Two Majors - English Channel
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Russia’s Demands in Peace Negotiations - Dmitri Polyanskiy, Alexander Mercouris & Glenn Diesen
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Forwarded from Ukraine Observer - Independent OSINT Channel
⚡️🏳️🇸🇾🇦🇪 Syria in Downfall - Evacuation Rumours⚡️

🗓 Yesterday on 7 Dec 2024, a private business jet registered in #Gambia flew four times during the day on the Damascus - Abu Dhabi route to the United Arab Emirates.

⚔️ Damascus is about to fall. There are rumours:

💬 As for Bashar al-Assad, according to some information, his family is already in Russia, and his sons-in-law are in the United Arab Emirates. According to some information, he himself remains in Syria, according to others, he is also in the United Arab Emirates, but will go to Russia.

📌 It is notable that during the entire period of the invasion he never turned to his people and asked them to protect the elected government.

⚠️ Following the evening and night reporting, we will analyse the situation in Syria and hopefully forward it here at the usual time.

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Forwarded from Ukraine Observer - Independent OSINT Channel
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ On the Situation in the #Pokrovsk Directions in the Night of 7-8 December 2024⚡️

🔴 #Shevchenko's centre is behind our assaults (we added a yellow orange arrow on map). There is a battle for #NovyTrud (#Vidrodzhennya) which is not on map.

📌 To the south of #Pokrovsk, the enemy has very serious problems.

⚠️ Unconfirmed Report, further evidence or confirmation from the opposing side is currently missing. But we assume that the information is correct!

🗺 @z_arhiv's Map added👆

📜 Voenkor Kotenok; 7 Dec 2024, 22:18
🕰 GMT+3; #smo

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Forwarded from GLOBAL DEPTH
⚡️🇹🇷🇷🇺🇸🇾 Turkey's Offensive vs. #Russia and #Syria - Situation at the Beginning of the Day on 8 Dec 2024⚡️

🗓 Over the past Day, Erdogan's Hayat Tahier al Sham (HTS) Group continued to be successful and routed the the Syrian Arab Army (SAA). Bashar al-Assad's #Syria is on the verge of dissolution. Assad's first statement was announced and then cancelled. Since the beginning of the recent events, he has never addressed the people. Instead, the SAA Command is lying permanently, but none take this serious. The rest of the with help of #Russia (especially the Wagner PMC), #Iran and Hezbollah recaptured territory, was handed over literally within a few hours without a serious fight.

🔸 Northeast and east of Aleppo, Erdogans Syrian National Army (SNA) puppet terrorists' offensive on Manbij have not started yet. A direct intervention by Turkish ground troops became unlikely due to Trump's move to invite the leader of the YPG, Mazlum Kobani, to his inauguration ceremony. Southeast of Manbij, the terrorists claim to have captured two villages. For their part, the Kurds said there were strikes and they had repelled several attacks in different areas.

🔸 For Aleppo, we have no significant news.

🔸 Southeast of Aleppo, south of the Al-Jabboul Lake, Khanaser, as well as As San, wich is located further south, in northern Hama Province, remain under HTS control. The terrorist did not try to expand eastwards into the Kurd controlled area. To the far south, still Manbij district, the Kurds repulsed 2 terrorist attacks.

🔸 On the Hama City Front, far northwest and west of Hama there are no clashes reported. Al-Suqeylabiyah is still under control of a fierce SAA linked militia. Northeast of Hama, the HTS Group advanced further eastwards. To the south, Homs City came completely under control of the terrorists. There are no more clashes within the city. HTS expanded their zone of control further southwards. A large section of the M45 Motorway, connecting Damascus to the north, came completely under terrorist control (Map 2).

🔸 In Raqqa Province, the Kurds consolidate. There were no fights.

🔸 In Deir Ez-Zur Provinces, there were clashes between Kurds and forces loyal to the HTS terrorists. Tehran has asked the terrorists for safe passage for its troops to leave #Syria. Soldiers of the SAA fled en masse to #Iraq.

🔸 From Homs Province in southeastern #Syria, the Free Syrian Army (FSA) #US proxy terrorists left the #US occupied zone around Al-Tanf Base and took Palmyra, uniting with the terrorists wich advanced from the west.

🔸 Damascus came in operational encirclement. After that, the capitulation has been officially announced (Map 3).

📌 Generally, #Syria has fallen and is about to be participated in a HTS Jihadist Area and protectorate like regions, we assume. Despite Trump's claim that this is not his war, he invited the YPG leader to his inauguration ceremony. This is bad news for Erdogan. Trump is about to secure the remaining Kurd Zone for the #US. #Russia will likely control the Latakia - Tartus Coast Zone. Erdogan's HTS Group NATO Terrorists will rule the occupied areas, economically dependent on #Turkey. Furthermore, Erdogan will be able to direct the refugee flow (to West Europe). #Iran is effectively left without the land corridor that Soleimani built in 2017. We could of course be wrong, our assessment is based on the combat activities, Trump's behavior towards the YPG and the fact that negotiations have taken place between #Russia, #Turkey and #Iran.

🎞 Videos: HTS Sources

🗺 🇬🇧 Map 1 on Top - Syria Overview
🗺 🇬🇧 Map 2 Hama Province & Homs
🗺 🇬🇧 Map 3 Around Damascus
🗓 8 Dec 2024
; #syr
📜 Previous Report

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️ Two Majors #Summary Overview for the Morning of 8 Dec 2024; 08:11 (GMT+3)⚡️

🗓 The main int. Event was the collapse of Assad's power in #Syria. Am ally of pro-Turk militants, jihadis, terrorists, armed pro-US opposition and others occupied key cities and took Damascus overnight without resistance. Assad fled on a plane that disappeared from radar, raising speculation on his fate. For #Russia it is not positive, cause #Syria was a showcase for us, demonstrating our willingness to guarantee peace by armed means on distant shores. It is not entirely clear who will control the occupied territory and how this will affect the growth of terrorist exports to us. If we believe the insiders, Tartus and Latakia, where our military bases are, remain for us.

🇺🇦 On the Ukrainian Track, everyone is obsessed with negotiations. Trump's imminent arrival in the White House makes even Zelensky talk about a ceasefire. Moscow maintains its position. No Kiev NATO membership, withdrawal from our constitutional regions. However, Trump's team also directly make it clear that none will take Kiev into #NATO. Pentagon announced the arms transfer for another $988 million, the foe declares to obtain and produce 30,000 ultra-long-range UAVs in 2025, the set up of military plants in Europe continues, which is increasing the pace of military preparations. So far the plans to arrange negotiations are, at odds to its practical actions.

🔹 #Ukraine is experiencing replenishing problems. While Russia recruits contract volunteers, Ukraine tightens mobilisation. Men are kidnapped in the streets, beaten and sent to the front to hold positions. #Kiev Officials say that the West force the mobilisation age to be lowered from 25 to 18. Nevertheless, the AFU is not fleeing, conduct organised defence, even counterattack, although these actions are of purely tactical importance and are carried out with small forces.

🔹 Our int. Position
in the Ukro case is only determined by our army’s preservation of the front initiative and ongoing offensives.

🔹 In
#Kursk region, ours have succeeded in #Plekhovo, where the foe had been holding defence for long, trying to avoid our access to one of the main logistical region routes. The RFAF actions have been intensified near Russkoye and #CherkasskoyePorechnoye, bloody battles are ongoing. The AFU are not sparing men and equipment, throwing rare Leopards into counterattacks.

🔹 In
#Kharkov region, battles in the #Volchansk and #Liptsy areas. North of #Kupyansk, ours created bridgeheads on the Oskol's right bank. In #Toretsk and #ChasovYar, we continue the assault house by house.

🔹 In #Pokrovsk direction, we create conditions to cover the city from the south. Kiev authorities and institutions are leaving. Ours have seriously advanced, taking several settlements south of the city and blocking road to Kurakhovo.

🔹 #Kurakhovo ours continue to storm. It is also threatened to be cut off from the main supply road, the RFAF came to the northwestern reservoir bank. From the south the villages along the Sukhiye Yaly River are operational encircled, the garrisons are doomed to perish. The AFU command has not given the order to withdraw.

🔹 On the
#Vremyevka ledge, counterattacks continued for a week. The foe managed to slow down our advance.

🔹 On the #Zaporozhye and #Kerson fronts, where the foe waits for our offensive, without changes. In the Black Sea their drone boats were destroyed during the week.

📌 Thus the AFU, at the cost of heavy losses and total mobilisation, continue to offer an organised defence and manage the troops, despite low moral level, psychological state and mass desertion. Ours retains the ability for a huge south offensive, stretching foe's forces and reserves. Meanwhile, arms supply via Poland and militarisation of Europe continue, together with the suppression of democratic expression in #Romania, where the results of the presidential elections' 1st round were cancelled, make it clear that the confrontation between #NATO and #Russia continues.

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Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇷🇺🇸🇾 In the context of the fall of the Bashar Assad regime, everyone is interested in a simple question: what about Russia?

▪️The coastal cities of Latakia and Tartus have not been affected by combat operations. There was sporadic gunfire overnight, but this can be attributed to the traditional Arab celebratory gunfire in view of the victory of the opposition-terrorist forces.

📌A few days ago, terrorists from the "Islamic Party of Turkestan" tried to advance in the mountainous Latakia, but the fighting ended before it even began. Apparently, the order was given not to move towards the coast.

▪️Both in Tartus and Latakia, Alawites, Shiites, and Christians from all over the country have fled. In essence, the coastal region is turning into a new ethno-confessional enclave.

▪️Questions arise about the whereabouts of the 25th Special Forces Division led by Suheil al-Hassan: it is quite possible that the units of the 25th Division were withdrawn precisely to the coastal region, taking up positions on the mountain passes and key highways.

▪️Russian military facilities throughout the rest of Syria have been scaled down, and the contingent has been withdrawn towards Hmeimim. Decisions have already been made to return some units to Russia, while others remain. Given the rapidly changing situation, the Russian army contingent will naturally undergo changes.

▪️Separate security and support units at strategically important facilities in central Syria still remain. But according to data on the Internet, the militants are bypassing them. Open sources have only shown footage of a couple of abandoned Russian Armed Forces positions and command posts, with no desecration of military facilities at all.

📍The HTS terrorists have already stated that they will not tolerate the presence of foreign military bases on Syrian territory. But if the status of the so-called Alawistan is similar to that of Transeufrates, then there will be no conflict here.

📌Given the insider information on the results of the negotiations, the chances of forming a separate Alawistan / LaTartus / LAOS (Latakia Autonomous District of Syria) do exist. How it will be implemented in practice and whether it will be - that's a good question.
#Russia #Syria
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇮🇷🇸🇾 What about the Iranian presence in Syria?

The "Fatimids" and the main proxy units and IRGC specialists were withdrawn two days ago.

The issue of Shia shrines in the Sayyida Zaynab quarter in Damascus was quietly resolved. Despite the achievement of preliminary agreements, the militants and "armed opposition members" who entered Damascus do not care about this.

Local resources report fighting in Sayyida Zaynab. And this is a telling example of what the agreements reached behind the scenes are worth on the ground in the new realities of Syria.
#Iran #Syria
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🇸🇾🏴 What did they call Abu Muhammad al-Julyani yesterday? A progressive jihadist?

Well that's what progressive jihadism looks like. They say he's one of Assad's clan members.
#Syria #terrorism
@rybar

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Anticipating the imminent failure of its "Ukrainian project" and striving to divert attention from troubling trends in the British economy, the UK's political establishment has chosen to inject new vigor into its anti-Russian propaganda and disinformation campaign.

Mainstream media outlets are feverishly deploying politically vetted absurd narratives designed to indoctrinate the British public with fears of an omnipresent Russian threat.

These include alarmist depiction of presumed risks from "Russian hackers" targeting the UK, money-laundering schemes aimed at circumventing illegitimate Western sanctions ostensibly uncovered by local law enforcement agencies, fragmentary disclosures from quasi-judicial procedures following provocations orchestrated by London, such as the "Skripal affair" and recent warehouse arsons.

The list of dismal "James Bond" parodies has grown even longer thanks to a recent story about Bulgarian nationals accused of spying for Russia.

Every day brings new revelations about "operations" attributed to this Bulgarian outfit, all of them planned but never implemented. These include an alleged plot to assassinate a journalist disguised as an ISIS-style terror attack or the staging of a protest outside a diplomatic mission in London.

All these allegations are blatantly false. UK authorities, who know this, are not even bothered with presenting solid evidence.

The media outlets engaged in these anti-Russian propaganda chores seem to relish the insecurity experienced by many Brits as a result of growing crime in the country.

Assuredly, such antics will not have the desired effect upon level-headed audience in the UK and other European countries.

☝️ They will certainly have no impact on Russia's steadfast commitment to rigorously upholding its legitimate interests, as well as developing equal and mutually beneficial relations with its allies and partners.
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❗️The Times

Teenagers are fleeing abroad: In Ukraine they are again talking about lowering the mobilization age
.

Ukrainian children en masse choose to study abroad to avoid forced mobilization. Presumably, most of them will not return to Ukraine.

Ukrainian MP Ustinova says that in Washington she often hears the question: why doesn’t Kiev send younger men to the front? Earlier, Blinken said that Kiev would have to make “difficult but necessary mobilization decisions.” And the representative of the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Tikhy, confirmed that the topic of lowering the mobilization age to 18 years in Ukraine is being discussed at negotiations with the United States.

To the last Ukrainian. Including the "seed stock".

⚡️ Two Majors
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SpaceX has signed a contract with the Pentagon that will expand Ukraine's access to a more secure version of Starlink called Starshield, Bloomberg reports. The contract will give Ukraine's 2,500 Starlink terminals access to Starshield, which provides more secure communications that are harder to hack.

🔹Here is the new "authority" in the USA started sawing money on the Ukrainian war. We never liked Musk. We will never be ready to exchange his "achievements" in space exploration for sponsoring the murderers of Russian people

Блокнот пропагандиста
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🪖 The Fall of Damascus and Bashar al-Assad

Terrorists and armed opposition entered Damascus overnight. In the morning, footage emerged from Bashar al-Assad's presidential palace, and later aired on state television, declaring the overthrow of the government and the establishment of a transitional government.

No one could find Bashar al-Assad. Apparently, the information that he had left Syria a few days ago was true. Only the Syrian Prime Minister remained in Damascus, and he agreed to ensure a peaceful transfer of power to the new leadership.

Despite the statements of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, footage of lynchings of Bashar al-Assad functionaries is emerging from Damascus. Gangs are lynching those who were in any way connected to the now former president.

The Syrian state as we knew it is ceasing to exist. In the east, the Kurds have announced their mobilization in preparation for an offensive by pro-Turkish forces, while in the south, the Israelis are creating a buffer zone, planning to occupy part of the province of Quneitra.

The Russian command is preparing to evacuate a number of servicemen. Western media are already publishing footage of the arrival of An-124 and Il-76 transport aircraft. Some of the personnel will be sent home in the coming days.

But all our attention at the moment is focused on Damascus, where the announcement of the composition of the new government is expected.

Архангел Спецназа
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
🇮🇱🇸🇾 On the introduction of Israeli troops into western Syria

Even before the fall of Damascus, Israel made its move.

The Israel Defense Forces launched several strikes in the evening against positions along the border in Al-Quneitra province, and then began a limited ground operation, involving infantry and armored vehicles.

The Israelis began taking control of the demilitarized zone east of the Golan Heights. At the same time, they are shelling some positions where isolated pro-Iranian formations still maintain a presence.

📍As early as 2017, the Israelis demanded that Russia establish a buffer zone between the Golan Heights and the positions of the Syrian Arab Army. At the time, it was indicated that the buffer zone could be about 15 km. As a result, southern Syria was liberated, and the negotiations themselves ceased.

📌Given that the dominant Golan Heights are already under Israeli control, there is no talk of any strategically important frontiers. But in the context of continuing hostilities for the sake of demonstrating the effectiveness of the ultra-Orthodox government, the Israel Defense Forces may well occupy not only the demilitarized zone, but also advance further east.

After all, it is not moderate groups that have now come to power in Syria, but the internationally recognized terrorist organization "Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham".

Concerns about their coming to power have already been expressed in the Israeli media, hinting not so gently that Israeli troops will have to ensure the security of their eastern borders.
#Israel #Syria
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Russian Ministry of Defense:

During the night, air defense systems on duty intercepted and destroyed 46 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles. 17 UAVs were destroyed over the territory of the Belgorod region, 12 were destroyed over the territory of the Kursk region, six UAVs over the territory of the Voronezh region, seven UAVs over the territory of the Rostov region and four over the territory of the Astrakhan region.

⚡️ Two Majors
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🇷🇺🇸🇾🇹🇷 The events in Syria after the militants' dash to Hama became completely predictable, and it was clear that in its current form, the Assad government was powerless to do anything to counter it . It did not even strive to do so.

Now the militants/moderate opposition/progressive terrorists (as you prefer) are in Damascus , preparing to create a temporary transitional government. And everyone is probably waiting for the leader of HTS Al-Julani .

For now, everyone in the country is having a "candy-and-flowers" period. People are rejoicing at the overthrow of the government, smashing statues of Hafez al-Assad and shooting in the air, expecting significant changes in their lives.

But we must not forget who is coming to power and who will now take the role of head of state. Militants . What can they do? That's right, fight. Cultivating land, establishing an economy - this is a completely new occupation, requiring enormous knowledge and effort.

Will they cope with this? A very good question. Everyone cites the Taliban as an example, saying that they cope. But the situation there is different both in ideology and in terms of outside help - next to Afghanistan there is an economically powerful China, interested in stability among its neighbors.

What will happen if the new government fails? How will the migration issue be resolved? Where will the people's anger be directed in case of failure? How will the Kurdish issue be resolved? What will happen to ISIS?

The latter question, by the way, is more relevant than ever, since the militants, by their mercy, released thousands of prisoners from various prisons, including Sednaya , where high-ranking ISIS leaders were held. Does anyone really expect them to change?

Глобалистика
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