RunnerXBT Insights
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Market thoughts/commentary of @RunnerXBT
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Man oh man, its fucking bad when ETFs are actually buying and yet here we are nuking -10% intraday anyways

Happy weekend everyone, get ready & all lubed up for next week punishment
despite being a day-trader first

purchased some BTC to hold for 3+ years in cold storage

(will not relong Fartcoin anymore, its dead)
since already getting questions, no im not going all in BTC spot long here

ill happily buy 70k and 60k and 50k too if we get it

but if we get there, there will be noone left to read this channel
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Good morning everyone, I hope everyone enjoyed a lovely GREEN weekend

I have some bad, unfortunate, news

The usual suspect returned to the orderbooks as of few minutes ago and is selling BTC like there is no tomorrow.

God protect us all this week. love ya
americans go on weekend -> market rallies
CME opens (americans) -> market starts selling off
Forwarded from infinityhedge
The Week Ahead: infinityhedge

Mon:
*Monad Mainnet
*Grayscale's DOGE & XRP ETF starts trading
*Singapore Exchange will launch BTC and ETH perp future
*Saylor expected announce another BTC purchase (at 91k?)

Tue:
*Alibaba earnings
*MegaETH Pre-Deposit Bridge: USDC on ETH→ USDm on Mainnet (Frontier), $250M cap.
*U.S. Sept. retail sales, PPI

Wed:
*U.K. budget (expected tax rises)
*Fed’s Beige Book

Thu: Thanksgiving

Fri:
*International Buy Nothing Day
*Black Friday

TBA/Whole Week:
⊷ Zelenskiy-Trump Potential Meeting (U.S. tells Ukraine: Take the peace deal - or else will cut off intelligence sharing & weapons supplies)
⊷ US Supreme Court hears arguments on Trump’s tariffs (IEEPA) continues
⊷ December rate cut odds back above 60%
⊷ China vs Japan diplomatic war continues
⊷ Naver expected to confirm its plan to acquire Dunamu (operator of Upbit), Upbit to pursue Nasdaq IPO after merger
⊷ Claude Opus 4.5 release

ICYMI:
⊷ Short-term correlation btw BTC and Nasdaq 100 hit a new high
⊷ US probes Bitmain over national security concerns
⊷ Microstrategy faces risk of being dropped from MSCI USA & Nasdaq 100. A decision on index inclusion is expected by Jan. 15, MSCI is proposing to exclude from the MSCI Global Indexes companies whose digital asset holdings represent 50% or more of their total assets.
⊷ Cardano experienced a temporary chain partition on Sat. after a malformed transaction triggered a bug in an underlying software library. "around 60-70% ran node B (bug)...Eventually A became the longest chain and fork B was resolved, yet most of the history and progress was preserved & the malformed transaction removed. Network recovered & self-healed"
⊷ Numerai Raised $30M Series C At $500M Valuation
⊷ Jump Trading has become active on prediction markets
⊷ Offchain Labs challenges Vitalik’s RISC-V proposal, says WASM better for Ethereum L1
⊷ Google released Gemini 3 Pro, most advanced foundation model with record benchmark scores; Google also released Nano Banana Pro that can produce better visuals with precise and legible text in multiple languages.
⊷ S&P 500 Reporting Highest Revenue Growth in 3 Years
⊷ Record Memory Shortage: 'HDD, DRAM, HBM, NAND... all in severe shortage in 2026'

https://infinityhedge.substack.com/p/the-7-days-0ff
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US session starts, tradfi moons, BTC and BTC.D aggressively sells-off

The BTC-specific seller is back and at least its getting predictable and allows you to day-trade around it.

Frustrating? absolutely, but easy to trade around
also notice how Saylor didnt buy BTC last week?

we aped it all at 102k last week, wholesome
Send the Canadian (Changpeng Zhao) back to prison, pronto!
RunnerXBT
Send the Canadian (Changpeng Zhao) back to prison, pronto!
guess which chinese exchange is nonstop jeeting

man oh man…

thursday is national holidays in USA & Friday markets are opened just for half a day

so technically “long weekend” which could be interesting as its almost 4 days
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SP500 less than 2% away from new All-time-highs

🫡
RunnerXBT
guess which chinese exchange is nonstop jeeting man oh man… thursday is national holidays in USA & Friday markets are opened just for half a day so technically “long weekend” which could be interesting as its almost 4 days
4 day (kind-of) weekend ahead of us (just started)

next LTF level for BTC for me is "Yearly Open" 93k

Would feel absolutely ORGASMIC if we were to reach that this month honestly, good luck bullz
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My single biggest bull-data point for BTC is that orderflow for the first time in very long time looks decent.

Since the lows of 81ks, BTC Open Interest (Effectively how much leverage there is in the system) has decreased -13% which is v bullish to me. BTC CME OI is down a bit too

Very simple rule of thumb:
- Less leverage -> Good
- Spot buying is better than Perps buying
RunnerXBT
BTC +$7000 since these buys, higher 🫡
+$8000 in 6 days, approaching an important level 93.3k (Yearly Open)
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another day of US session starting and marking a local top in price

crypto would have been more fun without americans

big fat white vertical line? yep, NYO
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Warning: BTC maxi rant.

state of the altcoin market, pretty much the single most hyped/anticipated launch of this cycle has had a full "market cycle" (and full retrace) in 2 days and 8 hours

I cant believe there are still folks out there in almost 2026 trying to pretend any of these altcoins have any fundamentals whatsover

If you see any "KOL" or big account on twitter shilling anything besides BTC or Hype, assume they were paid to do so.