High threat of ballistic launches

6 Kh-101s, 3 in each group and all in Poltava Oblast. No changes to their movements.

Kh-101 group 1 changes course to Cherkasy City. Western course.

Group 1 is gaining speed

All Tu-95s are returning to Olenya Airbase. No new launch maneuvers.

Group 1 changes course to the south, moving away from Cherkasy city.

Also ~45 Gerans remain in the airspace.

Kh-101 group 1 flies southwest to Uman, Cherkasy Oblast.

Kh-101 group 2 flies southeast to Kamianske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Another launch maneuver was carried out by the Tu-95s on their return flight through Astrakhan Oblast.

Possible Iskander on Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast.

Correction: This is a Kh-59 launched by a Su-34 from over Belgorod Oblast.

Explosion in Bilyi Kolodyaz, Kharkiv Oblast.

Both groups of Kh-101s have since flown to Bila Tserkva district of Kyiv Oblast.

Kh-101 group 1 flies to Tarashcha, Kyiv Oblast.

Group 2 flies on a similar course.

Kh-101 group 1 flies south of Bila Tserkva towards Volodarka.

No news from group 2.

The missiles will likely fly to Starokostyantyniv / the airbase there

Kh-101 group 1 flies west to Vinnytsia Oblast.

Group 2 roughly follows the first group, and is flying to Tarashcha, Kyiv Oblast.

~41 Gerans remain. Most targeting Starokostyantyniv

Kh-101 group 1 flies southwest to Vinnytsia City. It will probably change course to the west shortly.

Group 2 approaches Tarashcha, Kyiv Oblast.

Repeated explosions are heard in Starokostyantyniv from Gerans. The level of air defence activity is insane, there must've been some new units deployed there.

4 Tu-95s departed from Engels-2 Airbase. Possible redeployment to Olenya.

Kh-101 group 1 changes course to the west, flying to Starokostyantyniv.

Group 2 follows from behind.