☢️ The first nuclear tests took place in the United States in July 1945. Thus began the era of nuclear weapons.

Such tests may serve different purposes. Since nuclear weapons are the most powerful weapons ever invented by mankind, it is necessary to imagine all the possible consequences.

We created an infographic on nuclear tests.

#valdai_infogaphics #NuclearWeapons

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🌐 In the G20, we have a very clearly consolidated bloc of countries of the political West, and, on the other hand, the consolidation of the global Non-West is far from optimal.

Let’s hope that the current Brazilian presidency of the G20 will be able to correct this situation, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Oleg Barabanov.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-role-of-the-g20-in-the-development-of-a-multip/

#GlobalAlternatives #G20

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🎥 LIVE: at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host the presentation of its new report, “Charting the 2040: Younger Generation Insight on the World in the Making”, timed to coincide with the Club’s Youth Conference as part of the World Youth Festival.

https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239175

#ValdaiYouth #valdai_report

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🗣 On February 28, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted the presentation of its new report, “Charting the 2040: Younger Generation Insight on the World in the Making”, timed to coincide with the Club’s Youth Conference as part of the World Youth Festival.

📷 Photo gallery

🎥 If you missed the live broadcast, follow this link to watch the video.

#Valdai_NewGeneration #ValdaiYouth #valdai_report

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🌐 From 'Global Disorder' to Multipolarity

On February 28, 2024, the Valdai Club presented a new report titled “Charting the 2040: Younger Generation Insight on the World in the Making”, timed to coincide with the Club’s Youth Conference on the sidelines of the World Youth Festival in Sochi. The moderator of the discussion was Andrey Sushentsov, programme director of the Valdai Club. 

💬 Nikita Neklyudov, Lecturer at the Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems at MGIMO University, spoke about the creation of the report and listed its main provisions. The report is based on a series of brainstorming sessions which focused on a number of key trends. These include issues such as future transformations of state sovereignty, the global economy and the architecture of globalisation, as well as prospects for technological development and the future of economic blocs and international institutions.

💬 Adlan Margoev, Lecturer at the Department of Oriental Studies at MGIMO University, outlined the authors’ views on the development of the international order. After World War II, the parade of sovereignties began. The new states sought to play an active role, including through international cooperation. This was combined with the search for some kind of universal model for the whole world. As a result, a bipolar system emerged, complemented by the Non-Aligned Movement. With the collapse of the socialist bloc, a vacuum was created, which was quickly filled by the liberal capitalist system. Against this background, some states willingly delegated their sovereignty, and as a result, the “global empire scenario” (unipolar moment) was realised. However, a series of crises pushed the most active states to seek support within themselves, which gave rise to a “scenario of global disorder.” The logical way out of this situation is to strengthen the role of those states that are ready to convert national resources into influence in the international arena. As a result, a group of such states will be able to form a multipolar world with new rules, norms and values.

💬 Sophia Datta, a Master’s Student at Johns Hopkins University and at Tsinghua University, noted that in a multipolar world, the United States, Russia and China will determine the international order together with such emerging players as India, Brazil and Iran, but this does not negate the need for dialogue between all countries. Common challenges, particularly pandemics and climate change, have demonstrated that despite ideological differences, states must cooperate for the benefit of all humanity and engage in a multilateral dialogue.

💬 “To describe the world in a certain period of time, you need to find out what its structure is—how many poles and what is the balance between them,” said Tian Kang, a PhD Student at Tsinghua University’s Faculty of International Relations, discussing methodological issues. According to Kang, changing the structure of the world and the balance between the poles is always associated with an increase in violence, and this should not be forgotten. That is why it is in the interests of leading countries to find an opportunity to agree on common rules of the game and achieve stability.

💬 The presentation of the new report was concluded by Timofey Bordachev, head of the “Valdai – New Generation” project. This is a new project of the Club for those who are interested in conducting research together, participating in Valdai Club conferences, working in regional programmes, that is, becoming participants in a broad international creative process. A competition for participation in this project will be announced during the Valdai Club events at the World Youth Festival in Sochi.  

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/from-global-disorder-to-multipolarity/

📍 More information about the Valdai’s New Generation project can be found here. 

#Valdai_NewGeneration #ValdaiYouth #valdai_report

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⏰ TODAY at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States.

❓Will the elections affect the US foreign policy?
❓Will relations with China change?
❓What will the relationship look like with NATO allies?
❓Will the position on the Iran nuclear deal change?
❓Finally, what will be the policy towards Russia?

Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.

The link to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, X (formerly Twitter), VK, Telegram and Dzen. 

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

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🎥 LIVE: at 16:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), we are starting an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States.

https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239174

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

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🗣 On February 29, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States.

📷 Photo gallery

🎥 If you missed the live broadcast of the discussion, watch the video via this link.

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🇺🇸 Who Should We Root For in the American Elections?

On February 29, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the upcoming presidential elections in the United States. 

💬 Ivan Timofeev, the moderator of the discussion, emphasised that the American elections attract great attention in Russia, regardless of the state of bilateral relations. “Elections in America are often perceived as some kind of championship in which you need to root for one of the candidates,” Timofeev noted, calling for such an approach to be avoided. He said we shouldn’t consider the candidates pro-Russian and anti-Russian, or take everything that is heard during public debates seriously. He called the future elections atypical due to the fact that both main candidates are in a relatively vulnerable position and, moreover, this time foreign policy and domestic policy problems have converged.

💬 Robert Legvold, Marshall D. Shulman Professor Emeritus at Columbia University, and Director of the Euro-Atlantic Security Initiative, pointed out that the outcome of the elections is still practically unpredictable. A lot will depend on the swing states. Also, there is the possibility that one of the main candidates will withdraw his candidacy. Speaking about how events will develop if Donald Trump wins, Legvold suggested that “Trump 2.0” may turn out to be more conservative than in the first term, but radical steps, primarily regarding migrants and the supposed “deep state”, cannot be excluded. In foreign policy, the United States under Trump will be less committed to cooperation with allies and global institutions and less concerned about the Ukrainian conflict and the Taiwan issue. In relation to Russia, policy in general is unlikely to change. However, for Russia, President Trump may be somewhat preferable, since he will probably concentrate more on domestic issues. Relations with China will continue to move towards a Cold War, but a war over Taiwan is unlikely in the near future.

💬 Dmitry Trenin, research professor at the Higher School of Economics and leading researcher at IMEMO RAS, noted that for Russia, the result of these elections is much less important than ever, since the opportunities for constructive relations with the United States are minimal. In essence, their agenda boils down to preventing a nuclear war; he emphasized that the world is on the brink of this worst-case scenario, as well as a major war in Europe. Moreover, in fact, Russia and the United States have found themselves in a state of proxy war. The decades-old paradigm of Russian-American relations, which presupposed a combination of cooperation and competition, is a matter of the past; relations have become openly hostile, and their very foundation has collapsed. Trenin, citing the words of President Putin, pointed to the possibility that in the current conditions, Russia may prefer the candidacy of Joseph Biden as a more predictable player. The expert also added that the American elections in Russia are viewed with interest, but as a kind of entertainment, without any expectations that the situation could improve.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/who-should-we-root-for-in-the-american-elections/

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity #UnitedStates #elections

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🧊 The Arctic is becoming one of the centres of international relations due to the dynamic changes taking place in the region.

The Arctic region has long been a subject of interest, primarily among the eight Arctic states — the United States of America, Canada, Denmark, Iceland, Norway, Russia, Finland and Sweden. However, in recent years, non-Arctic states, primarily India and China, have increasingly been paying attention to this region.

The Arctic region is so attractive because it has significant oil and gas reserves, estimated at up to 90 billion barrels of oil and 1.7 trillion cubic meters of natural gas. These resources are becoming increasingly important as global energy demand increases. In addition to oil and gas, the Arctic also provides opportunities for infrastructure development, mining and tourism.

The region has an extensive transport network, including one of the most promising shipping routes — the Northern Sea Route, which is currently actively developing. As the Arctic ice melts, it is attracting the attention of an increasing number of international actors. As a result, the diversification of international logistics is leading to the construction of new ports and pipelines, and the region’s mineral resources, including rare earth metals and diamonds, are opening up opportunities for investment in the mining industry.

The Arctic and Eurasia are closely interconnected, since, on the one hand, the key participants in international interaction in the Arctic region historically have been countries geographically located on the Eurasian continent, and, on the other hand, the Arctic itself is of great importance for ensuring the security and well-being of the Eurasian powers, Irina Strelnikova writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/the-eurasian-aspect-of-arctic-cooperation/

#GreaterEurasia #Eurasia #Arctic

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