Valdai Discussion Club
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🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 noon, the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion dedicated to Russia's chairmanship of BRICS in 2024 together with the presentation of the new Valdai Club report, titled " Global Inequality: Will the BRICS Countries Succeed in ‘Steering’ the Global Economy?"

https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239155

#Norms_and_Values #valdai_report #BRICS

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🇵🇹 The report of the Valdai Discussion Club by Vasily Kashin and Andrey Sushentsov, titled “Warfare in a New Epoch: The Return of Big Armies”, has recently been published in Portuguese and can be found on the “Canal Arte da Guerra” website

The aim of this project is to contribute to understanding of the nature of relations between states. The content of the website includes studies, reports, and podcasts on geopolitics, defense, state management, and military history. 

⬇️ Download the Report “Warfare in a New Epoch: The Return of Big Armies” in Portuguese

#valdai_report

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🌍 Middle Eastern Conflicts: Emotional and Rational

On February 8, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted the presentation of a new report: “Gaza. Yemen. Epicentres of pain. Feelings, myths and memory in the Middle East” on the eve of the 13th Middle East Conference.

💬 Discussion moderator Andrey Sushentsov noted that despite some positive trends emerging in 2023, the escalation of tension in the region continues to increase. Against this background, he proposed to discuss the emotional aspect of conflicts in the Middle East - the role of feelings, myths, and memory in them.

💬 “It would be unfair to say that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict suddenly splashed onto the surface of world politics: it never left it,” noted Vitaly Naumkin, an academician at the Russian Academy of Sciences, scientific director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences who was one of the authors of the Valdai Club report. “Without resolving this conflict, nothing good will happen in the Middle East,” he emphasised. He named the unprecedented explosion of violence and the Palestinian indignation, as well as the emergence of Yemen as a new player in the conflict. Speaking about the report, Naumkin indicated that it covers not only rational approaches to the conflict, but also symbolic and emotional ones, affecting its basis of identity.

💬 Normalisation between Israel and the Arab countries cannot on its own solve the Palestinian issue, as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had hoped, said Mustafa Barghouti, Secretary General and Co-Founder of the Palestinian National Initiative. Barghouti added that Netanyahu has built his career on destroying opportunities for an Israeli-Palestinian peace settlement, including the Oslo accords. As a result, Israel has become greatly radicalised, both at the level of political parties and in terms of popular sentiment, and it is now strongly opposed to compromises. In turn, Hamas, according to Barghouti, has also changed, moving towards nationalism, although remaining an Islamic movement. He also pointed out the serious gap between the position of the Arab population and their governments regarding what is currently happening in the Gaza Strip, which entails potentially serious consequences for these countries.

💬 Sergey Serebrov, senior research fellow at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, briefly outlined the situation in Yemen. In his opinion, Yemen can be seen both as a separate epicentre of the conflict (a civil war has been going on there since 2015) and as part of a larger picture. Events in the Palestinian-Israeli zone have taken the Yemeni conflict in a new direction. What is happening could become “a ticking bomb for the entire region,” Serebrov emphasised. He noted that the Houthis have not blocked shipping as such, but only Israeli cargo. A real threat to shipping was created by the activities of the American-British coalition, apparently aimed at establishing and consolidating dominance in the Red Sea.

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/middle-eastern-conflicts-emotional-and-rational/

#MiddleEastValdai #valdai_report #MiddleEast

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🗣 On February 28, 2024, the Valdai Club hosted the presentation of its new report, “Charting the 2040: Younger Generation Insight on the World in the Making”, timed to coincide with the Club’s Youth Conference as part of the World Youth Festival.

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🎥 If you missed the live broadcast, follow this link to watch the video.

#Valdai_NewGeneration #ValdaiYouth #valdai_report

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🌐 From 'Global Disorder' to Multipolarity

On February 28, 2024, the Valdai Club presented a new report titled “Charting the 2040: Younger Generation Insight on the World in the Making”, timed to coincide with the Club’s Youth Conference on the sidelines of the World Youth Festival in Sochi. The moderator of the discussion was Andrey Sushentsov, programme director of the Valdai Club. 

💬 Nikita Neklyudov, Lecturer at the Department of Applied Analysis of International Problems at MGIMO University, spoke about the creation of the report and listed its main provisions. The report is based on a series of brainstorming sessions which focused on a number of key trends. These include issues such as future transformations of state sovereignty, the global economy and the architecture of globalisation, as well as prospects for technological development and the future of economic blocs and international institutions.

💬 Adlan Margoev, Lecturer at the Department of Oriental Studies at MGIMO University, outlined the authors’ views on the development of the international order. After World War II, the parade of sovereignties began. The new states sought to play an active role, including through international cooperation. This was combined with the search for some kind of universal model for the whole world. As a result, a bipolar system emerged, complemented by the Non-Aligned Movement. With the collapse of the socialist bloc, a vacuum was created, which was quickly filled by the liberal capitalist system. Against this background, some states willingly delegated their sovereignty, and as a result, the “global empire scenario” (unipolar moment) was realised. However, a series of crises pushed the most active states to seek support within themselves, which gave rise to a “scenario of global disorder.” The logical way out of this situation is to strengthen the role of those states that are ready to convert national resources into influence in the international arena. As a result, a group of such states will be able to form a multipolar world with new rules, norms and values.

💬 Sophia Datta, a Master’s Student at Johns Hopkins University and at Tsinghua University, noted that in a multipolar world, the United States, Russia and China will determine the international order together with such emerging players as India, Brazil and Iran, but this does not negate the need for dialogue between all countries. Common challenges, particularly pandemics and climate change, have demonstrated that despite ideological differences, states must cooperate for the benefit of all humanity and engage in a multilateral dialogue.

💬 “To describe the world in a certain period of time, you need to find out what its structure is—how many poles and what is the balance between them,” said Tian Kang, a PhD Student at Tsinghua University’s Faculty of International Relations, discussing methodological issues. According to Kang, changing the structure of the world and the balance between the poles is always associated with an increase in violence, and this should not be forgotten. That is why it is in the interests of leading countries to find an opportunity to agree on common rules of the game and achieve stability.

💬 The presentation of the new report was concluded by Timofey Bordachev, head of the Valdai – New Generation” project. This is a new project of the Club for those who are interested in conducting research together, participating in Valdai Club conferences, working in regional programmes, that is, becoming participants in a broad international creative process. A competition for participation in this project will be announced during the Valdai Club events at the World Youth Festival in Sochi.  

https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/from-global-disorder-to-multipolarity/

📍 More information about the Valdai’s New Generation project can be found here. 

#Valdai_NewGeneration #ValdaiYouth #valdai_report

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