UPD: The livestream is over. The video of the discussion is available via the same link. Stay tuned!
🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3) we are starting an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”.
https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239036
#EconomicStatecraft #NordStream #NordStream2
@valdai_club
🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3) we are starting an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”.
https://vk.com/video-214192832_456239036
#EconomicStatecraft #NordStream #NordStream2
@valdai_club
Vk
LIVE: “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”. An Expert Discussion
On October 10 at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3), the Valdai Club will host an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”. More: https://valdaiclub.com/events/announcements/valdai-club-to-discuss-explosions…
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «UPD: The livestream is over. The video of the discussion is available via the same link. Stay tuned! 🎥 LIVE: at 12:00 Moscow Time (GMT+3) we are starting an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”.…»
📷 On October 10, the Valdai Club held an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”.
Photo gallery of the discussion is available on VK.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club
Photo gallery of the discussion is available on VK.
The video of the discussion is available via this link.
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club
🧣🏰 “War is coming back to Europe” is the new mantra. However, war didn’t come back just because of Ukraine.
There have been previous winters of war in Europe, linked to the bloody disaggregation of Yugoslavia. However, war in Ukraine, with all its geopolitical consequences, is a true game changer.
The sanctions taken against Russia by EU countries are generating a major “boomerang effect,” one which could lead to a global energy crisis. The shock will probably be felt by the EU economy this winter and afterwards.
It is therefore at this time that crucial political questions will arise regarding the expediency of the EU countries’ policy towards Russia, writes Valdai Club expert Jacques Sapir.
#Norms_and_Values #Europe #geopolitics #gas
@valdai_club
There have been previous winters of war in Europe, linked to the bloody disaggregation of Yugoslavia. However, war in Ukraine, with all its geopolitical consequences, is a true game changer.
The sanctions taken against Russia by EU countries are generating a major “boomerang effect,” one which could lead to a global energy crisis. The shock will probably be felt by the EU economy this winter and afterwards.
It is therefore at this time that crucial political questions will arise regarding the expediency of the EU countries’ policy towards Russia, writes Valdai Club expert Jacques Sapir.
#Norms_and_Values #Europe #geopolitics #gas
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Winter Is Coming: Social Expectations from the First Military Winter in Europe
The sanctions taken against Russia by EU countries are generating a major “boomerang effect,” one which could lead to a global energy crisis. The shock will probably be felt by the EU economy this winter and afterwards. It is therefore at this time that crucial…
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «🏰💻 The era of technoeconomic blocs is coming, which means that high technology is moving into the geopolitical plane and taking on a strategic dimension. Protectionism, the pandemic and the sanctions wars that we have been witnessing over the past few years…»
🚏🗺 The unipolar order has already collapsed as evident by the weaponization of economic dependencies and declining trust in the freedom of navigation.
Liberal international economic systems with reliable transportation corridors tend to form under economic hegemons with control over the seas.
There is self-interest in providing public goods in the form of trust in open transportation corridors, as the “benign hegemon” can organise the international economic system under its administration. However, declining hegemons have incentives to limit or condition the freedom of navigation to prevent the rise of rivals, which causes a return to mercantilist traditions.
As the unipolar order has come to an end, Eurasian integration is facilitating a multipolar world in which trust can be restored in new transportation corridors.
Eurasian transportation networks are not only creating more cost and time efficient transportation corridors, they are also reviving reliable connectivity in a multipolar format.
Gradually, the Eurasian land powers are displacing the competitive advantage of the oceanic powers, writes Valdai Club expert Glenn Diesen @glenndiesen.
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #Eurasia #multipolarity
@valdai_club
Liberal international economic systems with reliable transportation corridors tend to form under economic hegemons with control over the seas.
There is self-interest in providing public goods in the form of trust in open transportation corridors, as the “benign hegemon” can organise the international economic system under its administration. However, declining hegemons have incentives to limit or condition the freedom of navigation to prevent the rise of rivals, which causes a return to mercantilist traditions.
As the unipolar order has come to an end, Eurasian integration is facilitating a multipolar world in which trust can be restored in new transportation corridors.
Eurasian transportation networks are not only creating more cost and time efficient transportation corridors, they are also reviving reliable connectivity in a multipolar format.
Gradually, the Eurasian land powers are displacing the competitive advantage of the oceanic powers, writes Valdai Club expert Glenn Diesen @glenndiesen.
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #Eurasia #multipolarity
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
New Trajectories of Transportation Corridors in Eurasia
The unipolar order has already collapsed as evident by the weaponization of economic dependencies and declining trust in the freedom of navigation. Eurasian transportation networks are not only creating more cost and time efficient transportation corridors…
🌀'Geopolitics of Chaos' in the Energy Sector
On October 10, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”, dedicated to the state of gas cooperation between Russia and other countries. The moderator was Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
💬 Aleksey Grivach, Deputy General Director for Gas Problems of the National Energy Security Fund, noted that until recently, relations between Russia and Europe in the gas sector were a vivid example of interdependence, an important aspect of which was mutual trust. This system not only served as a solid basis for bilateral trade, but also a constraint on unfriendly steps. “Now it is, if not destroyed, then certainly staggering, which opens the way for further escalation not only in the energy sector, but also in the field of strategic security,” the expert admitted.
💬 Evgeny Tipailov, Executive Director of the Institute for Interdependence Studies, outlined a number of factors and patterns that affect energy relations between Russia and Europe in the short and medium term. The first of these he called the "chaotisation of order". The ‘business as usual’ formula has ended, and the market is now waiting for the degradation of the legal landscape, the relativisation of contractual obligations, the growth of government interference, the erosion of the financial infrastructure and the zeroing of trust. The second factor is “arrhythmia in the energy markets”, a parallel acceleration and deceleration of a number of market processes. The third factor is the Americanisation of European energy policy, and the growth of American intervention. The fourth factor is the turn of Russian energy diplomacy to the East. The fifth factor is “energy homeostasis”, the desire of both sides, against the backdrop of energy hunger in Europe, to balance their position. The sixth factor is the reconfiguration of interdependence. For Russia, the key task should be to create a system that is as balanced as possible in terms of risks. Finally, the seventh factor is the “swan song of the dying world order”, a high probability of unpredictable events that could radically affect the commodity market and complicate forecasting.
💬 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance, called the Nord Stream sabotage a continuation of the “geopolitics of chaos” and an attempt to destroy the pipeline infrastructure as a field of opportunity for further cooperation. Analysing the prospects for Europe, he noted that it has every chance of persisting through the current heating period, although without much comfort. However, the question is what will happen next, given that European storage facilities were filled in the first half of this year mainly with Russian gas. It is not clear how the European Union will fill them next year without Nord Stream. It is also not clear how serious the risk of a complete cessation of Russian supplies is.
#EconomicStatecraft #gas #NordStream #NordStream2
@valdai_club
On October 10, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”, dedicated to the state of gas cooperation between Russia and other countries. The moderator was Ivan Timofeev, Programme Director of the Valdai Discussion Club.
💬 Aleksey Grivach, Deputy General Director for Gas Problems of the National Energy Security Fund, noted that until recently, relations between Russia and Europe in the gas sector were a vivid example of interdependence, an important aspect of which was mutual trust. This system not only served as a solid basis for bilateral trade, but also a constraint on unfriendly steps. “Now it is, if not destroyed, then certainly staggering, which opens the way for further escalation not only in the energy sector, but also in the field of strategic security,” the expert admitted.
💬 Evgeny Tipailov, Executive Director of the Institute for Interdependence Studies, outlined a number of factors and patterns that affect energy relations between Russia and Europe in the short and medium term. The first of these he called the "chaotisation of order". The ‘business as usual’ formula has ended, and the market is now waiting for the degradation of the legal landscape, the relativisation of contractual obligations, the growth of government interference, the erosion of the financial infrastructure and the zeroing of trust. The second factor is “arrhythmia in the energy markets”, a parallel acceleration and deceleration of a number of market processes. The third factor is the Americanisation of European energy policy, and the growth of American intervention. The fourth factor is the turn of Russian energy diplomacy to the East. The fifth factor is “energy homeostasis”, the desire of both sides, against the backdrop of energy hunger in Europe, to balance their position. The sixth factor is the reconfiguration of interdependence. For Russia, the key task should be to create a system that is as balanced as possible in terms of risks. Finally, the seventh factor is the “swan song of the dying world order”, a high probability of unpredictable events that could radically affect the commodity market and complicate forecasting.
💬 Alexey Gromov, Chief Energy Director of the Institute of Energy and Finance, called the Nord Stream sabotage a continuation of the “geopolitics of chaos” and an attempt to destroy the pipeline infrastructure as a field of opportunity for further cooperation. Analysing the prospects for Europe, he noted that it has every chance of persisting through the current heating period, although without much comfort. However, the question is what will happen next, given that European storage facilities were filled in the first half of this year mainly with Russian gas. It is not clear how the European Union will fill them next year without Nord Stream. It is also not clear how serious the risk of a complete cessation of Russian supplies is.
#EconomicStatecraft #gas #NordStream #NordStream2
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
'Geopolitics of Chaos' in the Energy Sector
On October 10, the Valdai Club hosted an expert discussion titled “Explosions at Nord Streams: The Geopolitics of Interrupted Energy Ties”, dedicated to the state of gas cooperation between Russia and foreign countries. The moderator was Ivan Timofeev, Programme…
🌎⚔️🌏 The circle of participants in the Ukrainian crisis includes six groups of players pursuing different political goals. They are:
▪️The United States
▪️The countries of the so-called “New Europe” (Britain, Poland, the Baltic countries, the Czech Republic, Slovakia)
▪️The countries of Western Europe (Italy, France, Germany)
▪️The union state of Russia and Belarus
▪️A group of Western countries, which we call “gateways” (Turkey and Hungary)
▪️Ukraine itself
In view of the “vacation from strategic thinking” taken by the elites of these countries several decades ago, they met the first weeks of the crisis with a lot of confusion.
As a result, the countries of Western Europe actually delegated goal-setting in the outbreak of the crisis to the United States, the countries of New Europe and Britain.
The autumn of 2022 allows us to sum up the efficiency of the strategy of each group of actors in the unfolding crisis.
🔹 The countries of “New Europe” have managed to get the United States actively immersed into European affairs. They have also achieved an internal political consolidation of their governments to embrace anti-Russian politics, which partially compensates for the dissatisfaction of the population over the fall in living standards. The failures of the “New Europe” include deep economic, social and migration crises — how they will compensate for it is not yet obvious.
🔹 The strategic successes of Western European countries are not obvious. Berlin, Paris, and Rome are facing unprecedented economic and energy crises, runaway inflation, and the risks of political destabilisation amid failed economic policies. These risks have been significantly exacerbated due to the fact that citizens actually pay for the prolongation of the crisis using their own money. There is a loss of initiative in “Old Europe” in the development of the crisis, which has been intercepted by the United States and “New Europe”.
🔹 The “gateway countries” — Hungary and Turkey — have acted more successfully. They have increased their autonomy from Washington and Brussels, and also offer themselves as platforms for diplomatic negotiations following the conflict, which enhances their international political weight. They didn’t pursue their course without risks: external pressure from the allies is increasing against them in order to “bring Ankara and Budapest back to the right line.”
Today we are witnessing a transition to the second phase of the Ukrainian crisis. The transition of the military-political confrontation between Russia and the West to 2023 seems highly probable, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #UkraineCrisis #Europe
@valdai_club
▪️The United States
▪️The countries of the so-called “New Europe” (Britain, Poland, the Baltic countries, the Czech Republic, Slovakia)
▪️The countries of Western Europe (Italy, France, Germany)
▪️The union state of Russia and Belarus
▪️A group of Western countries, which we call “gateways” (Turkey and Hungary)
▪️Ukraine itself
In view of the “vacation from strategic thinking” taken by the elites of these countries several decades ago, they met the first weeks of the crisis with a lot of confusion.
As a result, the countries of Western Europe actually delegated goal-setting in the outbreak of the crisis to the United States, the countries of New Europe and Britain.
The autumn of 2022 allows us to sum up the efficiency of the strategy of each group of actors in the unfolding crisis.
🔹 The countries of “New Europe” have managed to get the United States actively immersed into European affairs. They have also achieved an internal political consolidation of their governments to embrace anti-Russian politics, which partially compensates for the dissatisfaction of the population over the fall in living standards. The failures of the “New Europe” include deep economic, social and migration crises — how they will compensate for it is not yet obvious.
🔹 The strategic successes of Western European countries are not obvious. Berlin, Paris, and Rome are facing unprecedented economic and energy crises, runaway inflation, and the risks of political destabilisation amid failed economic policies. These risks have been significantly exacerbated due to the fact that citizens actually pay for the prolongation of the crisis using their own money. There is a loss of initiative in “Old Europe” in the development of the crisis, which has been intercepted by the United States and “New Europe”.
🔹 The “gateway countries” — Hungary and Turkey — have acted more successfully. They have increased their autonomy from Washington and Brussels, and also offer themselves as platforms for diplomatic negotiations following the conflict, which enhances their international political weight. They didn’t pursue their course without risks: external pressure from the allies is increasing against them in order to “bring Ankara and Budapest back to the right line.”
Today we are witnessing a transition to the second phase of the Ukrainian crisis. The transition of the military-political confrontation between Russia and the West to 2023 seems highly probable, writes Valdai Club Programme Director Andrey Sushentsov.
#ModernDiplomacy #UkraineCrisis #Europe
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
The Political Situation in Europe
Today we are witnessing a transition to the second phase of the Ukrainian crisis. Russia’s determination to win is very significant. Despite the exhaustion of Ukraine’s own resources, Western support is not weakening. This makes the transition of the military…
🇨🇳 On October 16, 2022, the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will begin its work.
It can be said without exaggeration that the decisions taken during the 20th Congress will determine the trajectory of China's development for the next five years, and could affect it for ten years or more.
The Congress will lead to appointments to key positions in China's top leadership, including, as expected, the confirmation of Xi Jinping's authority for an unprecedented third term.
Meanwhile, while the prolongation of Xi Jinping's powers is already a foregone decision, the main intrigue of the 20th Congress is whether Xi Jinping is able to “promote” his proxies to key party posts, writes Valdai Club expert Yana Leksyutina.
#Asia_and_Eurasia #China
@valdai_club
It can be said without exaggeration that the decisions taken during the 20th Congress will determine the trajectory of China's development for the next five years, and could affect it for ten years or more.
The Congress will lead to appointments to key positions in China's top leadership, including, as expected, the confirmation of Xi Jinping's authority for an unprecedented third term.
Meanwhile, while the prolongation of Xi Jinping's powers is already a foregone decision, the main intrigue of the 20th Congress is whether Xi Jinping is able to “promote” his proxies to key party posts, writes Valdai Club expert Yana Leksyutina.
#Asia_and_Eurasia #China
@valdai_club
🇨🇳🇷🇺 For some reason, the West is confident that Russia's special military operation in Ukraine will induce Beijing to launch military operations against Taiwan.
At the same time, even independent analysts warn against direct analogies and point out significant differences between Moscow’s approach and that of Beijing in ensuring security, as the degree to which each conflict poses an existential threat to the state is incomparable.
Moscow and Beijing do not adhere to the logic of bloc confrontation, even despite the West's clear course of deliberately creating threats near Russian and Chinese borders and engaging in numerous provocations.
China and Russia will not be able to ensure their own security if each ignores the challenges and threats facing the other.
This idea is confirmed by the growing rapprochement between Moscow and Beijing on issues of strategic stability, writes Andrey Gubin, PhD, an Associate Professor of Political Science at the Far Eastern Federal University and an Associate Professor of the Northeast Asia Research Centre of Jilin University (PRC).
#EconomicStatecraft #China #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
At the same time, even independent analysts warn against direct analogies and point out significant differences between Moscow’s approach and that of Beijing in ensuring security, as the degree to which each conflict poses an existential threat to the state is incomparable.
Moscow and Beijing do not adhere to the logic of bloc confrontation, even despite the West's clear course of deliberately creating threats near Russian and Chinese borders and engaging in numerous provocations.
China and Russia will not be able to ensure their own security if each ignores the challenges and threats facing the other.
This idea is confirmed by the growing rapprochement between Moscow and Beijing on issues of strategic stability, writes Andrey Gubin, PhD, an Associate Professor of Political Science at the Far Eastern Federal University and an Associate Professor of the Northeast Asia Research Centre of Jilin University (PRC).
#EconomicStatecraft #China #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
More Than an Alliance: Russia and China Together Are Able to Destroy NATO
Russian-Chinese relations are today more than ever a popular topic of discussion in the expert community and political circles. As a rule, these discussions come down to the prospects for the formation of a military-political alliance aimed at confronting…
🔵 Dear friends! This is a reminder that the Valdai Discussion Club is present on the following social media platforms:
🇬🇧 In English:
👉 Telegram — t.iss.one/valdai_club
👉 VK — https://vk.com/valdaidiscussionclub
👉 Twitter — https://twitter.com/valdaitweets
🇷🇺 In Russian:
👉 Telegram — t.iss.one/valdaiclub
👉 Twitter — https://twitter.com/RuValdaitweets
👉 VK — https://vk.com/valdaiclubcom
👉 Zen — https://dzen.ru/valdaiclub
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club
🇬🇧 In English:
👉 Telegram — t.iss.one/valdai_club
👉 VK — https://vk.com/valdaidiscussionclub
👉 Twitter — https://twitter.com/valdaitweets
🇷🇺 In Russian:
👉 Telegram — t.iss.one/valdaiclub
👉 Twitter — https://twitter.com/RuValdaitweets
👉 VK — https://vk.com/valdaiclubcom
👉 Zen — https://dzen.ru/valdaiclub
Stay tuned!
@valdai_club
📆 #VALDAI2022: The 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone” will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
👥 The meeting will be attended by 111 experts, politicians, diplomats and economists from 41 countries, including Afghanistan, Brazil, China, Egypt, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, South Africa, Turkey, the United States, Uzbekistan, and others. Much more than usual, there are participants from the Middle East and the Maghreb, Asia, Latin America, Africa and the CIS. At the same time, representatives of a number of Western countries have confirmed their participation.
🌐 A few years ago, the Valdai Club was one of the first to talk about the acceleration of the inevitable breakdown of the current world order and the entire system of political and economic institutions. Today we can say with confidence that this entropy has occurred, the world has entered a period of fundamental changes, and there will be no return to the previous model. Russia, due to its geopolitical and resource-historical position, has been at the centre of events, the coronavirus pandemic and the Russian special operation in Ukraine have accelerated the reorganisation of the world, but Moscow did not start this process, which is of an objective nature.
Although it is impossible to accurately determine the outlines of the future world order, an attempt will be made at the upcoming Valdai Club Annual meeting. Today, not a single country in the world is able to dictate the course of world events and is forced to reckon with the actions of other states — a post-hegemonic world has already arrived; it is already polycentric. The priority of regional non-Western powers is increasingly becoming the protection of their own national interests, providing themselves with maximum freedom of action.
Thus, the theme of this year’s Valdai Club meeting (“justice and security for everyone”) is both a statement that the hegemony of the Western bloc led by the United States has come to an end, and a wish for the future. The former international order was neither fair nor secure, which is largely the cause of the current military-political contradictions.
🎙 The Valdai Club Annual meeting promises to be eventful: a record high of 17 sessions will take place during the working days of the meeting. This year the conference programme is divided into thematic blocks: each day will be devoted to one broad topic — politics, economics or humanitarian issues. The following items are on the agenda:
📑 The annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” will be presented at the conference. This year’s report is based on the Valdai Club’s hypothesis about the inevitable oblivion of the “superpower” concept.
💡 Dear media representatives, accreditation is open until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
Stay tuned for the updates on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, Twitter, VKontakte, Telegram and Zen.
@valdaiclub
👥 The meeting will be attended by 111 experts, politicians, diplomats and economists from 41 countries, including Afghanistan, Brazil, China, Egypt, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, South Africa, Turkey, the United States, Uzbekistan, and others. Much more than usual, there are participants from the Middle East and the Maghreb, Asia, Latin America, Africa and the CIS. At the same time, representatives of a number of Western countries have confirmed their participation.
🌐 A few years ago, the Valdai Club was one of the first to talk about the acceleration of the inevitable breakdown of the current world order and the entire system of political and economic institutions. Today we can say with confidence that this entropy has occurred, the world has entered a period of fundamental changes, and there will be no return to the previous model. Russia, due to its geopolitical and resource-historical position, has been at the centre of events, the coronavirus pandemic and the Russian special operation in Ukraine have accelerated the reorganisation of the world, but Moscow did not start this process, which is of an objective nature.
Although it is impossible to accurately determine the outlines of the future world order, an attempt will be made at the upcoming Valdai Club Annual meeting. Today, not a single country in the world is able to dictate the course of world events and is forced to reckon with the actions of other states — a post-hegemonic world has already arrived; it is already polycentric. The priority of regional non-Western powers is increasingly becoming the protection of their own national interests, providing themselves with maximum freedom of action.
Thus, the theme of this year’s Valdai Club meeting (“justice and security for everyone”) is both a statement that the hegemony of the Western bloc led by the United States has come to an end, and a wish for the future. The former international order was neither fair nor secure, which is largely the cause of the current military-political contradictions.
🎙 The Valdai Club Annual meeting promises to be eventful: a record high of 17 sessions will take place during the working days of the meeting. This year the conference programme is divided into thematic blocks: each day will be devoted to one broad topic — politics, economics or humanitarian issues. The following items are on the agenda:
• Russia in the confrontation with the West; • The causes and consequences of the current geopolitical crisis around Ukraine; • The end of globalisation and a new stage in the universal connectivity of the world; • The return of nuclear weapons in world politics; • Economic and technological war in new conditions; • Values and communications in the modern world.📑 The annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” will be presented at the conference. This year’s report is based on the Valdai Club’s hypothesis about the inevitable oblivion of the “superpower” concept.
💡 Dear media representatives, accreditation is open until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
Stay tuned for the updates on all online platforms of the Valdai Club: on the website, Twitter, VKontakte, Telegram and Zen.
@valdaiclub
Valdai Club
The 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club. A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone
The 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone” will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «📆 #VALDAI2022: The 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone” will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow. 👥 The meeting will be attended by 111 experts, politicians, diplomats and…»
📌 #VALDAI2022: Programme of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone”
📍Moscow, October 24-27, 2022
📆 October 24, Monday
09:30 – 09:40 — Opening of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club
09:40 – 11:10 — “A World Without Superpowers”: presentation of the Valdai Discussion Club’s annual report
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 1. The Past and the Future. How the Pandemic and the Military-Political Crisis Have Affected the International Situation
General discussion. During the first thematic session of this year, the Club's guests will share their views on what is happening in the world and what development scenarios are possible.
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 2. Cuban Missile Crisis After Sixty Years: Is Nuclear Deterrence Still in Place?
16:30 – 18:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
19:30 – 21:00 — Special session. The Ukrainian Question – Its Origins and Consequences
📆 October 25, Tuesday
09:30 – 11:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 3. Economic Warfare as a Defining Trend in Global Development
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 4. Energy and Food Security: Man-Made Challenges of Global Significance
16:30 – 18:00 — Session 5. One World in a New Way: Universal Connectivity Without Global Governance
19:30 – 21:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
📆 October 26, Wednesday
09:30 – 11:00 — Session 6. Values in the Modern World. What Is Their Balance for Genuine Equality?
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 7. Crooked Mirror or Last Hope? Communications in a Chaotic World
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 8. Technological Warfare: How Russia Will Develop Under the Western Blockade
16:30 – 18:00 — Session 9. Russia in Times of Mobilization: The Reassembly
19:30 – 21:00 — Special Session. Russia’s Image in the World: Myths and Reality
📆 October 27, Thursday
10:00 – 12:00 — Session 10. The World That Crumbled: Lessons for the Future from the 2022 Military-Political Crisis
16:00 — Plenary session
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/programme-of-the-19th-annual-meeting-of-the-valdai-club/
@valdai_club
📍Moscow, October 24-27, 2022
📆 October 24, Monday
09:30 – 09:40 — Opening of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club
09:40 – 11:10 — “A World Without Superpowers”: presentation of the Valdai Discussion Club’s annual report
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 1. The Past and the Future. How the Pandemic and the Military-Political Crisis Have Affected the International Situation
General discussion. During the first thematic session of this year, the Club's guests will share their views on what is happening in the world and what development scenarios are possible.
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 2. Cuban Missile Crisis After Sixty Years: Is Nuclear Deterrence Still in Place?
16:30 – 18:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
19:30 – 21:00 — Special session. The Ukrainian Question – Its Origins and Consequences
📆 October 25, Tuesday
09:30 – 11:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 3. Economic Warfare as a Defining Trend in Global Development
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 4. Energy and Food Security: Man-Made Challenges of Global Significance
16:30 – 18:00 — Session 5. One World in a New Way: Universal Connectivity Without Global Governance
19:30 – 21:00 — Meeting with the leadership of the executive and legislative authorities of the Russian Federation
📆 October 26, Wednesday
09:30 – 11:00 — Session 6. Values in the Modern World. What Is Their Balance for Genuine Equality?
11:30 – 13:00 — Session 7. Crooked Mirror or Last Hope? Communications in a Chaotic World
14:30 – 16:00 — Session 8. Technological Warfare: How Russia Will Develop Under the Western Blockade
16:30 – 18:00 — Session 9. Russia in Times of Mobilization: The Reassembly
19:30 – 21:00 — Special Session. Russia’s Image in the World: Myths and Reality
📆 October 27, Thursday
10:00 – 12:00 — Session 10. The World That Crumbled: Lessons for the Future from the 2022 Military-Political Crisis
16:00 — Plenary session
https://valdaiclub.com/events/posts/articles/programme-of-the-19th-annual-meeting-of-the-valdai-club/
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Programme of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club
The 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone” will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
Valdai Discussion Club pinned «📌 #VALDAI2022: Programme of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone” 📍Moscow, October 24-27, 2022 📆 October 24, Monday 09:30 – 09:40 — Opening of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai…»
🚫⛔️The European Union Council Regulation 2022/1905, adopted on October 6, 2022 as part of the eighth sanctions package, marked a new stage in the EU’s sanctions policy.
Article 1 of the document expands the number of criteria by which blocking EU sanctions may be applied with regard to the situation in Ukraine. Now, they include individuals and legal entities that contribute to bypassing the sanctions regimes against Russia under the Ukrainian package.
The new legal mechanism suggests that the European Union is adopting secondary sanctions similar to those used by the United States for a long time, write Ivan Timofeev and Dmitry Kiku.
The essence of secondary sanctions is that financial restrictions are applied for interaction with blocked persons. That is, any financial transactions with those who are already on the list are fraught with being included in the same list. The new rule does not specify who is involved. This gives reason to believe that it can be applied extraterritorially, that is, outside the EU and against persons from third countries.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/new-stage-of-eu-sanctions-policy-extraterritorial/
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club
Article 1 of the document expands the number of criteria by which blocking EU sanctions may be applied with regard to the situation in Ukraine. Now, they include individuals and legal entities that contribute to bypassing the sanctions regimes against Russia under the Ukrainian package.
The new legal mechanism suggests that the European Union is adopting secondary sanctions similar to those used by the United States for a long time, write Ivan Timofeev and Dmitry Kiku.
The essence of secondary sanctions is that financial restrictions are applied for interaction with blocked persons. That is, any financial transactions with those who are already on the list are fraught with being included in the same list. The new rule does not specify who is involved. This gives reason to believe that it can be applied extraterritorially, that is, outside the EU and against persons from third countries.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/new-stage-of-eu-sanctions-policy-extraterritorial/
#EconomicStatecraft #sanctions
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
New Stage of EU Sanctions Policy: Extraterritorial Measures
The European Union is creating a mechanism for secondary sanctions against Russia. However, the use of such an instrument is unlikely to protect EU companies from secondary US sanctions. In the context of Euro-Atlantic solidarity amid Russia’s opposition…
❓🌐 What is happening in the world?
Is it a revolution that is breaking old foundations and bringing something fundamentally new? Or is it just a cyclical shake-up that will stir up the environment, but leave intact the principles of relations between states that did not change for millennia? And will the new turn out to be the well-forgotten old in the next stage?
Attempts to answer these questions were made by Valdai Club program directors and experts back in 2017 in our report, titled "The Importance of Being Earnest: How to Avoid Irreparable Damage".
But unlike the piquant play of Oscar Wilde, (which the title was borrowed from), the authors urge to abandon the "strategic frivolity", that enveloped the global elites at the end of the last century and shattered their most basic foundation, of self-preservation. It is necessary to return to an adequate perception of reality with its entire palette of dangers and threats, and understand that self-preservation is not 'every man for himself', but everyone together against the risks that is more effective to combat jointly.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/reports/report-the-importance-of-being-earnest/
📑 This year, we will present the annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” within the framework of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone”. The conference will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
💡 The accreditation to the conference is open for media representatives until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
#VALDAI2022 #valdai_report #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
Is it a revolution that is breaking old foundations and bringing something fundamentally new? Or is it just a cyclical shake-up that will stir up the environment, but leave intact the principles of relations between states that did not change for millennia? And will the new turn out to be the well-forgotten old in the next stage?
Attempts to answer these questions were made by Valdai Club program directors and experts back in 2017 in our report, titled "The Importance of Being Earnest: How to Avoid Irreparable Damage".
But unlike the piquant play of Oscar Wilde, (which the title was borrowed from), the authors urge to abandon the "strategic frivolity", that enveloped the global elites at the end of the last century and shattered their most basic foundation, of self-preservation. It is necessary to return to an adequate perception of reality with its entire palette of dangers and threats, and understand that self-preservation is not 'every man for himself', but everyone together against the risks that is more effective to combat jointly.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/reports/report-the-importance-of-being-earnest/
📑 This year, we will present the annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” within the framework of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone”. The conference will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
💡 The accreditation to the conference is open for media representatives until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
#VALDAI2022 #valdai_report #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Report: The Importance of Being Earnest: How to Avoid Irreparable Damage
What is happening in the world? Is it a revolution that is breaking old foundations and bringing something fundamentally new? Or is it just a cyclical shake-up that will stir up the environment, but leave intact the principles of relations between states…
🌐 The assertion that global problems cannot be solved by any one state alone, even the most powerful state, seems to have become axiomatic.
We have repeatedly heard this statement from the lips of representatives of those same Western countries. It is precisely these goals that the numerous multilateral institutions and mechanisms, should have served, both old ones and new ones. In theory, at least.
But what do we see in practice? If you look at the facts, at least the Western co-founders saw in these institutions just tools for exercising control and maintaining their own dominance on the world stage in all areas - from military-political and technological to economic and ideological superiority. For all appearances, the G20 was given an identical role by the "older" countries of the G7.
This year, the G20 chair is Indonesia. Probably, first of all, only thanks to the will and firmness of Jakarta, the G20 still manages to avoid being written off.
Indonesia, as chairman, has demonstrated exceptional maturity, vision, and scale as a true global power by resisting unprecedented pressure from the West to impose a rule-based order that benefits only them.
Regardless of the outcome of the G20 summit itself, it will be possible to mark the Indonesian presidency as a success. After all, the current crisis has allowed Indonesia to prove itself as a global power. It is precisely the crisis and the hegemonic aspirations of the West that allow the rest of the G20 members to look for and eventually find those bold and non-standard solutions that will lead to a new, more just and equal world, writes Viktoria Panova, Vice-Rector of the National Research University Higher School of Economics, Sherpa of Russia in the Women's Twenty.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/g20-does-multilateralism-have-a-chance/
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #G20 #Indonesia
@valdai_club
We have repeatedly heard this statement from the lips of representatives of those same Western countries. It is precisely these goals that the numerous multilateral institutions and mechanisms, should have served, both old ones and new ones. In theory, at least.
But what do we see in practice? If you look at the facts, at least the Western co-founders saw in these institutions just tools for exercising control and maintaining their own dominance on the world stage in all areas - from military-political and technological to economic and ideological superiority. For all appearances, the G20 was given an identical role by the "older" countries of the G7.
This year, the G20 chair is Indonesia. Probably, first of all, only thanks to the will and firmness of Jakarta, the G20 still manages to avoid being written off.
Indonesia, as chairman, has demonstrated exceptional maturity, vision, and scale as a true global power by resisting unprecedented pressure from the West to impose a rule-based order that benefits only them.
Regardless of the outcome of the G20 summit itself, it will be possible to mark the Indonesian presidency as a success. After all, the current crisis has allowed Indonesia to prove itself as a global power. It is precisely the crisis and the hegemonic aspirations of the West that allow the rest of the G20 members to look for and eventually find those bold and non-standard solutions that will lead to a new, more just and equal world, writes Viktoria Panova, Vice-Rector of the National Research University Higher School of Economics, Sherpa of Russia in the Women's Twenty.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/g20-does-multilateralism-have-a-chance/
#Valdai_WorldEconomy #G20 #Indonesia
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
G20: Does Multilateralism Have a Chance?
Regardless of the outcome of the G20 summit itself, it will be possible to mark the Indonesian presidency as a success. After all, the current crisis has allowed Indonesia to prove itself as a global power. It is precisely the crisis and the hegemonic aspirations…
🇺🇸🇨🇳 The drums of war being beaten in Washington DC are picking up tempo.
▪️ Nancy Pelosi’s ill-advised visit to Taiwan was followed by that of another bevy of members of Congress.
▪️ Only weeks later President Biden declared that the US ‘stood ready to defend Taiwan in case of Chinese invasion.
▪️ Within two days of that, US and Canadian warships were conducting another of the provocative ‘Freedom of Navigation’ operations in the Taiwan Straits.
▪️ It has accelerated the passage of the Taiwan Policy Act which aims to ‘support the security of Taiwan and its right of self-determination’.
If denying China its sovereignty over its rightful waters is to be the goal of US policy even in the eyes of the critics of current US bellicosity, the US is unlikely to be shunted off the path of military aggression, writes Valdai Club expert Radhika Desai.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/us-set-on-path-of-military-escalation-with-china/
#Norms_and_Values #China #UnitedStates #Taiwan
@valdai_club
▪️ Nancy Pelosi’s ill-advised visit to Taiwan was followed by that of another bevy of members of Congress.
▪️ Only weeks later President Biden declared that the US ‘stood ready to defend Taiwan in case of Chinese invasion.
▪️ Within two days of that, US and Canadian warships were conducting another of the provocative ‘Freedom of Navigation’ operations in the Taiwan Straits.
▪️ It has accelerated the passage of the Taiwan Policy Act which aims to ‘support the security of Taiwan and its right of self-determination’.
If denying China its sovereignty over its rightful waters is to be the goal of US policy even in the eyes of the critics of current US bellicosity, the US is unlikely to be shunted off the path of military aggression, writes Valdai Club expert Radhika Desai.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/us-set-on-path-of-military-escalation-with-china/
#Norms_and_Values #China #UnitedStates #Taiwan
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
US Set on Path of Military Escalation With China
If denying China its sovereignty over its rightful waters is to be the goal of US policy even in the eyes of the critics of current US bellicosity, the US is unlikely to be shunted off the path of military aggression, writes Valdai Club expert Radhika Desai.
🧩🌐 The First World War was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century.
It wiped several empires from the face of the earth, caused mass relocations – including forced migrations – and spawned totalitarian ideologies, and yet failed to resolve the underlying differences that, 20 years later, once again erupted and thrust the world into turmoil. Most importantly, the war destroyed the existing order, the principles on which European politics (essentially synonymous with world policy) had been built over the previous 100 years.
The victorious powers failed to build a new and sustainable model of world order after the hostilities ended. The vindictive triumphalism of the winners, the desire of the defeated for revenge, the outbreak of social cataclysms among the European powers, and the rise of new players and forces created the conditions for an even bloodier mass slaughter. Only by mid-century did humanity manage to restore a balance and establish institutions that could help reduce the risk of confrontation and maintain the peace.
The current situation in the world paradoxically resembles that of a century ago. However, all of this is largely a nominal similarity of circumstances, mere background to the main feature common to both historical periods. Now, as then, the world has entered an interlude: the old order no longer exists, but the new one has yet to take shape.
In each of its annual reports since 2014, the Valdai Discussion Club has consistently spoken of the need to restore global governance – meaning the resolution of emerging and growing problems through institutions-based cooperation between states holding particular political and economic importance to world affairs.
The report of 2018, titled "Living in a Crumbling World», has the unpleasant task of reporting that the world has now passed a critical juncture with regard to the formation of an effectively functioning international order based on global governance. That is, the world is now moving in a different direction.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/reports/living-in-a-crumbling-world/
📑 This year, we will present the annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” within the framework of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone”. The conference will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
💡 The accreditation to the conference is open for media representatives until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
#VALDAI2022 #valdai_report #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
It wiped several empires from the face of the earth, caused mass relocations – including forced migrations – and spawned totalitarian ideologies, and yet failed to resolve the underlying differences that, 20 years later, once again erupted and thrust the world into turmoil. Most importantly, the war destroyed the existing order, the principles on which European politics (essentially synonymous with world policy) had been built over the previous 100 years.
The victorious powers failed to build a new and sustainable model of world order after the hostilities ended. The vindictive triumphalism of the winners, the desire of the defeated for revenge, the outbreak of social cataclysms among the European powers, and the rise of new players and forces created the conditions for an even bloodier mass slaughter. Only by mid-century did humanity manage to restore a balance and establish institutions that could help reduce the risk of confrontation and maintain the peace.
The current situation in the world paradoxically resembles that of a century ago. However, all of this is largely a nominal similarity of circumstances, mere background to the main feature common to both historical periods. Now, as then, the world has entered an interlude: the old order no longer exists, but the new one has yet to take shape.
In each of its annual reports since 2014, the Valdai Discussion Club has consistently spoken of the need to restore global governance – meaning the resolution of emerging and growing problems through institutions-based cooperation between states holding particular political and economic importance to world affairs.
The report of 2018, titled "Living in a Crumbling World», has the unpleasant task of reporting that the world has now passed a critical juncture with regard to the formation of an effectively functioning international order based on global governance. That is, the world is now moving in a different direction.
https://valdaiclub.com/a/reports/living-in-a-crumbling-world/
📑 This year, we will present the annual Valdai Club Report “A World Without Superpowers” within the framework of the 19th Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club, titled “A Post-Hegemonic World: Justice and Security for Everyone”. The conference will be held on October 24-27, 2022 in Moscow.
💡 The accreditation to the conference is open for media representatives until 18:00 on October 21. For accreditation, please fill out the form on our website.
#VALDAI2022 #valdai_report #WorldOrder
@valdai_club
Valdai Club
Living in a Crumbling World. Valdai Club Annual Report
In each of its annual reports since 2014, the Valdai Discussion Club has consistently spoken of the need to restore global governance – meaning the resolution of emerging and growing problems through institutions-based cooperation between states holding particular…