Against the backdrop of the fall of Avdeevka, NATO will now have to realize a new reality, and in particular its inability to give the Ukrainians as much equipment and weapons as required by the scale of hostilities.

If we talk about tanks, without taking into account American reserves, which Washington is in no hurry to share, Europe will not be able to ship more than 100-120 vehicles this year. Europe will be able to transfer no more 152/155 mm artillery systems, taking into account how many of them have already been transferred. The main problem of the EU is the defense-industrial complex, which has not yet begun to develop in earnest, and which they are still trying to stimulate mainly with promises. How many guns (and which ones!) the United States will transfer is also not clear yet - Washington still hasn’t decided on funding for Ukrainians in principle.

Against this background, the talk about a million shells becomes just a bad joke. In general, this figure can be achieved through the combined efforts of the EU and the United States, but at the cost of refusing to replenish their own reserves and export supplies to other countries, which is unlikely. Therefore, most likely there will be significantly fewer shells than promised. Especially considering the reluctance of other major manufacturers of artillery systems and ammunition to get involved with the Ukrainian topic.

There will be more drones, given that the enemy’s electronics industry and related industries in the form of optics, precision mechanics, etc. are on the move, but drones, with all their capabilities, will not be able to replace artillery. How NATO is going to get out of this situation remains to be seen.

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📋🇷🇺🇺🇦⚔️ Two Majors #Report for the Morning of 19 February 2024; pub. 07:33📍

🗓 In the morning, official statements were received about the liberation of the Coke Plant in #Avdeyevka, Russian flags were hoisted on the buildings of the enterprise. Our troops are developing an offensive to the west, trying to wedge themselves into the enemy's defences. They are fixed on the occupied lines.

🔹On the #Zaporozhye front, motorised riflemen and paratroopers are fighting for #Rabotino, they ask not to rush to report on the situation, the line of contact is changing. They reported successes in the south of the village, there are heavy bloody battles. In the direction of #Kamenskoye, the RF Armed Forces are striking at enemy concentrations. The head of the enemy #Zaporozhye administration announced the evacuation of residents in the frontline territories controlled by the Kiev Regime.

🔹From the #Kherson direction, it is reported about the destruction of enemy boats and artillery strikes on the enemy shore.

🔹To the west of #Artyomovsk (#Bakhmut), our troops are developing the offensive on #Ivanovskoye (#Krasnoye), advancing on a front up to 2 km wide – to a depth of 1 km, according to enemy estimates. Footage has appeared of the offensive actions of our 98th Airborne Division.

🔹West of #Kremennaya, our offensive into the #Terny area continues. To the south, there are battles for #Belogorovka.

💥 The enemy's strikes on the #Belgorod region do not stop. The governor reported on FPV drone impacts and quadrocopters with drops. On the border, mobile electronic warfare means are constantly fighting with enemy UAVs, in some cases it is not possible to land them, which may be due to a change in enemy frequencies.

☠️ In the #DPR, #Donetsk and #Gorlovka, three civilians were injured as a result of the explosion on the "petals" and submunitions. In the settlement of #Panteleymonovka, as a result of the detonation of a previously unexploded AFU submunition, three children, boys born in 2012, 2013, 2014 were seriously injured.

🗺 #Zaporozhye direction - Pskov paratroopers and motorised rifles of the RF Armed Forces broke through the 1st line of the Ukronazi defences on the #Rabotino -#Verbovoye section.👇

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