โก๏ธ THIS IS UNBELIEVABLE
Israelโs Tel Aviv stock market keeps hitting new all-time highs since the war started.
Meanwhile, GOLD is down 7.87%.
@odes_ai
Israelโs Tel Aviv stock market keeps hitting new all-time highs since the war started.
Meanwhile, GOLD is down 7.87%.
@odes_ai
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โ ๏ธ IS JANE STREET PLANNING TO MANIPULATE BITCOIN AGAIN?
Just now, wallets linked to Jane Street have deposited $19,000,000 in BTC to institutional-focused exchanges.
These platforms are used for high-frequency trading, which has been responsible for the 10am slam in the past.
@odes_ai
Just now, wallets linked to Jane Street have deposited $19,000,000 in BTC to institutional-focused exchanges.
These platforms are used for high-frequency trading, which has been responsible for the 10am slam in the past.
@odes_ai
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๐จ US Oil prices have hit $85/barrel, a 23-month high.
The surge reflects strong demand and tightening supply constraints. Market analysts anticipate that this trend could impact various sectors, including transportation and consumer goods.
@odes_ai
The surge reflects strong demand and tightening supply constraints. Market analysts anticipate that this trend could impact various sectors, including transportation and consumer goods.
@odes_ai
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๐จUS unemployment came in at 4.4%
Expectations for the figure were set at 4.3%. This reflects a slight increase, indicating potential shifts in the labor market.
@odes_ai
Expectations for the figure were set at 4.3%. This reflects a slight increase, indicating potential shifts in the labor market.
@odes_ai
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๐จ $800,000,000,000 has been wiped out from the US stock market at open.
This significant drop reflects market volatility and investor sentiment.
๐ Such fluctuations can indicate broader economic concerns, impacting various sectors.
Stay tuned for more updates on market movements.
@odes_ai
This significant drop reflects market volatility and investor sentiment.
๐ Such fluctuations can indicate broader economic concerns, impacting various sectors.
Stay tuned for more updates on market movements.
@odes_ai
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๐จ BREAKING: Blackrock a $10 TRILLION asset manager, might be facing a liquidity crunch in its private credit fund.
BlackRock limited withdrawals from its $26 Billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after investors requested $1.2B, equal to 9.3% of the fundโs assets.
The fund faced challenges as liquidity concerns continue to grow.
@odes_ai
BlackRock limited withdrawals from its $26 Billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after investors requested $1.2B, equal to 9.3% of the fundโs assets.
The fund faced challenges as liquidity concerns continue to grow.
@odes_ai
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๐จ THIS IS VERY CONCERNING
The US economy might be heading towards stagflation, and the consequences could be disastrous.
Since the US-Iran war has started, oil prices are going through the roof.
In just 5 days, US oil prices have moved from $70 to $82, an 18% increase.
Using data since the last CPI release, US oil prices are up nearly 32%, or $19.6.
As per estimates, every $10 increase in oil prices causes a 0.2% rise in inflation and a 0.1% drag on GDP.
Right now, the US CPI is at 2.4%, while last quarter's GDP was at 1.4%.
If accounting for the oil price increase, CPI is now at 2.8%, while the GDP has dropped to 1.2%.
This means inflation is about to run hot again, while economic growth will shrink, a scenario called "stagflation."
And this is the worst-case scenario for an economy.
During stagflation, if the Fed:
Does tightening โ Inflation will cool down, but economic growth will get worse.
Does easing โ Economic growth will get better, but inflation will go up even more.
Now, the only hope is that the US and Iran reach a negotiation, allowing oil tankers to move easily.
This will result in more supply entering the market, and oil prices will fall, causing future inflation to cool down while economic growth rises.
@odes_ai
The US economy might be heading towards stagflation, and the consequences could be disastrous.
Since the US-Iran war has started, oil prices are going through the roof.
In just 5 days, US oil prices have moved from $70 to $82, an 18% increase.
Using data since the last CPI release, US oil prices are up nearly 32%, or $19.6.
As per estimates, every $10 increase in oil prices causes a 0.2% rise in inflation and a 0.1% drag on GDP.
Right now, the US CPI is at 2.4%, while last quarter's GDP was at 1.4%.
If accounting for the oil price increase, CPI is now at 2.8%, while the GDP has dropped to 1.2%.
This means inflation is about to run hot again, while economic growth will shrink, a scenario called "stagflation."
And this is the worst-case scenario for an economy.
During stagflation, if the Fed:
Does tightening โ Inflation will cool down, but economic growth will get worse.
Does easing โ Economic growth will get better, but inflation will go up even more.
Now, the only hope is that the US and Iran reach a negotiation, allowing oil tankers to move easily.
This will result in more supply entering the market, and oil prices will fall, causing future inflation to cool down while economic growth rises.
@odes_ai
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โ ๏ธ US WAR IS NOT WITH IRAN.
The conflict's focus is solely on one nation: China. For years, China has been acquiring cheap oil from both Iran and Venezuela.
Before the Venezuelan takeover, China absorbed between 50% and 89% of Venezuela's total crude oil exports. Much of this trade was facilitated through a "shadow fleet," often rebranded as coming from countries like Malaysia to circumvent U.S. sanctions.
Moreover, a significant portion of China-Venezuela trade was conducted in yuan, contributing to a decline in dollar dominance. In terms of Iranian oil, China purchased more than 80% of all Iranian crude oil exports last year.
Iranian oil typically trades at a steep discount of $8 to $13 per barrel below the international Brent benchmark, leading to an estimated savings of $10 billion for Chinese refiners in just one year. Similar to Venezuela, the China-Iran deal was primarily executed in yuan.
Estimates suggest China imported 20% of its crude oil from Venezuela and Iran, effectively bypassing the USD. The U.S. is actively seeking to disrupt this trade.
As a result, China has criticized U.S. actions against Venezuela and Iran. Recently, China officially opposed U.S. and Israeli military initiatives in Iran and urged Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
China understands that prolonged conflict could compel it to conduct trade deals in USD should the U.S. gain control over Iranian reserves, which would ultimately weaken its economic standing.
Meanwhile, Trump's strategy appears aimed at making China as weak as possible, as coexistence of two global superpowers is seen as unviable.
@odes_ai
The conflict's focus is solely on one nation: China. For years, China has been acquiring cheap oil from both Iran and Venezuela.
Before the Venezuelan takeover, China absorbed between 50% and 89% of Venezuela's total crude oil exports. Much of this trade was facilitated through a "shadow fleet," often rebranded as coming from countries like Malaysia to circumvent U.S. sanctions.
Moreover, a significant portion of China-Venezuela trade was conducted in yuan, contributing to a decline in dollar dominance. In terms of Iranian oil, China purchased more than 80% of all Iranian crude oil exports last year.
Iranian oil typically trades at a steep discount of $8 to $13 per barrel below the international Brent benchmark, leading to an estimated savings of $10 billion for Chinese refiners in just one year. Similar to Venezuela, the China-Iran deal was primarily executed in yuan.
Estimates suggest China imported 20% of its crude oil from Venezuela and Iran, effectively bypassing the USD. The U.S. is actively seeking to disrupt this trade.
As a result, China has criticized U.S. actions against Venezuela and Iran. Recently, China officially opposed U.S. and Israeli military initiatives in Iran and urged Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
China understands that prolonged conflict could compel it to conduct trade deals in USD should the U.S. gain control over Iranian reserves, which would ultimately weaken its economic standing.
Meanwhile, Trump's strategy appears aimed at making China as weak as possible, as coexistence of two global superpowers is seen as unviable.
@odes_ai
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โ ๏ธ The Volatility Index jumps to a one-year high of 29, a level last seen during the 2025 trade war.
History shows that when the Volatility Index spikes due to uncertain events, it often signals a market bottom.
Will it repeat this time?
@odes_ai
History shows that when the Volatility Index spikes due to uncertain events, it often signals a market bottom.
Will it repeat this time?
@odes_ai
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๐จOIL breaks above $90, the highest level last seen in 2 years and 4 months
This milestone marks a significant rebound for the commodity, highlighting ongoing market dynamics and potential implications for related sectors.
@odes_ai
This milestone marks a significant rebound for the commodity, highlighting ongoing market dynamics and potential implications for related sectors.
@odes_ai
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โก๏ธ In just 2 days, total mined BTC will hit 20 million.
The remaining 1 million Bitcoin will take 114 years to mine.
Truly insane!!
@odes_ai
The remaining 1 million Bitcoin will take 114 years to mine.
Truly insane!!
@odes_ai
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๐จ BREAKING: Residents, youโre my responsibility. The UAE is fine and strong.
UAE President Mohamed Bin Zayed reassured residents about the country's stability and strength.
@odes_ai
UAE President Mohamed Bin Zayed reassured residents about the country's stability and strength.
@odes_ai
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๐จBREAKING: A high-rise tower in Kuwait was just targeted by an Iranian drone.
This incident marks a significant escalation in regional tensions. As further details emerge, it is crucial to monitor the geopolitical implications of such actions.
@odes_ai
This incident marks a significant escalation in regional tensions. As further details emerge, it is crucial to monitor the geopolitical implications of such actions.
@odes_ai
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