According to available information, 5-6 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-160 strategic bombers have been equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. The 2 Tu-160s and 3 of the 6 Tu-95s are at Engels-2 Airbase (Saratov Oblast), while the other 3 Tu-95s are at Olenya Airbase (Murmansk Oblast).
Additionally, 4-6 Tu-22M3 strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles, and ready for use. They are all stationed at Olenya Airbase, and one of these is the one which launched a missile strike on Mykolaiv City a few days ago. Extremely high levels of Tu-22M3 movement have been recorded over the past 4 days.
5 MiG-31Ks are also equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, 3 of which are stationed at Savasleika Airbase (Nizhny Novgorod Oblast) and 2 of which are at Akhtubinsk Airbase (Astrakhan Oblast). Not all of these are likely to be used in tomorrow's attack, but the 3 at Savasleika are likely contenders.
Furthermore, 3 surface carriers and 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" project are apparently equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, although this information is not confirmed.
As for drones, more than 250 Geran-2 drones have been accumulated for launches from several launch locations from multiple directions. Not many were launched today, so tomorrow's numbers are expected to be much larger.
Report on Russian air activity from 9am 4/8/25 - 9am 5/8/25 (Kyiv Time):
Overview:
The following was used by Russia:
2 Kinzhal Hypersonic Aeroballistic missiles.
2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
19+ Long-range reconnaissance UAVs.
70+ Geran-2/Geran-3/Gerbera drones (mostly Gerbera).
Targeted settlements:
Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast (2 Kinzhals).
Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast (3 waves of Geran-2 drones)
Other targeted areas:
Sakhnovshchyna area, Kharkiv Oblast.
Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi area, Odesa Oblast.
Strategic Aviation Activity:
2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast.
2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.
5 Tu-22M3s redeployed from Engels-2 to Olenya.
MiG-31K activity:
Combat flights of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.
Training of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase.
Redeployment of 1 MiG-31K from Savasleika Airbase to an unknown airbase in the far east.
Military Transport and Tanker aircraft activity:
3x IL-76MD flights to Rostov-on-Don Airbase, Rostov Oblast.
2x An-12 flights to Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast.
1x IL-76MD flight to Saky Airbase, Crimea
1x IL-76MD flight to Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast.
The cargo consists of Geran-2/Gerbera drones, and possibly Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Long-range reconnaissance drone activity:
Long-range recon drones were recorded in the following regions:
Sumy Oblast.
Chernihiv Oblast.
Odesa Oblast.
Donetsk Oblast.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Kharkiv Oblast.
KAB/FAB Glide-bomb targets (cities only):
Pokrovsk/Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast.
Lyman, Donetsk Oblast.
Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast.
Hulyaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Kherson City, Kherson Oblast.
Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast.
Iskander-M activity:
N/A
Geran-2/Geran-3/Gerbera drone launch locations:
3x from Tsumbolova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
3x from Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
2x Navlya Testing Ground, Bryansk Oblast.
1x from Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast.
1x from Cape Chauda, Crimea.
Black Sea Fleet Activity:
N/A
Note: The map and information provided is not 100% accurate and is based mostly on OSINT reports and analyses. There is a margin of error, so it should not be viewed as perfect. Additionally, some data on the map is generalised, as stated in the legend. It also does not include less significant weapons such as MLRS, short-range UAVs, and KAB glide-bombs (unless they hit major population centres).
You can find the full resolution map here: https://ibb.co/qL7tdPcb
Overview:
The following was used by Russia:
2 Kinzhal Hypersonic Aeroballistic missiles.
2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
19+ Long-range reconnaissance UAVs.
70+ Geran-2/Geran-3/Gerbera drones (mostly Gerbera).
Targeted settlements:
Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast (2 Kinzhals).
Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast (3 waves of Geran-2 drones)
Other targeted areas:
Sakhnovshchyna area, Kharkiv Oblast.
Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi area, Odesa Oblast.
Strategic Aviation Activity:
2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast.
2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.
5 Tu-22M3s redeployed from Engels-2 to Olenya.
MiG-31K activity:
Combat flights of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.
Training of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase.
Redeployment of 1 MiG-31K from Savasleika Airbase to an unknown airbase in the far east.
Military Transport and Tanker aircraft activity:
3x IL-76MD flights to Rostov-on-Don Airbase, Rostov Oblast.
2x An-12 flights to Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast.
1x IL-76MD flight to Saky Airbase, Crimea
1x IL-76MD flight to Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast.
The cargo consists of Geran-2/Gerbera drones, and possibly Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
Long-range reconnaissance drone activity:
Long-range recon drones were recorded in the following regions:
Sumy Oblast.
Chernihiv Oblast.
Odesa Oblast.
Donetsk Oblast.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Kharkiv Oblast.
KAB/FAB Glide-bomb targets (cities only):
Pokrovsk/Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast.
Lyman, Donetsk Oblast.
Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast.
Hulyaipole, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Kherson City, Kherson Oblast.
Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast.
Iskander-M activity:
N/A
Geran-2/Geran-3/Gerbera drone launch locations:
3x from Tsumbolova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
3x from Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
2x Navlya Testing Ground, Bryansk Oblast.
1x from Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast.
1x from Cape Chauda, Crimea.
Black Sea Fleet Activity:
N/A
Note: The map and information provided is not 100% accurate and is based mostly on OSINT reports and analyses. There is a margin of error, so it should not be viewed as perfect. Additionally, some data on the map is generalised, as stated in the legend. It also does not include less significant weapons such as MLRS, short-range UAVs, and KAB glide-bombs (unless they hit major population centres).
You can find the full resolution map here: https://ibb.co/qL7tdPcb
AMK Mapping
Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast is under a large-scale Russian Geran-2 drone attack. ~15 drones are involved.
Last night, a large-scale Russian Geran-2 drone attack was carried out on the city of Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast.
The target was the city's train station, with approximately 20 drones attacking in two main waves, flying in and impacting one after another. They targeted several different parts of the station area, resulting in several large fires breaking out.
As seen in the photos, significant damage was sustained. Lozova is a critical logistical hub for Ukraine, with a significant portion of supplies to Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, flowing through the city.
The target was the city's train station, with approximately 20 drones attacking in two main waves, flying in and impacting one after another. They targeted several different parts of the station area, resulting in several large fires breaking out.
As seen in the photos, significant damage was sustained. Lozova is a critical logistical hub for Ukraine, with a significant portion of supplies to Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, flowing through the city.
AMK Mapping
Last night, a large-scale Russian Geran-2 drone attack was carried out on the city of Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast. The target was the city's train station, with approximately 20 drones attacking in two main waves, flying in and impacting one after another. They…
Some additional photos of damage at the scene. The main train station building sustained significant damage.