⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡 Critically Vulnerable Points in Ukraine's Energy System - RT and @Rybar's Breakdown⚡️

The Russian Armed Forces launched (t.iss.one/Slavyangrad/13521) massive strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure yesterday. Rybar's team has already stressed that the impact at this point will barely affect the functioning of the energy system. And a systematic impact is needed to achieve a significant effect.

🔻 The vulnerable spots of the power system are the 750 kV substations.

➖ Most of the nuclear power plants are located in the west of the country. It is the most stable element in the Ukrainian energy system.

➖ In the centre of Ukraine there are thermal power plants and the Dnieper cascade of HPPs. The operation of Ukrainian HPPs is highly dependent on the water level in reservoirs, and the failure of one or more dams can severely reduce the amount of energy generated.

➖ The eastern regions of the country are powered by thermal power plants. Because of coal shortages, thermal power plants cannot be considered a stable link in the energy system: they may simply run out of fuel.

🔻 Strikes on 750 kV open switchgears will disrupt the entire Ukrainian energy system. Large sources, especially nuclear power plants and thermal power plants, would be isolated and shut down.

As a result, even the west of the country, where the Rivne and Khmelnitsky nuclear power plants are located, will feel power shortages. There is already talk of rolling blackouts in some Ukrainian cities.

🔻 It will not be possible to restore power grids near nuclear power plants quickly. With winter looming, grid failures will have catastrophic consequences.

▪️ The Kievskaya-750 substation. It transmits electricity from Khmelnitsky and Rivne NPPs to the central and eastern regions of Ukraine.

Autotransformers: 50.493278, 29.691278;
50.493000, 29.695083;

▪️ Vinnitsa-750 substation. It distributes power from the South Ukraine NPP to the west and centre of the country.

Autotransformers: 49.164500, 28.722056;

▪️ West Ukrainian-750 substation. It distributes electricity from the Rivne, Khmelnitsky and South Ukrainian NPPs to Hungary. Autotransformers with capacity of 1000 MVA.

Autotransformers: 49.385944, 24.247639;
49.385889, 24.249222;
49.385833, 24.251750;

▪️ Dniprovskaya-750. It is used to distribute power from the South Ukraine NPP to the million-strong cities of Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye.

Autotransformers: 48.434722, 34.036333;
48.436056, 34.035972;

▪️ The Zaporozhye-750 substation receives power from the South Ukraine NPP, it is closest to the front.

Autotransformers: 47.998944, 35.508417;
48.000667, 35.508028;

▪️ substation Severo-Ukrainskaya-750. Energy bridge to Russia, to KNPP, power transmission from Rivne and Khmelnitsky NPP through Kiev substation to Kharkov.

Autotransformers: 50.690056, 33.769361;

▪️ NPP OPEN SWITCHGEAR. The WSU strike on the open switchgear of Zaporizhzhya NPP showed the effectiveness of this approach because open switchgear is critical to any power generation system.

If the open switchgear of the Rivne, Khmelnytskyi and South Ukraine NPPs were to be hit specifically, the Ukrainian power system would be severely damaged.

750 kV outdoor switchgear of the Rivne NPP: 51.321400, 25.918435
750 kV switchgear of Khmelnitsky NPP: 50.296547, 26.643720
750kV switchgear of the South Ukraine NPP: 47.819796, 31.228414

❗️At the same time, impacts on 330 kV substations should continue, which could partially compensate for the inability to use the 750 kV substation.

The more substations that are taken out of service, the greater the shortage will be. Nearby nuclear and hydro power may be generated but there will be no one to consume it, and where there will be consumers, there will be no generating plants.

@Slavyangrad/@rybar/ t.iss.one/rt_russian/131612 /
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Kherson: Situation in the #Andreevka and #Berislav Sections at 14:00 on 11 Oct 2022⚡️

#Andreevka Section:

▪️ A platoon of the 137th Battalion of the 35th Separate Marine Brigade of the AFU attempted a sortie in the direction of #Bruskinskoye and #Ishchenka. Russian Forces spotted the enemy activity and hit them, forcing them to retreat to Davydov Brod with losses.

▪️ After the failure of the storming of the village of #Sadok, the command of the 46th Airmobile Brigade is redeploying its units. Some of the forces of the 24th Mechanised Brigade are being withdrawn to restore combat readiness.

▪️ ATGMs were delivered to the area 4.4 km northeast of the village of Sadok. A combined SRG of the 46th and 28th Brigades is formed in Davydov Brod. An ambush is set up south of Malaya Aleksandrovka in case of a counteroffensive by Russian Forces.

#Berislav Sector:

▪️ A SRG of the 80th Airmobile Brigade, under artillery cover, attempted to evacuate the wounded and the bodies of the fallen on the #Polyanka - #Dudchany line. The Ukrainian units were pushed back to their initial positions by the counterfire of the Russian forces.

▪️ A network of informants is operating on the left bank of the #Dnipro river in Russian-controlled areas. It provides Ukrainian forces with data on the location of Russian positions in Malaya Lepetikha, Mikhailovka, Verkhny and Nizhny Rogachik.

▪️ The information received is relayed via open communication channels to the 60th Infantry Brigade checkpoints in Zolotaya Balka and #Novoalexandrovka. Ukrainian forces are probably planning to land tactical landing troops from the left bank of the #Dnipro river to carry out acts of sabotage in the rear of Russian Forces and near #Energodar.

@Slavyangrad/ t.iss.one/rybar/40060 /#SMO/
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💥 Battle for #Donbass: Assault on #Opytnoye⚡️

Footage of DPR's rocket artillery shelling AFU positions on the outskirts of #Opytnoye village near #Donetsk. A separate drone from the Sparta Reconnaissance Battalion provides target acquisition and fire control.

The Grad multiple rocket launchers are literally ploughing through a wooden area where Ukrainian fighters were stationed. Although the 122mm rockets are not capable of destroying the stronghold and leveling it, they hit shelters and facilitate further advances by motorized rifle units.

The village of #Opytnoye, north of #Donetsk Airport, is a major enemy stronghold. Its capture will allow access to the southwestern outskirts of #Avdeevka, which is one of the main defence hubs of the AFU near #Donetsk.

Coordinates: 48.091064171335404, 37.73314410368317

@Slavyangrad/ t.iss.one/rybar/40041 /
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⚡️ Russian Defence Ministry report on the progress of the special military operation in Ukraine
(October 11, 2022)

📄 More

#MoD #TopNews #Russia #Ukraine
@mod_russia_en

⚡️🇺🇸🏴‍☠️🌺 Tulsi has left the Democratic Warmonger Party and calls to follow her⚡️

I can no longer remain in today’s Democratic Party that is now under the complete control of an elitist cabal of warmongers driven by cowardly wokeness, who divide us by racializing every issue & stoke anti-white racism, actively work to undermine our God-given freedoms, are…

t.iss.one/Slavyangrad /@TulsiGabbard on Twitter🔻/
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twitter.com/TulsiGabbard/status/1579788950696185859

⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Situation in the #Soledar Direction at 15:00 on 11 Oct 2022⚡️

▪️ The #Soledar OTG command expects an active offensive by Russian troops on the #Kodema - #Kurdyumovka and #Klinovoye -Krasnaya Gora lines to further blockade #Bakhmut (#Artemovsk) from the north-east and south.

▪️ Government offices are evacuated from #Bakhmut itself to Chasov Yar. Signatures are being collected in some units of the AFU on the issue of distrust of the grouping's command.

▪️ Wagner PMC Fighters have reached the southeastern outskirts of #Bakhmut and established control of #Ivangrad in the course of fighting. Ukrainian formations suffered losses and withdrew to the #Klescheevka area.

▪️ Forty-three military personnel and one reserve platoon were also transferred to the #Klescheevka area to reinforce defences and restore positions. Wounded are being evacuated from #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye) with the help of armoured combat vehicles.

▪️ Wagner PMC units eliminated an AFU stronghold west of #Nikolaevka, which had interfered with control over a section of the Nikolaevka II - #Otradovka highway. In addition, a stronghold of Ukrainian units northwest of #Zaitsevo, which was liberated late last week, was taken.

▪️ AFU artillery and Mi-8 helicopters fire on #Ivangrad and Veselya Dolina to contain the advance.

▪️ In the #Spornoye area, units of the Wagner PMC captured an AFU stronghold on both sides of the #Verkhnekamenka - #Berestovoye road. The Russian forces managed to approach the site of the gas compressor station, where there were also permanent fire positions and equipped positions of the Ukrainian units. Further advance towards #Spornoye is hindered by a difficult mine situation.

@Slavyangrad/ t.iss.one/rybar/40069 /#SMO/
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Battle for #Kherson: Situation in #Andreevka and #Berislav Sections at 16:00 on 11 Oct 2022⚡️

#Andreevka Sector:

▪️ AFU formations of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade, supported by two artillery crews, reinforced with armoured vehicles and ATGMs, are advancing on the Russian Forces' positions in #Borozenskoye along the forest belts 16 km east of Davydov Brod.

#Berislav Sector:

▪️ Artillery crews of the 60th Infantry Brigade conduct artillery drills on Russian positions on the #Pyachatki - #Polyanka line ahead of another attack attempt.

▪️ In the morning, a meeting of the tactical commanders of the 17th Tank Brigade was held in #Ukrainka. The personnel of the 80th Army Brigade of the AFU were rotated to the outposts.

@Slavyangrad/ t.iss.one/rybar/40071 /#SMO/
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💥 AFU Strike on Russian Power Substation in #Shebekino⚡️

#Belgorod region governor Vyacheslav Gladkov has reported that the AFU have hit a power substation in #Shebekino.

There were no civilian casualties, but the region is experiencing problems with electricity, with at least two thousand citizens disconnected from the grid.

@Slavyangrad/ t.iss.one/rybar/40072 /
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Analysis of the Ukrainian Regrouping on the Kremennaya Front

If we assume that the Ukrainian army has removed its troops from the Kremennya zone not to another part of the front, but to another direction, then we can consider two versions of where exactly they could go and with what purpose they would do it.

"The Nazis are urgently regrouping their forces in the direction of Svatovo, it looks like there will be an attempt to attack," reports the 105th regiment of the DPR People's Militia. Starshe Eddy (@VysokyGovorit) claims the same thing. Perhaps they are both wrong, but we have here an attempt to undertake analysis without clear intelligence data.

So, there are the two versions of a possible AFU offensive, given their retreat from the Zherebets river line:

1) A flank attack bypassing the Tavolzhansky stronghold in order to reach Troitskoye to be able to establish control over the former state border area north of Svatovo. With further prospects of a turn to the south. If successful, this strike would significantly reduce the role of Svatovo and cut through some of our supply lines.

2) In the Pervomayskoye-Raygorodok section, with a possible supporting strike in the Raigorodok-Makeevka area, to knock out the Kotlyarovsky stronghold and saddle the Kupyansk-Svatovo route with access to the Krasnaya river its tributaries north of Svatovo in order to attempt traversing them. If this turns out to be successful, then mobile units may be sent into the breach zone. The consequences of this are difficult to predict.

All of these, however, are only promising areas, which the Ukrainian armed forces have been pounding on with varying degrees of success recently. At this moment, there is no evidence that any reserves capable of breaching our defenses have been deployed here (which does not guarantee the absence of such a deployment). On the contrary, there is ample evidence of our forces being deployed here.

Ukrainian analysts, in fact, publicly estimate our forces deployed in the area, including in the Belgorod Oblast, at 25K + 3K in reserve. There is no reason to believe them, but these are the numbers they are voicing publicly.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

(click on the map link below for both variants of Ugolny's analysis of the Ukrainian regrouping)

https://t.iss.one/SLGmaps/8

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Inna)
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Rumours of Ukrainian Evacuation from Artemovsk

According to Artemovsk local channels, emergency services and police have initiated an evacuation there. This is interpreted by a number of channels (started by @Legitimniy, with the Russian channels amplifying this further) as a preparation to "surrender Artemovsk".

Generally, in addition to the advance near Artemovsk, which is now in the spotlight, far more dramatic events are taking place to the south. The southern group of the Russian Army, apart from the blockade of Artemovsk from the south (after Odradovka, Zaitsevo, Veselya Dolina, and the Asphalt Plant, they appear to have entered Opytnoye, Ivangrad, and the Hydro Dam area), continues to advance westwards in the Maiorsk - Ozaryanovka - Kurdymovka - Zelenopolye - Klescheevka area. Ukrainian press actually spoke today about the Russian Army advancing close to Ozaryanovka, though this fact has yet to be confirmed by the Russian press.

Further advance to the west not only puts the entire Artemovsk garrison at risk of encirclement (which is still a long way off), but also begins to threaten the encirclement of Dzerzhinsk from the north. This, in turn, will seriously worsen the strategic position of the AFU in Donbass.

Accordingly, the AFU may or may not cling to Artemovsk. But any reserves, if they are sent here, will go first between Artemovsk and Gorlovka. Because there, after a long time and a lot of spent resources, our troops have gone only halfway through enemy fire.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

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Analysis of the Current Operational Importance of Artemovsk

Simply speaking, we needed to take Artemovsk as much as a caveman needs to keep the fire alive, but only for as long as we had Izyum. Izyum provided a blockade of Slavyansk from the north-west and west (we did not take Barvenkovo, road traffic was going there, though the railway did not work—it does now).

Now, all that said, Artemovsk is still a strategic point. Taking control of Artemovsk will give us a lot of terrain won back in our favour, blockading the Slavyansk garrison once again (the Ukrainian army in Slavyansk has been actively engaged in fighting in the Liman area because of operational freedom as a result of the loss of Izyum), this time from the east.

But now the liberation of Artemovsk does not mark the final push for Slavyansk. Now the liberation of Artemivsk will only mark new battles in the area of Chasov Yar, along the route to Slavyansk, and in the area of Soledar.

But to the south, between Artemovsk and Gorlovka, we will sooner or later blockade Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) from the north and cut the Dzerzhinsk-Konstantinovka highway.

The consequences of this step depend on the measures taken by the Ukrainian command and the resources available to us. In the best-case scenario, the Ukrainian grouping in Avdeevka will suffer an operational crisis.

This, however, is not a matter of one day or even one week. Nonetheless, the trend is clear.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Inna)
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#YURI Russians counterattack near Liman, pushing back the enemy away from Kremennaya to Terny-Torskoye line. If they manage to hold these strategic settlements, the third battle for Liman, with roles reversed, may happen. Wagner men enter south-eastern parts of Bakhmut. Attacks near Donetsk towards Pervomayskoye continue to reach the third line of defence of Avdeyevka and threaten its supply routes. No active actions of the enemy in Zaporozhye or Kherson, but a large-scale enemy offensive is possible in the comming days.

Missile stike on Ukraines power grid continue with the same intensity as yesterday. The countdown to a complete energetic collapse is estimated by the Ukrainian side as 7-10 days (if the strikes continue). Yuri considers that it may happen in much faster, subject to the same condition.

Disponible en Español: @rpd_es.

The Virtues of Digesting Strategic SMO Updates With Grains of Salt

Russian troops are reported to have rushed to take up positions at the Zherebets River line west of Kremennaya. Preliminary information suggests that Novosadovoye, Terny and Torskoye have been liberated, and fighting continues near Yampolovka and Kreminna Forest.

To understand the processes in the Svatovo-Kremennaya direction, let's recall the prehistory of the current fighting - namely the Kharkov region tragedy of September 6-10. Let's run through my notes:

On September 7, everyone writes about the prospect of the Izyum cauldron because of the cutting off of the road to Izyum from the north. However, they are wrong: "In the most catastrophic scenario Izyum grouping will not be surrounded, they have an opportunity to manoeuvre to the left bank of Oskol (that's where Sviatogorsk is located)." The regrouping is still a few days away, but it happened exactly as I said.

Also on September 7, a member of the OPSB gives information that all is not well on the left bank of Oskol. In particular, the 35th Army had taken with them the pontoon across the Seversky Donets during the regrouping and the adjoining forces didn't have theirs. Bad suspicions began to creep in.

On September 8, the situation worsens. Rybar gives information about the concentration of the AFU in the Izyum direction. "It also appears that an attack on the Krasny Liman district of the DPR is being prepared. The enemy has moved DRGs [Diversionary-Reconnaissance Groups] south of Krasny Liman and Yampol, as well as pontoon-engineering units to Raigorodok."

September 9: "A deeper breakthrough on the left bank of the Oskol, is impossible without a supporting strike from Slavyansk and Seversk to Izyum and Krasny Liman respectively." While Bezsonov will be claiming that the strike force that attempted to break into Liman from Seversk was defeated on September 7, the Khokhols will be finalising preparations to traverse the Seversky Donets river near Krasny Liman and Sviatogorsk. This will take place on the 10th.

The night of September 10: "A new problem has emerged in the form of an attempt to force the Seversky Donets in the direction of the DPR's Krasnolimansky district. As the evening haggle said, they can do this only tonight." That is exactly what will happen.

At that time, all sorts of military co-rat-spondents will be feeding you information about the reserves arriving and entering the battle.

The evening of 10 September: "The mobilised units holding Red Liman as of 16.30 this afternoon are literal heroes." This is due in part to the fact that our media had managed to surrender Krasny Liman. The media was wrong.

So, let us summarize: starting from September 7, i.e. the second day of the Ukrainian offensive, the strategic importance of Oskol for the Izyum grouping was obvious. And, consequently, the threat to the Krasny Liman district.

This was written about repeatedly until the moment when the 16th BARS battalion engaged in unequal combat with the superior enemy forces, giving time for our army to prepare the lines for defence.

The end of the first part, in the second we will see when Svatovo was first mentioned and how the fighting in the Krasnolimansk district was treated.

from @Zola_of_Renovation

https://t.iss.one/SLGmaps/12

@Slavyangrad / SLG Spetsnaz Detachment (Picchu)
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⚡️🇷🇺⚔️🗓 TMoD Top News from Yesterday - Summary⚡️

🇷🇺 Russian Defence Minister General of the Army Sergei Shoigu has inspected preparatory activities of mobilised personnel recently conscripted from Russian regions within partial mobilisation.

💥 Today, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue launching the massive attack using high-precision long-range air- and sea-based armament at the facilities of military control and energy system of Ukraine. Two enemy companies made an unsuccessful attempt to attack the positions of Russian forces towards Krakhmalnoye (Kharkov region) and Stelmakhovka (LPR) at Kupyansk direction.

💥 The intense action of Russian forces has resulted in driving the enemy back to its initial positions. Up to 40 Ukrainian personnel and four armoured combat vehicles have been destroyed. Up to two company tactical groups of the AFU made another attempt to cross Zherebets river towards Raygorodki and Novovodyanoye (LPR) at Krasny Liman direction.

💥 Pre-emptive fire attack has resulted in the destruction of two ferries. Up to 20 Ukrainian personnel and four pickups have been destroyed. The company from 66th Mechanised Brigade of the AFU sent to reinforce them was caught in a minefield where a part of its military equipment was exploded. The personnel was neutralised by Russian artillery fire. Over 80 Ukrainian personnel, eight armoured combat vehicles and four pickups have been eliminated.

🇷🇺 Mobilised citizens and volunteers continue their training course in Kaliningrad region and Transbaikalia.

📹 Russian Defence Ministry has published footage of Mi-28n helicopter crews, howitzers and tanks in combat action within the special military operation.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of the Special Military Operation for 11 Oct 2022⚡️

The Russian Armed Forces continued to strike Ukrainian infrastructure facilities. Russian Forces attacked the #Ladyzhynska thermal power plant in the #Vinnitsa Region, power substations in #Lvov Region and a railway junction in #Shepetovka. There were also fires near of #Kiev at TPP-6 and Kiev HPP.

The strikes on critical infrastructure have already taken their toll. Ukrainian authorities have announced a halt to electricity exports to the European Union, and regions across the country have experienced emergency power outages.

#RussianFederation Shelling:

▪️ Ukrainian militants hit a power substation in #Shebekino in #Belgorod region, leaving several thousand citizens in the region without power.

▪️ The AFU struck an agricultural enterprise in the village of Nizhny Olshanets in #Belgorod region, leaving no civilians injured or killed.

#Starobelsk Direction:

▪️ In the #Kupyansk area, the AFU again attempted an offensive against Russian Forces' positions at the #Olshany - #Pershotravnevoye line, but were repulsed.

#Soledar Direction:

▪️ Wagner PMC fighters were able to reach the southeastern outskirts of #Bakhmut (#Artemovsk) and gain control of #Ivangrad under heavy fighting. The AFU, in turn, retreated to the #Kleshcheevka area.

▪️ The Wagnerians eliminated an enemy stronghold near #Nikolaevka, which prevented them from taking control of a section of the #Nikolaevka II - #Otradovka road. They also stormed AFU positions northwest of #Zaitsevo and near #Spornoye.

#Lugansk Region:

▪️ The enemy struck the town of #Stakhanov in the Lugansk Republic and damaged civilian infrastructure.

#Donetsk Direction:

▪️ Ukrainian militants shelled the #Donetsk agglomeration again. #Donetsk, #Makeevka, #Yasinovataya and other populated areas were hit.

#Zaporozhye Direction:

▪️ In the #Zaporozhye direction, the enemy continues to concentrate personnel and military equipment in preparation for an offensive near #Orekhov and #Gulyaypole.

▪️ Russian Forces have hit firing positions of Ukrainian militants near #Nikopol and #Marganets, from where #Zaporozhye NPP and #Energodar are being shelled.

#Nikolaev - #Berislav Area on the Southern Front:

▪️ In the #Andreevka section of the front, units of the 46th Brigade launched an offensive against Russian positions in #Boroznenskoye, east of Davydov Brod.

▪️ In the #Berislav Sector, Ukrainian formations shelled Russian Forces' positions near #Pyatikhatki and #Polyanka.

@sitreports/ t.iss.one/rybar/40086 /#SMO/
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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ #Chronicle of Battles in the #Starobelsk Direction 7 - 11 Oct 2022⚡️

A brilliant Video by @Rybar but 8.1 MB only instead of 48.1 MB.

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