Threading on the Edge
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πŸ‘» Threading Daily β€” 16.01.2026 πŸ‘»

πŸ”–Macro
- Futures stable after stocks slide, on higher PPI
- Trump pulls back from Iran intervention
- US redeploys military staff in Qatar
- US moves aircraft carriers to the Middle-East
- Trump adds 25% tariff on import of some AI chips
- NATO nations deploy to Greenland

πŸ”–Crypto News
- Crypto inflows will rise further in 2026: JP Morgan
- BTC hits 2 month high on accelerating inflows
- XMR hits ATH of $800 before retreating
- STRK now live on Solana via NEAR Intents
- Ripple secures prelim EMI license in Luxembourg
- SEC ends Zcash Foundation probe
- Bitwise rolls out LINK ETF on NYSE Arca
- Bitmine invests $200m into Beast Industries
- Coinbase withdraws support for senate crypto bill
- Moonbirds publish $1b revenue thesis
- Metamask adds support for TRON network
- ZAMA sale portal is now open for eligible users
- Solana Seeker open $SKR checker, claims 21-Jan
- Lighter intros staking, LIT to list on Robinhood
- Former NYC mayor Adams disputes rugpull claims
- Sonic Labs issues partial recovery to exploit victims
- Myriad integrates USD1 into prediction mkts
- X is banning "infofi" apps that pay users to post
- Kaito sunsets Yaps, introduces Kaito Studio

πŸ”–Alpha/Good Reads
- x402 Unlocks the Agentic Economy β€” Delphi Digital
- Stablecoin Payments at Scale - How Cards Bridge Digital Assets & Global Commerce β€” Artemis

πŸ”–Raises
- Meld $7M, Stablecoin Service Provider < Faction, F-Prime
- LMAX Digital $150M, Crypto currency exchange < Ripple

πŸ”–Early Projects
- @innate_bot, Bio: Personal robots of the AI age. MARS is out now, pre-order at innate.bot
- @loki_robotics, Bio: We build robots saving people's time.
- @earlydotcash, Bio: Crowdfund liquidity for your token by launching a trustless presale early.cash

βœ…Follow for alpha β†’ https://twitter.com/arndxt_xo
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Lmao you really can’t make this shit up

- Signal alignment with Hyperliquid
- Announce intention to buy but never buy $HYPE
- Finally buys
- Gets exposed for having delta neutral position
- Claims it’s an LP who did it to hedge his position
- Offers β€œKOLs” 5K+ monthly for X badge (don’t ever forget the sell-outs)
- Announces testnet metrics (washed)
- Proceeds to raise funds
- Own LPs deposits to raise fomo
- Extend raise (Insiders buy on polymarket and make 5-6 figure)
- Cancels extension (after they sell polymarket bets)
- Doesn’t refund users yet
- Announces launch on Solana

Extract.exe complete

Anything else I missed?

https://x.com/kirbyongeo/status/2012345842519376289
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πŸ‘» Threading Daily β€” 19.01.2026 πŸ‘»

πŸ”–Macro
- Silver continues hitting ATHs
- Machado gives Nobel Peace Prize to Trump
- US strikes trade deal with Taiwan
- US adds 25% tariff on H200 chips sales
- German economy finally grows, on spending
- EU has membership-lite plan for Ukraine
- China, Canada ink energy pact

πŸ”–Crypto News
- $800M liquidation in last 12h, mostly long
- Interactive Brokers adds 24/7 USDC funding
- CME adds ADA, LINK, Stellar derivatives
- Pudgy Penguins partner with Man City
- Russia wants banks to report client crypto flows
- S Korea approves tokenized securities framework
- Google Play removes S. Korea exchanges
- Polygon laid off 30% staff in pivot to payments
- KAITO dumps after X bans InfoFi apps
- Noise may face issues on InfoFi ban
- 𝕏's major creator monetization upgrades for 2026

πŸ”–Alpha/Good Reads
- What’s Next for Prediction Markets? β€” Delphi
- Polymarket's Best Growth Path β€” Messari
- 2025 Annual Crypto Industry Report β€” Coingecko

πŸ”–Raises
- Konnex (Strategic) $15M, Robotics permissionless market < LD, Cogitent
- Veera (Seed) $10M, Cryptocurrency financial services platform < 6MV, Ayon
- Orochi Network $8M, Operating system applying zero-knowledge proof < ETH Fnd, MEXC...

πŸ”–Early Projects
- @orynth, Bio: Where products find their market. orynth.dev
- @telisxyz, Bio: A superior way to participate in the captial markets of the internet
- @a____t____g, Bio: Introducing Autonomous, an AI-native wealth strategist that brings elite strategies used by the ultra-wealthy, now available to everyone at 0% advisory fees. atg.science

βœ…Follow for alpha β†’ https://twitter.com/arndxt_xo
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i will present a bit of a contrarian take, polygon is NOT DEAD and it is becoming the open money stack.

@0xPolygon just spent $250M to stop being a blockchain and become a payments company

they acquired @Coinme and @0xsequence.

> coinme brings money-transmitter licenses (regulated fiat on/off ramps)
> sequence brings embedded wallets and one-click cross-chain orchestration. abstracts wallets swaps gas completely
calling it the open money stack.

blockchain rails + compliant fiat access + invisible onchain UX. this is vertical integration playbook

in 2025 polygon processed $1.4B payments services volume from @stripe, @blindpay and other merchants.

payments app transfers $7.7B total.

$364M jan β†’ $1.43B dec

what polygon realized:
- being L2 scaling layer is commodity business.
- ZK tech is open source.
- sequencer fees compress toward zero. every chain offers similar speed and cost
- actual moat is owning the full payments stack from fiat in β†’ blockchain settlement β†’ fiat out with regulatory compliance and UX abstraction

stripe did $1T+ volume 2024.
polygon doing $1.4B on just merchant base payments. capturing even 1% of stripe's flow would be $10B. that's the TAM they're chasing

my read on polygon:
- this works if merchants actually want blockchain settlement
- stablecoins are faster and cheaper than card networks for cross-border
- instant settlement vs T+2
- lower fees than 2.9% interchange

but merchants are conservative. stripe works.

why change? polygon needs to prove 10x better not 10% better to overcome switching costs also commoditization risk. if every L2 does this polygon's early mover advantage disappears. arbitrum optimism base all have distribution and could replicate stack

my concerns as follows:

- if payments volume continues $57M β†’ $239M trajectory and margins improve this validates thesis. if growth stagnates after acquisition that's concerning
- also wondering about tokenomics, where does $POL fit in payments stack. if token doesn't accrue value from payments growth then what's point
- stripe doesn't have token. successful payments companies monetize through basis points on flow.
- polygon's challenge: build sustainable business model not just revenue line

honestly respect the conviction. pivoting from L2 to payments company

most L2s still optimizing for TVL and transaction counts. polygon optimizing for regulated fiat settlement volume

one strategy is futures-focused. other is present-focused. we'll know which was right by end of 2026

market still values polygon as L2. should be valued as payments infrastructure if execution continues

if those deliver polygon rebuilt itself. if they don't this will be an expensive mistake

https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/2013126488384770197
πŸ‘» Threading Daily β€” 20.01.2026 πŸ‘»

πŸ”–Macro
- Gold, Silver continues to hit ATHs
- US tariff revenue hits $264b
- US 10yr yield hits highest since Aug
- Japan long term yields continue to hit ATHs
- China GDP grew 5% in 2025
- DoJ charges Venezuelan with laundering ~$1b
- OpenAI to start testing ads in ChatGPT
- X to award $1m to the best article in next 2 weeks

πŸ”–Crypto News
- Crypto falls, $900m liquidations on US-EU tariff war
- ETH exit queue at 0, entry queue at 2.5yr high
- ETH daily transaction ATH, gas fees record low
- XMR pump tied to $282m+ exploit
- NYSE develops 24/7 tokenized securities platform
- Maple surpasses $250M deposits on Kamino
- WalletConnect Pay goes global
- ETHGas completes $GWEI airdrop snapshot
- Hyperliquid donates 10k HYPE to ZachXBT
- Trove Markets FUD after it pivots to Solana
- ZachXBT identified Trove's founder after scam-like TGE

πŸ”–Alpha/Good Reads
- The AI Era of Apps is Here β€” a16z
- NYSE’s Tokenization Platform Is Bullish for Crypto β€” CZ
- The four-year cycle is dead. What will drive crypto in 2026? β€” Wintermute

πŸ”–Raises
- AKEDO (Seed) $5M, AI-native content creation engine and launchpad < Karatage, Sfemion, TON...
- HyperLend $1.7M, Digital asset lending platform < No Limit Holdings, RockawayX...
- Bitway (Seed) $4.44M, Bitcoin-compatible Layer 1 blockchain < Tron, HTX

πŸ”–Early Projects
- @FloorsFinance, Bio: Rising floor prices. Liquidation-free leverage. Auto-compound your favorite tokens. floors.finance
- @sandstonehq, Bio: The home for AI-native legal departments
- @official_bluff, Bio: Blink. And you'll miss it. bluff.com

βœ…Follow for alpha β†’ https://twitter.com/arndxt_xo
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πŸ‘» Threading Daily β€” 21.01.2026 πŸ‘»

πŸ”–Macro
- Silver, Gold continue hitting ATHs
- US yields continue march higher
- Germany: Trump hit red line with Greenland threat
- Trump invites Putin to board of Peace
- OpenAI aims to debut its first device in 2026

πŸ”–Crypto News
- Bitcoin nears $90k amid trade-war escalation
- Whale moves $85m BTC after 13 year dormancy
- ETH transaction spike from address poisoning
- NYSE plans 24/7 tokenized securities trading
- USDT price in Venezuela fallen by 40% since Jan 7
- S Korea busts $102m crypto laundering scheme
- Makina Finance suffers $5m stablecoin pool exploit
- MegaETH top open mainnet for stress test
- Chainlink introduces 24/5 U.S. equities data streams
- TROVE drops below $1m, down 95%
- ETHGas launches airdrop eligibility checker
- ZAMA public sale launches today (8 AM UTC, Jan 21)
- White Whale sees large holders exit
- Google search volume for Polymarket hits ATH

πŸ”–Alpha/Good Reads
- The Chainlink Endgame
- 2026 is the Year of Solana β€” Delphi
- 11 AI x Crypto Crossovers β€” a16z

πŸ”–Raises
- N/A

πŸ”–Early Projects
- @Kult_xyz, Bio: Stop Scrolling For Free || Build on @MegaEth Kult.xyz
- @unimartvc, Bio: πŸ¦„ Hub for Continuous Clearing Auctions by @Uniswap t.iss.one/unimartvc unimart.vc
- @primal, Bio: In the works. Q1 2026
- @dextrabot, Bio: Automated Airdrop Farming & Copy Trading Lighter, Aster, HL, Basedapp, Apex & more: linktr.ee/dextrabot

βœ…Follow for alpha β†’ https://twitter.com/arndxt_xo
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I genuinely think this changes everything if even 1% of their GMV touches this protocol

we've just hit $1M in ACTUAL ECOMMERCE payments settled onchain

real merchants selling real stuff settled in USDC on @base

thinking about x402 as well...THIS is what we should've been building the whole time. I don't think the market has priced this in at all

to put into perspective that's 5,400 actual transactions with refunds, voids, escrow

@Shopify + @coinbase went from basically zero mid-2025 to over a million settled by January.

what honestly kills me is this solves the actual problem:
- you need authorization before capture (so merchants don't get rugged), - you need refund mechanisms
- you need to abstract away wallets so normies don't have to think about gas.

I've watched so many crypto payments projects fail because they didn't understand this

Base is basically becoming the settlement layer for actual commerce.

watching the onchcain ecommerce scene, payments and x402 stuff because I think these are those things we look back on in two years and go oh yeah that was obvious

https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/2014164654894018993
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πŸ‘» Threading Daily β€” 22.01.2026 πŸ‘»

πŸ”–Macro
- Stocks dump on trade war & Japan yield jump
- Japan bond yields hit ATH, rise most in 4 years
- SC again delays tariff ruling
- Macron blasts Trump trade strategy
- Danish PF sells $100m US treasury position
- Corporate bond spreads hit lowest since 2007
- Greenland PM asks his people to prep for US invasion

πŸ”–Crypto News
- Strategy buys $2.1b BTC, largest buy in 1+ year
- Trump’s crypto wealth jumps $1.4b in a year
- HK to issue stablecoin licenses in Q1
- Iran sold weapons for $8b in crypto in 2025
- LINK intros onchain data for tokenized US stocks
- DOGE payment app to launch in Q1
- Ondo global markets launches on Solana
- Prediction markets volumes to hit ATH again in Jan
- Massachusettes to halt Kalshi’s sports betting
- Portugal blocks Polymarket on election bets
- Mask Network takes over Lens Protocol
- Solana Mobile airdrops SKR for Seeker users

πŸ”–Alpha/Good Reads
- Big Ideas 2026 β€” Ark Invest
- The 12 Most Important Trend Metrics on 2026 β€” Eli5

πŸ”–Raises
- Cork Protocol (Seed) $5.5M, Tokenized Risk Infrastructure < a16z, Road Capital, Gate...
- Farcaster (M&A), Decentralized social network < Neynar

πŸ”–Early Projects
- @HywardFi, Bio: The first AI-driven ve33 auto-vote engine Stacking $BTC & $HYPE for the next generation on autopilot hyward.xyz
- @EUPHORIA_xyz_, Bio: AI-GOVERNED PROTOCOL OWNED LIQUIDITY ENGINE. euphoriadao.xyz

βœ…Follow for alpha β†’ https://twitter.com/arndxt_xo
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this is legitimately brilliant

trying it today because if this actually works the way he describes I'm completely changing how I trade on prediction markets like
@Polymarket


i just gone through
@the_smart_ape
's bot, he just spent weeks building a free tool that connects Polymarket odds to real-time news because he was tired of manually tracking everything.

the insight here gathered is perfect:
- top traders on Polymarket aren't running sophisticated bots.
- they're just faster at spotting when the market price diverges from reality.
- markets stay mispriced for HOURS after major news drops. 10-30% off sometimes

he built polymarketnews(dot)xyz and it's actually insane:
- AI scrapes every major publisher
- flags bullish/bearish news with green/red markers directly on the price chart
- updates in minutes.

for instance, the Iran Khamenei market example, the news drops suggesting power consolidation, market doesn't react for hours, then crashes 40%

I've been saying this forever, information asymmetry is the only real edge in prediction markets and he just made it for free

absolute gold here

i genuinely think this is one of those tools that becomes essential infrastructure for anyone serious about prediction markets.

the edge isn't the bot it's the speed of information and he just leveled the playing field

https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/2014359301687791798
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