🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- Trump says the US will strike Iran again if it resumes its nuclear program.

🇮🇷🇮🇱 - Many of you have been asking for our opinion on "who won" the Iran-Israel showdown.

Here's admin's opinion: Nobody won.

Iran clearly didn't lose all or even a significant amount of critical assets for its nuclear program, despite US intervention. However, Iran didn't inflict permanent, serious, or lasting damage on Israel in their missile retaliations.

Israel hasn't sustained serious material losses, besides numerous battered buildings in population centers, depletion of their munitions, and the death of a few dozen civilians. However, Israel was clearly unable to achieve all of their objectives in Iran. While they did inflict significantly more damage in terms of casualties and material loss to Iran, it's something Iran can easily recover from.

While this was clearly a miserable stalemate, we don't think this is over. This "ceasefire" that Trump has been gloating about appears more temporary than lasting. Israel was unable to spur regime change in Iran, they were unable to dismantle Iran's nuclear program (even with American assistance) and Israel was unable to seriously limit Iran's military capabilities.

Israel will not stop until Iran's regime is overthrown. Unfortunately, they will need the US to assist them. More than anything, this "12 Day War" seemed more like a "dress rehearsal" for Israel's ultimate objectives in Iran. Time will tell if our assessment is correct.

🇮🇷🇮🇱 - One thing that Admin did observe throughout the course of the conflict was the gradual decrease in missile volume. In other words, as the fighting carried on, Iran was firing fewer and fewer missiles at Israel as the ceasefire inched closer.

The first day Iran retaliated, approximately 150-250 ballistic missiles were fired at Israel, and it caused serious damage, most notably striking the "Kirya" complex, the headquarters of the Israeli Ministry of Defense. As time went on, however, Iran was firing fewer and fewer missiles daily, sometimes only ~10-20 missiles a day.

This decrease can attributed to one of two things:
1) Iran calibrated its missile activity to be proportional to Israeli strikes, or
2) Israel's attacks on Iranian missile launchers was effective, forcing Iran to fire fewer and fewer missiles, despite having a large inventory.

At this time, it's difficult to say which is correct. However, if Iran sustained losses to launchers throughout the course of the conflict, their primary means of deterring Israel from striking may be withering. If Israel can take out Iran's retaliatory capabilities in a sustained air war, Iran will not be able to retaliate against Israel.

Again, this is speculative.

🇮🇷🇮🇱 - An Iranian source has told us this:

"At the beginning of the war, Israel killed almost all of the Iranian generals and commanders. The Iranian people expected even more [losses] from the war with Israel. Both Iran and Israel suffered major blows, and the Iranian people expected it. The subsequent Israeli strikes were milder. In addition, the missiles that Iran fired in the final days were more advanced, and Iran tried to economize their usage."

We try to avoid favoring one side or the other, but this assessment is quite accurate.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "The ceasefire is going very good. I am so proud of Israel. They brought their planes back," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "The last thing Iran wants to do is enrich anything. They just want to recover," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "We will not allow Iran to enrich," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "Can you imagine after all of this and Iran still says lets make a [nuclear] bomb?" - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "Iran still has a country, so that counts as a victory for them," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "CNN and NYT's reports are very demeaning to our pilots," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "I think the Iran nuclear plans have been set back decades," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "Iran went through hell, they won't try to do the nuke thing again," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "Iran and Israel will not be fighting each other," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- "If Iran rebuilds its uranium enrichment facilities, the US will attack again" - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "I asked NATO countries years ago to raise their defense spending to 5%, and they will do so today," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡- "Putin volunteered to help with the Iran issue, I told him no, you need to solve Ukraine, not Iran," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "We are with them all the way," - President Trump on Article 5 at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "I stand with Article 5. That is why I am here," - President Trump at the NATO Summit in The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "Alliance members pledge to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035," - Joint NATO statement from The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "The alliance affirms its long-term support for Ukraine and including military aid in defense spending," - Joint NATO statement from The Hague.

🇺🇸🇬🇧🇪🇺⚡- "The alliance pledges to expand transatlantic defense cooperation," - Joint NATO statement from The Hague.