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🗣 On December 19, 2023, the Valdai Discussion Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to Russia's chairmanship of BRICS in 2024 together with the presentation of the new Valdai Club report, titled "Global Inequality: Will the BRICS Countries Succeed in ‘Steering’ the Global Economy?"

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December 19, 2023
🗺️ BRICS: Together Against Inequality

On December 19, 2023, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion dedicated to Russia’s chairmanship of the BRICS in 2024, together with the presentation of a new Valdai Club report titled “Global Inequality: Will the BRICS Countries Succeed in ‘Steering’ the Global Economy?” The moderator was Oleg Barabanov, programme director of the Club.

💬 Co-author of the report Maria Apanovich, associate professor at the department of regional management and national policy at the Odintsovo branch of MGIMO University, briefly presented the main theses of the work. She pointed out that socio-economic inequality is caused by four groups of factors. This is inequality in the incomes earned in the white and shadow economies, inequality in access to social benefits, inequality in the territorial distribution of benefits, and gender inequality. “We were interested in how BRICS- or BRICS+ helps countries and how, thanks to this type of cooperation, it is possible to level out the socio-economic problems that currently exist in these countries,” Apanovich emphasized. According to her, closer cooperation within the commonwealth should allow countries to better use their strengths.

💬 Report co-author Nirmala Dorasamy, Professor at the Department of Public Management and Economics at the Durban University of Technology in South Africa, noted that the BRICS and BRICS+ countries have sufficient potential to ensure global influence, but even between these countries there is a noticeably large degree of inequality in human development index terms. Solving this problem would give the association more influence and sustainability. “Only then we will be able to speak from some unified point of view,” she believes. This requires a more structured, formal approach and consolidation of positions, despite differences.

💬 Sherif Ged, Chairman of the Egyptian Association of Alumni of Soviet Universities, spoke about his view of BRICS in Egypt, which will join the organisation on January 1, 2024. He noted that Egypt is actively developing relations in various fields with many BRICS countries, and primarily with Moscow. Russia is perceived in Egypt as a long-standing and reliable partner, ready for fair and equal interaction, for which Western countries are often not ready. Egyptians are confident that membership in BRICS will contribute to the development of the Egyptian economy, Ged said.

💬 Manoochehr Moradi, senior expert at the Iranian Institute of Political and International Studies and Iranian Ambassador to Ukraine (2018–2022), believes that BRICS plays an important role in solving many global problems and the expansion of the group is in the interests of the Global South. The BRICS countries have gained significant global weight and their GDP has exceeded that of the G7, he emphasized. He called reducing the importance of the dollar in the world an important issue, since the dollar in the hands of the United States is turning into a destructive instrument for the economies of other countries. Moradi understands the course towards Iran's accession to BRICS as the course towards development and an innovative approach chosen by the country.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/brics-together-against-inequality/

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December 19, 2023
🗺️ BRICS countries are among the largest in the world by territory. Moreover, 15 countries applied for BRICS membership.

Especially for the presentation of a new Valdai Club report “Global Inequality: Will the BRICS Countries Succeed in ‘Steering’ the Global Economy,” we created an infographic on BRICS.

#valdai_infogaphics #BRICS

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December 19, 2023
🇨🇩🇷🇼 On December 20, 2023, if nothing extraordinary happens, presidential elections will be held in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Unfortunately, the presence of UN peacekeeping forces in itself entails a security threat. The example of Rwanda and other countries speaks for itself.

Today, the forces of the East African Community and the UN peacekeeping forces, in our opinion, should leave the DRC and give way to the forces of the Community of Southern African Countries, Valence Maniragena writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/rwandan-context-for-the-dr-congo-elections/

#Norms_and_Values #Africa #DRC #Rwanda #neocolonialism

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December 19, 2023
🌍 Since the year 2020, eight governments in francophone Africa have been overthrown by the military, adding up to a disturbing trend of coups in the continent.

To put it into context, since the 1950s there has been a total of 486 coup attempts; 214 of these attempted coups have taken place in Africa, out of which 106 have been successful.

Beyond the statistics, however, two questions often emerge with regards to the coups.

1️⃣The first question is whether these coups are a result of internal failures, especially of governance institutions within these countries, or a consequence of an international system that is increasingly becoming illiberal. Perhaps even more disturbing is whether these coups are as a result of both internal and external factors.

2️⃣ The second question is whether these coups are capable of providing solutions to the challenges facing the people in the countries where they have been carried out. The justification for this question stems from the pronouncements of coup leaders themselves. There is no doubt that anyone or any institution that promises to rapidly address these problems is likely to get the support of the people.

The recent coups in West Africa are not likely to spread beyond the region, given their unique historical and foreign relations. It, however, finds that should the new governments fail to urgently fulfil their promises, the search for alternative leadership is likely to commence, Israel Nyaburi Nyadera writes.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/hope-amidst-uncertainty-reflections/

#Norms_and_Values #coups #Africa

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December 21, 2023
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December 21, 2023
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December 23, 2023
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December 25, 2023
December 25, 2023
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December 25, 2023
🇦🇷 Libertarian economist Javier Milei's victory in Argentina has had a significant impact on at least two major issues in Latin America:

🔹 a new geopolitical realignment in the region that could have repercussions on the world stage,

🔹 and the relative rise of the United States and the old power core of the Global North, striving, one way or another, to stop the inevitable fall of their hegemony within the framework of current historical and spatial changes in the world order.

Milei may be aligned with Washington on ideological grounds. This is beneficial for the United States for four reasons:

1️⃣ It helps revive the Monroe Doctrine. December 2, 2023 marked the bicentennial anniversary of this American strategy, the goal of which is to dominate the Americas, appropriate its resources and oust any potential foreign rival (today this means China).

2️⃣ It weakens Brazil’s leftist president, Lula da Silva. A friendly government in Argentina would be a great relief to the leader of the Workers' Party. Moreover, against the backdrop of the hegemonic struggle between powers in the modern world, it would be extremely beneficial for Brazil and Argentina to be on the same page in order for them to coordinate policies with respect to trade, investment, world prices, as well as guaranteeing certain principles of autonomy and sovereignty in international platforms.

3️⃣ It reorganizes the balance of power in the region. Until December 9, 2023, the four most influential and economically significant countries in South America—Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, and Venezuela—were led by leftist governments. Argentina has made a 180-degree turn, aligning with the libertarian right.

4️⃣ Argentina lost a great opportunity to join BRICS+ on January 1, 2024, an organisation that marks a certain strengthening of the positions of regional forces and represents a serious opportunity for the redistribution of world power. Such defections harm not only Argentina, but also the BRICS+ project itself.

It will soon become clear what results Milei's new foreign policy will lead to, writes Telma Luzzani.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/argentina-perestroika-under-the-new-government/

#Norms_and_Values #Argentina #UnitedStates

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December 26, 2023
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December 27, 2023
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December 27, 2023
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December 29, 2023
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December 29, 2023
🗣 2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣3️⃣ The year 2023 has shown that Greater Eurasia and Asia are, so far, resistant to negative external influences, which have had the most dramatic consequences in Europe and the Middle East.

There are no opposing military-political alliances in Asia and Eurasia, and the so-called “geopolitical fault lines” only exist in the imagination of especially impressible readers of American newspapers. This is due to peculiarities of the political culture there, but also to the general trends of international life at the present stage.

1️⃣ First, despite the fact that this macroregion has its own experience of severe interstate confrontation, turning to violent conflict as the go-to means of achieving goals is not a central part of the foreign policy culture here.

In other words, when the peoples of the West take arms and see conflict as the solution to difficult situations, the peaceful resolution of disputes is preferable for Asia and Eurasia.

2️⃣ Second, the associations of states emerging in Asia and Eurasia are not aimed at achieving aggressive goals in relation to third countries. They are primarily aimed at implementing the development goals of their members and maintaining their internal stability. Therefore, now in Asia and Eurasia there are no unions created to ensure a privileged position for their members in relation to the rest of the macroregion.

3️⃣ Third, within the macroregion there are no relatively large states that would act as “agents” of extra-regional actors. The only countries that may be an exception in this sense are Japan and South Korea.

Asia and Eurasia remain a space of cooperation, not competition, and the leading regional powers are able to achieve terms that would be comparatively fair for their smaller partners, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Timofei Bordachev.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/asia-and-eurasia-in-2023-shaping-a-new-internation/

#valdai_year2023 #Asia_and_Eurasia #Eurasia #Asia

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December 29, 2023
2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣4️⃣ Dear Friends! We are happy to announce new Valdai Club Programmes for 2024:

🗣 Global Alternatives // Programme Director — Oleg Barabanov

#GlobalAlternatives

🗣 Wider Eurasia // Programme Director — Timofei Bordachev

#WiderEurasia

🗣 Multipolarity and Connectivity // Programme Director — Ivan Timofeev

#Multipolarity_and_Connectivity

🗣 The Return of Diplomacy? // Programme Director — Andrey Sushentsov

#Return_of_Diplomacy

Follow this link to find out more about the Programmes: https://valdaiclub.com/programmes/

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December 31, 2023
December 31, 2023
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January 1, 2024
⚔️ The key participants in the Ukrainian crisis — the USA, the EU, Ukraine and Russia — are now convinced that the conflict will be protracted and that struggle for initiative will be the dominant factor.

Russian actions such as the strengthening of the armed forces and military production, effectively redirecting foreign trade to the East, and developing relations with China and otherp allies indicate a readiness to “play the long game.”

The fundamental difference between the current situation and how things stood at the beginning of the Special Military Operation is that previously, Ukraine had the opportunity to be a subject of negotiations, but today it is no longer such, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukraine-palestine-taiwan-key-tension-in-2024

#Return_of_Diplomacy #militaryconflict #WorldOrder

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January 2, 2024