π‘π° It is not yet clear what will replace the post-Cold War order in Europe.
πΉ Russia professes an increasing turn toward Eurasia; the most recent Russian national security strategy barely mentions Europe.
πΉ The US has identified China as its major rival and security challenge in the foreseeable future, and seeks to enlist Europe in this effort.
πΉ The EU is still adjusting to the loss of a major member state and contributing economy, while also deliberating its future security and defense capabilities and posture, given a possible reduction in American involvement in Europe.
πΉ The OSCE is preparing to celebrate its fiftieth anniversary in 2025, but it remains unclear whether any of the major participating states is prepared to use the Organization as a forum or instrument for anything truly important.
So, what will the emerging European security order look like? Writes William Hill, Global Fellow at Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies.
π The Post-Cold War European Security Order Is Gone:ο»Ώ What Will Replace It?
#Conflict_and_Leadership #Europe #ColdWar #security #NATO #OSCE
π· Β©Reuters
@valdai_club β The Valdai Discussion Club
πΉ Russia professes an increasing turn toward Eurasia; the most recent Russian national security strategy barely mentions Europe.
πΉ The US has identified China as its major rival and security challenge in the foreseeable future, and seeks to enlist Europe in this effort.
πΉ The EU is still adjusting to the loss of a major member state and contributing economy, while also deliberating its future security and defense capabilities and posture, given a possible reduction in American involvement in Europe.
πΉ The OSCE is preparing to celebrate its fiftieth anniversary in 2025, but it remains unclear whether any of the major participating states is prepared to use the Organization as a forum or instrument for anything truly important.
So, what will the emerging European security order look like? Writes William Hill, Global Fellow at Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies.
π The Post-Cold War European Security Order Is Gone:ο»Ώ What Will Replace It?
#Conflict_and_Leadership #Europe #ColdWar #security #NATO #OSCE
π· Β©Reuters
@valdai_club β The Valdai Discussion Club
Valdai Club
The Post-Cold War European Security Order Is Gone:ο»Ώ What Will Replace It?
Thirty years have passed since the end of the Cold War. The fall of the Berlin Wall, the end of the armed standoff between East and West in Europe, and the collapse of the Soviet Union brought high hopes. The new post-Cold War political and security orderβ¦
π ANNOUNCEMENT: On December 1 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov @MFARussia.
The 30th OSCE Ministerial Council is taking place from November 30 to December 1 in the capital of North Macedonia, which currently chairs the OSCE. Last year, during the Polish presidency, Sergey Lavrov was unable to take part in the meeting of foreign ministers, since most European countries, including Poland, had banned flights from Russia.
Today the Russian leadership is concerned about the state of affairs in the OSCE. The organisation, according to Alexander Lukashevich, the Russian permanent representative to the OSCE, is struggling for survival. Apart from to personnel and financial issues, the selection of the chairman for 2024 remains the most important problem. Russia is not ready to consider NATO countries for this role. They, in turn, accuse Russia of blocking the work of the Organisation.
Nevertheless, everyone is aware of the importance of holding a full-fledged CMFA meeting. This year, North Macedonia invited Russia to a meeting in its capital, although a number of countries announced a boycott.
βWill the participation of the Russian Foreign Minister in the OSCE Ministerial Council be a step towards rethinking European policy towards Russia?
βWhat is the Russian role in the organisation today?
βHow did the process of selecting candidates for the chairmanship transpire?
βIs a consensus possible?
βWhat can we expect from the OSCE next year?
Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
ποΈ Speakers:
π£ Fyodor Lukyanov, Research Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
π·πΊ Dmitry Suslov, Deputy Director and Research Fellow at the Scientific and Educational Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies, Faculty of World Economy and International Politics, National Research University Higher School of Economics
πͺπͺ Rein MΓΌllerson, honorary professor at Tallinn University (Estonia)
Moderator:
π£ Oleg Barabanov, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club
https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-results-of-the-osce-ministerial-council-in-skopje/
Working languages: Russian, English.
βΉοΈ Information for the media: Dear journalists, to be accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our website. If you have any questions about the event, call +79269307763.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on the on the website, VKontakte, Telegram and Dzen.
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
π£ π£ π£
The 30th OSCE Ministerial Council is taking place from November 30 to December 1 in the capital of North Macedonia, which currently chairs the OSCE. Last year, during the Polish presidency, Sergey Lavrov was unable to take part in the meeting of foreign ministers, since most European countries, including Poland, had banned flights from Russia.
Today the Russian leadership is concerned about the state of affairs in the OSCE. The organisation, according to Alexander Lukashevich, the Russian permanent representative to the OSCE, is struggling for survival. Apart from to personnel and financial issues, the selection of the chairman for 2024 remains the most important problem. Russia is not ready to consider NATO countries for this role. They, in turn, accuse Russia of blocking the work of the Organisation.
Nevertheless, everyone is aware of the importance of holding a full-fledged CMFA meeting. This year, North Macedonia invited Russia to a meeting in its capital, although a number of countries announced a boycott.
βWill the participation of the Russian Foreign Minister in the OSCE Ministerial Council be a step towards rethinking European policy towards Russia?
βWhat is the Russian role in the organisation today?
βHow did the process of selecting candidates for the chairmanship transpire?
βIs a consensus possible?
βWhat can we expect from the OSCE next year?
Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
ποΈ Speakers:
π·πΊ Dmitry Suslov, Deputy Director and Research Fellow at the Scientific and Educational Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies, Faculty of World Economy and International Politics, National Research University Higher School of Economics
πͺπͺ Rein MΓΌllerson, honorary professor at Tallinn University (Estonia)
Moderator:
https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-the-results-of-the-osce-ministerial-council-in-skopje/
Working languages: Russian, English.
βΉοΈ Information for the media: Dear journalists, to be accredited for the event, please fill out the form on our website. If you have any questions about the event, call +79269307763.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on the on the website, VKontakte, Telegram and Dzen.
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
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Valdai Club
Valdai Club to Discuss the Results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje
On December 1 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
β° TODAY at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
βWill the participation of the Russian Foreign Minister in the OSCE Ministerial Council be a step towards rethinking European policy towards Russia?
βWhat is the Russian role in the organisation today?
βHow did the process of selecting candidates for the chairmanship transpire?
βIs a consensus possible?
βWhat can we expect from the OSCE next year?
Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on the on the website, VKontakte, Telegram and Dzen.
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
π£ π£ π£
βWill the participation of the Russian Foreign Minister in the OSCE Ministerial Council be a step towards rethinking European policy towards Russia?
βWhat is the Russian role in the organisation today?
βHow did the process of selecting candidates for the chairmanship transpire?
βIs a consensus possible?
βWhat can we expect from the OSCE next year?
Participants in the discussion will try to answer these and other questions.
Links to the live broadcast of the discussion will be posted on the on the website, VKontakte, Telegram and Dzen.
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
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UPD: The livestream is over. The video of the discussion is available via the same link. Stay tuned!
π₯ LIVE: at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), we are starting an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239153
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
π£ π£ π£
https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239153
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
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Valdai Club to Discuss the Results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje
On December 1 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the OSCE Ministerial Council in Skopje with the participation of Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. More: https://valdaiclub.com/eβ¦
π OSCE on Artificial Life Support or a Return to the CSCE?
On December 1, 2023, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) summit in Skopje. Moderator Oleg Barabanov invited participants to discuss the present and future of the OSCE in the context of the prospects for European security as a whole.
π¬ Dmitry Suslov, Deputy Director of the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the Faculty of World Economy and International Politics at the Higher School of Economics, suggested that the OSCE would exist βon artificial life supportβ for some time, but in its current form it is doomed. The only chance for its salvation in the medium-term is a return to the format of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe and the liquidation of those institutions that were created after the Cold War and are under the full control of the West. The new CSCE should become a platform for dialogue between Russia and the collective West and for developing a new modus vivendi in the conditions of inevitable long-term confrontation, an arms race and the threat of a big war, he believes. However, this requires political will, which is completely absent so far.
π¬ Fyodor Lukyanov, research director of the Valdai Discussion Club, called a return to the CSCE unlikely, since political conditions have radically changed. The CSCE was created in conditions of lasting peace to fix the existing balance of power and interests. Now there is no balance, there is no status quo, and probably no one can establish them. An important question, according to Lukyanov, is what European security is today, when European countries have ceased to be actors in this area. Many people talk about the need to transform the pan-European security system into a pan-Eurasian one, but this is hardly possible. In addition, the βcentralityβ of events taking place in Europe or Eurasia as a whole is inessential. Lukyanov believes that the OSCE is unlikely to disappear, but it is difficult to say what the meaning of its existence will be.
π¬ Rein MΓΌllerson, Professor Emeritus of Tallinn University, admitted that he has βmourning premonitionsβ regarding the OSCE. However, international organisations often continue to exist even when they have exhausted their functions. Back in the nineties, the OSCE was a βone-way streetβ and influenced only Eastern Europe and Russia, and Western countries did not pay attention to it. Now, even the opportunity to establish contacts and exchange information is not used. The organisation has turned into a platform for communication between like-minded people, but without any practical benefit. However, it will most likely exist for a long time, even if its efficiency is not even zero, but negative, Mullerson concluded.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/osce-on-artificial-life-support-or-a-return-to-the-csce/
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
π£ π£ π£
On December 1, 2023, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) summit in Skopje. Moderator Oleg Barabanov invited participants to discuss the present and future of the OSCE in the context of the prospects for European security as a whole.
π¬ Dmitry Suslov, Deputy Director of the Centre for Comprehensive European and International Studies at the Faculty of World Economy and International Politics at the Higher School of Economics, suggested that the OSCE would exist βon artificial life supportβ for some time, but in its current form it is doomed. The only chance for its salvation in the medium-term is a return to the format of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe and the liquidation of those institutions that were created after the Cold War and are under the full control of the West. The new CSCE should become a platform for dialogue between Russia and the collective West and for developing a new modus vivendi in the conditions of inevitable long-term confrontation, an arms race and the threat of a big war, he believes. However, this requires political will, which is completely absent so far.
π¬ Fyodor Lukyanov, research director of the Valdai Discussion Club, called a return to the CSCE unlikely, since political conditions have radically changed. The CSCE was created in conditions of lasting peace to fix the existing balance of power and interests. Now there is no balance, there is no status quo, and probably no one can establish them. An important question, according to Lukyanov, is what European security is today, when European countries have ceased to be actors in this area. Many people talk about the need to transform the pan-European security system into a pan-Eurasian one, but this is hardly possible. In addition, the βcentralityβ of events taking place in Europe or Eurasia as a whole is inessential. Lukyanov believes that the OSCE is unlikely to disappear, but it is difficult to say what the meaning of its existence will be.
π¬ Rein MΓΌllerson, Professor Emeritus of Tallinn University, admitted that he has βmourning premonitionsβ regarding the OSCE. However, international organisations often continue to exist even when they have exhausted their functions. Back in the nineties, the OSCE was a βone-way streetβ and influenced only Eastern Europe and Russia, and Western countries did not pay attention to it. Now, even the opportunity to establish contacts and exchange information is not used. The organisation has turned into a platform for communication between like-minded people, but without any practical benefit. However, it will most likely exist for a long time, even if its efficiency is not even zero, but negative, Mullerson concluded.
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/osce-on-artificial-life-support-or-a-return-to-the-csce/
#Norms_and_Values #OSCE
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Valdai Club
OSCE on Artificial Life Support or a Return to the CSCE?
On December 1, 2023, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to the results of the Council of Foreign Ministers of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) summit in Skopje. Moderator Oleg Barabanov invited participantsβ¦