SITREP - Independent OSINT Channel
23.9K subscribers
16.1K photos
9.78K videos
6 files
22.1K links
AI, technology, mass surveillance, and intelligence — everything you need to know about tomorrow.
Download Telegram
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Gleb Bazov)
The Thee Hundred

The Claim: the 155th Brigade of the Russian marine infantry lost 300 men as wounded, killed, and missing in action in fighting at Pavlovka.

The Russian Ministry of Defence Response: The losses are significantly overstated, the losses of the Brigade constituted 1% KIA and 7% WIA. Most of the 7% WIA have already recovered and returned to battle.

The Renewed Claim: Ah-ha, well the Brigade is 3300 men at full strength, so 1% + 7% = 8% = 264 men killed and wounded (or 33 KIA and 231 WIA).

The Breakdown:

First of all, this is exactly what the reports indicated, that no more than 30 Russian marine infantry of the 155th Brigade lost their lives in the Pavlovka attack. Reports further indicated that the actual number of KIA was between 10 and 30.

Second, the “renewed claim” math only works if the Brigade is assumed to have been at full strength. This is false. From the beginning of the Ukrainian conflict many of the Russian units were understaffed, sometimes severely. This continues to be the case, and the Brigade was not at full strength in Pavlovka fighting.

Accordingly, the truth is definitely somewhere in between the “300 claim” and the MoD rebuttal, but more likely than not it is closer to the MoD numbers. This is confirmed by terse statements from Igor Mangushev.

Igor “Bereg” Mangushev

Colleagues, 155th Brigade just couldn't get that many combat-ready men [GB: to have lost 300]. As of mid-October, when I went on leave, that's for sure was the case. I doubt the situation has changed in two weeks. Cut the losses by three timesI agree, it could happen. But 300 people means that the brigade is gone and there is no one to write letters to. And they wouldn't have gotten into Pavlovka.

There were never hundreds of mobilized men under Pavlovka. If there had been, Pavlovka would've been crushed to hell. On the contrary, there are no men. Definitely not hundreds. There's no place to put them in Pavlovka.


Case closed, in my opinion. The losses of 100 (all in), with an approximate breakdown of 10-20 KIA and 80-90 WIA appears to be closer to truth.

Join Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Forwarded from TheNebulator
The US has less than 10 years left, if financial analyst Martin Armstrong is to be believed. In an interview over the weekend, he said his computer models show major domestic unrest in the US next year and that the entire monetary system is collapsing. Fraud is so rampant, he alleges, that whether the elections are fair or not, neither major party will be willing to accept their results as legitimate.

“The United States will not exist after 2032. After 2028 and 2029, we are going to have to redesign a government from scratch. America is being destroyed,” Armstrong said.

Now, you may attack his credibility (Wikipedia already does), and doubt the timeline, but... if you actually live in the US, you know that what he's saying more or less accurately reflects the state of affairs. It didn't have to be this way, but here we are.
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎬 Weather on the Front delights Ukrainians⚡️

🇺🇦 The AFU's light equipment cannot cope with the autumn weather

📌 Nazis get stuck in their trenches, cars get stuck on roads.

t.iss.one/Slavyangrad /@sitreports/#VID/Verbatim Translation/
Join SLG🔺Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
⚠️ Maybe you already saw the video in next forwarded post 👇. The provider provider of the video exchanged the video link, so I had to exchange the link on Slavyangrad and now I forward again (cause it is impossible to edit forwarded posts) The former post without video I deleted. Cheers 🍻
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎬 Exclusive Battle Footage from the Front⚡️

Tankers and artillery work on gathering places, strongholds and fortifications of not good people (Ukropians) 🇷🇺

t.iss.one/Slavyangrad /@sitreports/#VID/
Join SLG🔺Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
⚡️⚔️🇷🇺🗓 MoD Top News from Yesterday - Summary⚡️

✈️ Tu-95MS
pilots from Amur Long-Range Aviation Formation have practised flights in complicated meteorological conditions.

💥 In Kupyansk direction, 2 enemy battalion tactical groups, supported by foreign mercenaries, had been conducting offensive operations towards Nizhnyaya Duvanka and Svatovo (LPR).

💥 In Krasny Liman direction, 2 enemy battalion tactical groups attempted to launch an offensive towards Ploshchanka and Chervonopopovka (LPR).

💥 In Nikolayev–Krivoy Rog direction, Russian units, supported by artillery, have repelled an offensive of a battalion tactical group of the AFU near Dudchany, Novaya Kamenka, Belogorka (Kherson region).

🪖 Mobilised personnel and volunteers continue their training course in Leningrad and Stavropol regions.

📹 Russian Defence Ministry has published footage of Ka-52 helicopter crews, and Eastern MD Uragan MLRS crews in combat action within the special military operation.

#MoD #TopNews #Russia #Ukraine
t.iss.one/sitreports /@mod_russia_en/
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Military Expert Boris Rozhin on the Highlights of Russia's #SMO in #Ukraine at 20:03 on 7 Nov⚡️

1.
#Donetsk Direction:

"Sparta" declares completion of liberation of #Donetsk Airport territory and displacement of the enemy forces from the remaining fortifications there.
Fighting continues for #Vodyanoye and #Pervomayskoye and for fortifications in #Opytnoye. The enemy continued shelling #Donetsk during the day.

2. #Ugledar:

Positional fighting continued near #Novomikhailovka and #Pavlovka without significant progress. The enemy was able to stabilize the front, due to which the pace of our offensive decreased.
We failed to take #Pavlovka in a single blow and immediately reach the route to #Ugledar, at least for now.
There were no significant changes at #Maryinka.

3. #Soledar:

There are no changes in the city itself, street battles are taking place.
Progress is reported in the battle for #Belgorovka, where our troops have again entered and are fighting to clear the settlement.
There is no change in the area of #Spornoye.

4. #Svatovo:

The enemy made several attempts to attack, but failed to advance, suffering tangible losses.
The #Kremennaya - #Svatovo highway is under enemy artillery fire, but the enemy has not been able to cut it off completely or even reach it.
The Russian Armed Forces continue to resolve the tasks of stabilizing this section of the front.

5. #Kherson:

No significant changes. The enemy continues to probe the front line of our troops, but has not yet launched a full-scale offensive, expecting some kind of catch associated with various rumors of #Kherson abandonment in connection with the destruction of the #Kakhovka hydropower plant.
The evacuation of civilians to the left bank of the #Dnipro River also officially ends today. The city itself continues to experience power outages due to the blowing up of power lines by enemy SRGs.

t.iss.one/sitreports /@boris_rozhin/@voenkorKotenok
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction until the End of 7 Nov 2022⚡️

🩸 The AFU command continues to move infantry units and equipment into the #Berislav area ahead of the next phase of the offensive against #Kherson.

The main goal at the moment is to achieve a numerical superiority in personnel many times over. According to #Kherson residents, the offensive could begin (continue) in the next two to three days.

#Nikolaev Sector:

▪️ Artillery and mortar crews of the 28th Mechanized and 59th Motorized Infantry AFU Brigades are shelling Russian positions.

#Andreevka - #Berislav Sector:

▪️ The AFU is redeploying forces near #Bereznegovatoye railway station and Davydov Brod.

▪️ Nearly all barrel and reactive artillery have been withdrawn from #Bereznegovatoye village, two SAU and one SAM remain in the village itself. A field hospital has been established near the village.

▪️ At the same time, almost all combat-ready units from the Krivoy Rog area, from the second echelon and the deep hinterland, are being moved to the line between #Petropavlovka and #Chervonoye.

▪️ Russian troops attacked AFU positions near #Bereznevegovatoye, killing more than a dozen people.

t.iss.one/sitreports / t.iss.one/rybar/40960 /#smo
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 7 Nov 2022⚡️

#Belgorod Region:

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled the border town of #Grayvoron. Damage to residential buildings and a transformer, no casualties.

#Starobelsk Direction (MAP):

▪️ In the #Kupyansk sector, the sides are engaged in positional fighting in the vicinity of the village of #Yagodnoye near #Ivanovka.

▪️ In the #Svatovo sector, AFU units are trying to break through the Russian defences near the village of #Kuzemovka.

An AFU assault group launched an attack from the direction of #Berestovoye on #Nevelskoye. The Russian forces carried out preemptive strikes against the enemies, forcing them to retreat to their initial positions with losses.

▪️ In the Lyman sector, assault groups of the 66th Mechanized AFU Brigade attacked the Russian positions in the direction of #Makeyevka and #Chervonopopovka. The Russian forces repulsed the attack and the enemy withdrew.

Ukrainian units advanced stealthily from the #Zherebets River side to the #Svatovo - #Kremennaya route. The Russian forces ambushed the AFU militants and forced them to hastily retreat to their initial positions with concentrated artillery fire.

The AFU attempted an offensive in the forest belt towards #Ploshchanka but failed and retreated.

#Soledar Direction:

▪️ Fighting continues in the outskirts of #Bakhmut, #Opytnoye and #Spornoye. Wagner PMC troops broke through the enemy forward lines and entered #Belogorovka on the #Bakhmut - #Lysychansk highway.

▪️ At the same time, units of the LPR People's Militia and Akhmat Regiment entered another (!) #Belogorovka near #Seversk. The capture of the settlement will allow access to #Seversk from the northeastern direction.

#Donetsk Direction:

▪️ There are no significant changes in the #Ugledar Sekror. Positional fighting continues in #Pavlovka, as well as near #Maryinka and #Novomikhailovka.

▪️ Fighters of the DPR Sparta Battalion have completed the clearing of #Donetsk Airport. Battles continue for #Vodyanoye, #Pervomayskoye and fortifications in #Opytnoye.

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled residential areas and civilian infrastructure in #Donetsk. A 14-year-old girl was killed in Petrovsky district. Enemy militants also shelled #Kashtanovoye, #Panteleymonovka, #Mikhailovka and other settlements of the agglomeration.

#Zaporozhye Direction:

▪️ Artillery duels continue in #Zaporozhye region along the line of contact, with Russian forces striking enemy positions in #Gulyaypole, #Olgovskoye, #Shcherbaki and #Dorozhnyanka.

#Nikolaev - #Berislav Direction on Southern Front:

▪️ The AFU command continues to prepare for an offensive along the entire frontline.

▪️ At the same time, the organized evacuation of civilians from the right bank of the #Dnipro River in #Kherson was completed.

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled #Berislav and #Kherson with HIMARS MLRS, the missiles were intercepted by air defence forces.

t.iss.one/sitreports / t.iss.one/rybar/40957 /#smo
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Highlights of Russian Military Operation in #Ukraine on 7 Nov 2022⚡️

💎 A brilliant Video by @Rybar but 7.8 MB only instead of 45.3 MB.

t.iss.one/sitreports/ t.iss.one/rybar/40969 /
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎯 Destruction of Ukrainian Msta-B Howitzer in #Donetsk Direction⚡️

Artillery from the 11th Regiment of the DPR People's Militia destroyed a towed 152-mm Msta-B howitzer of the AFU near the village of #Tonenkoye, west of the #Avdeevka fortified area.

The Ukrainian howitzer was deployed towards residential areas of #Donetsk and was used to fire on civilian objects.

This is not the first time artillery systems have been destroyed near #Tonenkoye. "Msta-B" is capable of hitting at a distance of up to 30 kilometres with various ammunition.

Coordinates: 48.151104, 37.636499

t.iss.one/sitreports / t.iss.one/rybar/40959 /#vid/
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎯 Battle for #Donbass - #Kaskad near #Ugledar⚡️

The All-Seeing Eye of the DPR OBTF '#Kaskad' detected a column of Ukrainian military in #Ugledar and sent a gift in the form of a 'Cube' UAV to the uninvited guests. The end of this story is quite predictable.

t.iss.one/sitreports /@obtf_kaskad/#vid/
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
⚔️🇺🇸🐮💩 Analysis of the Situation in Ukraine by the US Troll Entity "Institute for the Study of War" (ISW):

⚠️ Compare the verbiage of lies, half-truths and failure to report with, see here 👉 Boris Rozhin's Statements on the situation. The unbiased observer may make up his own mind.

November 7 Key Takeaways🔻

▪️ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) issued a rare statement on November 7 in response to extensive Russian milblogger outcry about reported extensive losses and poor command within the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade of the Pacific Fleet.

▪️ The Russian pro-war siloviki faction (including Yevgeny Prigozhin and Ramzan Kadyrov) is increasing its influence in part to advance personal interests in Russia and occupied Ukraine, not strictly to win the war.

▪️ Russian forces have greatly depleted their arsenal of high-precision weapons systems and have suffered significant aviation losses and will likely struggle to maintain the current pace of the Russian military’s coordinated campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure.

▪️ Russian occupation authorities likely began a new phase of evacuations from Kherson Oblast.

▪️ Russian troops continued efforts to fix Ukrainian troops against the international border in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast.

▪️ Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops continued counteroffensive operations in the Svatove direction.

▪️ Russian sources claimed that Russian troops conducted limited counterattacks to regain lost positions west of Kreminna.

▪️ Russian sources widely claimed that proxy and Wagner Group troops entered the outskirts of Bilohorivka.

▪️ Russian sources reported that Ukrainian troops are massing in the Kherson Oblast direction.

▪️ Russian troops continued offensive operations around Bakhmut, in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area, and in western Donetsk Oblast.

▪️ Ukrainian forces conducted limited interdiction efforts against Russian concentration areas in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

▪️ Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to make public statements and signed additional decrees to portray himself as taking steps to fix fundamental problems with partial mobilization in Russia.

▪️ Russian and occupation officials continue to abduct Ukrainian children, intimidate civilians, and escalate filtration measures.

t.iss.one/sitreports /@TheStudyofWar/
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
⚔️🇬🇧🐮💩 The British Unintelligence has the Floor🔺

🎃 Our Brits are very informative as always. The one who want to be accurately informed about the situation on the fronts, shall follow "Defence Intelligence"!

t.iss.one/sitreports /@DefenceHQ/
Join SITREP🔺Map Reports - Top Videos - Analyses
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎬 Exclusive Footage from Fighters of the 4th LPR Brigade⚡️

These fighters have been professionally destroying Ukrainian militants since the beginning of the SMO. We have already shown you gun battles with their participation, and now you will see the denazification of two Ukrainian BMP-1s near #Spornoye village.

The nationalists hid in a wooded area, camouflaging the military equipment, but it did not help. It was possible to determine their exact location using a drone. The coordinates were relayed to an artillery crew and live fire was opened. The dugouts where the militants were located were not saved either- the 4th Brigade's shells reached the target.

#Spornoye remains strategically important in the north of the DPR - the road to #Lysychansk runs along this front section. The Rebels are trying to make breakthroughs, but are met with stiff resistance each time.

t.iss.one/Slavyangrad /@milchronicles/@sitreports/#vid/
Join SLG🔺Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Olaf)
⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦🎯 Battle for #Kherson - One AFU Kozak-2 is no longer Capable of Operation⚡️

Russian military destroys AFU's Kozak-2 armoured vehicle in #Kherson region. They worked with high-precision Krasnopol artillery ammunition. The strike was corrected by a reconnaissance drone crew.

t.iss.one/Slavyangrad /@anna_news/@sitreports/#VID/
Join SLG🔺Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Forwarded from War on Fakes
Fake news:
Donbass cemeteries are completely full and they have to bury fallen Russian soldiers either on the side of the road or in a flowerbed. This is reported by Ukrainian telegram channels.

The fact:
The video shows footage of the memorial Walk of Fame for fallen Donbass soldiers , which is located at the New Cemetery in Kamenny Brod in Lugansk. The Walk of Fame is used to bury the fallen defenders of Donbass from 2014 until the present day. The video shows that on the earlier graves, stone crosses have already been placed, and on the fresh ones, temporary wooden crosses are still in place. The fact that the two videos show the same alley can be identified by the kerbsides, the LPR and Russian flags and the arches at the end of the alley.

The graves of Russian soldiers regularly attract unhealthy interest from Ukrainian propaganda. We have already exposed fakes related to the burials of our fallen soldiers on several occasions. The Ukrainian media should do a better job of telling its population about the real losses of the Ukrainian troops and ask themselves whether defending the Nazi ideals of Bandera and Shukhevych was worth the deaths and the grief they caused.

👉 Join the channel | Оur website with materials in other languages
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM