Election Wizard
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Populist news, election coverage, and wizardly takes. Use promo code WIZ at https://MyPillow.com to SAVE up to 66% off!
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Democrats are pushing trash polls in Oklahoma to make the Governor’s race appear tight. It’s not. Stitt is well-positioned to win all 77 countries, including Oklahoma County. Some of the polling is plain ludicrous, showing Biden massively over performing his 2020 margin in OK.
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WATCH: Demonstrations over the legitimacy of the presidential election continue in Brazil.

https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587759871147008000?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
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Save up to 66% on Mike’s TV Specials when use promo code WIZ!

https://www.mypillow.com/tv-specials
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WATCH: Large numbers of Brazilian military forces arrive in Rio De Janeiro following demonstrations over the legitimacy of country’s presidential election.


https://twitter.com/electionwiz/status/1587764038997577728?s=46&t=gXKSPnMudsLQY28rKDU94A
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Panic is starting to set in for Democrats. It’s not just Nevada. In multiple key states, Democrats are not hitting the Early Vote + VBM numbers they need to counteract an Election Day Red Wave.
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Democrats are not hitting the numbers they need in the Early-in-Person and Vote-by-Mail to counteract a Red Wave on Election Day. We'd expect a turnout drop between a presidential election and a midterm, but the current decrease is jaw-dropping.

The best estimates I've seen show the total early vote has decreased by a whopping 60% compared to 2020, which appears much higher than we'd expect from a presidential to midterm cycle. Early voting in many states will close by this weekend.

Worse for Democrats, their share of the early vote has decreased too. At this point in 2020, Democrats held an estimated 15% advantage in the early vote. Right now, Democrats hold a national lead of about 12%.

In crucial battlegrounds, Democrats have seen significant tightening.

AZ
2020: D-44/R-34
2022: D-40/R-37

FL
2020: D-42/R-37
2022: D-38/R-43

NV
2020: D-43/R-35
2022: D-40/R-38

OR
2020: D-48/R-26
2022: D-42/R-34

Democrats are maintaining their 2020 % share in some states like IA, NM, and PA. But because the volume of early vote is considerably lower, it raises the specter that Democrats may not be able to withstand a large GOP turnout on ED, which appears likely at this point.

Last, there's reason to believe Democrats are struggling in some places to turn out their core consistency groups. For example, in Georgia, the Black early vote turnout has steadily declined. | Follow: @electionwizard
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As my MAGA friend #BrickSuit points out, it's not in the bag for the GOP yet. Yes, Republicans are positioned to do well next week, but that ONLY happens if they get to the polls. If the GOP doesn't show on Nov. 8, they will get swamped by the Democrat's early vote advantage.
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It's been much harder (though not impossible) this time for Democrats to repeat their election "fortification" efforts of the early vote. The jig is up about the drop boxes, third-party funding, and ballot harvesters. The early vote numbers reflect this reality.
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BREAKING: In a historic move, Republicans have taken the lead in Florida's Miami-Dade County in the early + mail-in voting over Democrats.
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BREAKING: Thousands of protesters concerned about the legitimacy of the Brazilian Presidential Election swarm the military barracks in Rio de Janeiro. They pled military commanders to intervene.

https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587849956492197890?s=20&t=YPi3bP_pnrTqiA4-LqxEDg
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WATCH: Helicopter footage shows a massive crowd assembled at the Brazilian military command (PalΓ‘cio Duque de Caxias) in Rio de Janeiro. Protestors claim the presidential election was rigged and ask the military to intervene.

https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587852543446904832?s=20&t=0U_IP8rGJhGavdXlTmVXig
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READ: Elon Musk trolls AOC in series of Tweets.
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BREAKING: Elon Musk to eliminate 50% of all the Twitter jobs to save on costs, per Bloomberg.
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QUESTION: Who in the U.S. Government requested Twitter to flag Jesse's tweet???
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POLL: Oklahoma Governor

*Stitt (R): 52%
Hoffmeister (D): 39%
Other: 5%
Undecided: 4%

500 LV | 10/28-10/31 | Β± 4.4%
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TUCKER: "Standing at this monument to his own failures [Union Station], Biden proceeded to do what he now so commonly does, bark at the rest of us for our moral failures. The guy who showered with his daughter is telling you you’re a bad person."

https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1587967989676122112?s=20&t=pm-EawbOWHuZ2sjn7zaCiQ
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CERNOVICH: "Next week is massive. Even many safe Democrat seats aren’t. The Senate might flip. Get your asses to the polls and drag out everyone you know!"
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"Every time Biden calls people who didn’t vote for him β€˜threats to democracy,’ I hear a man who knows he didn’t win the 2020 election fairly." - Lee Smith, author of the Plot Against the President
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