Forwarded from feruza.dev
AI ishingizni olib qo’yadimi?
OpenAI da 3 nafar ilmiy tadqiqotchilar bilan ko’rishdik, ular ham bir xil fikrda. Ya’ni, AGI (inson qobiliyatlarini taqlid qila oladigan sun’iy idrok) keyingi 5 yillikda dunyoga keladi, va deyarli o’zlari ham ishsiz qolishlari mumkinligini aytishdi. Yoki bo’lmasa, Dan Hendrycksni olaylik, Center for AI Safety rahbari. Keyingi 3-5 yilda AGI chiqishini va hozirdan boshqa “hobby”lar oxtarishni boshlashimiz kerakligini maslahat berdi. Boshqa tarafda esa, Sebastian Thrun, Waymo va Udacity asoschilaridan biri, hamma texnologiya yaxshi va faqatgina hayotimizning sifatini rivojlantirishga ishlaydi deb ta’kidladi.
Xullas ba’zilar xotirjam bo’lsa, ba’zilar vahimada. Endi bunga mantiqan qaraylik. Vahima qilayotgan insonlarning ko’pchiligi AI xizmatlarini ishlab chiqarib, sotayotgan jamoa vakillari. Va ko’pincha aynan shunday kompaniyalar hammaga va shu jumladan investorlarga ‘keyingi falon yillarda AGI ni biz ishlab chiqaramiz’ degan sari, investorlar ham ko’proq pul bergisi keladi. Bu gapim bilan hammasi bo’lmagan gap, AI ish bozorida hech narsani o’zgartirmaydi demoqchi emasman, o’zgarishlar bo’lishi aniq.
Shaxsan o’ylaymanki, bunday gaplarga quloq solib, vasvasaga tushgandan ko’ra, qiziqqan yo’nalishingizni chuqur o’rganing, diqqatingizni jamlang va sun’iy idrokni sohangizda o’z foydangizga qanday ishlatishingiz mumkinligi haqida o’ylang. Doim AI haqidagi yangiliklarni ko’rib, ijtimoiy tarmoqlardagi vahimachilarni kuzatib, o’zingizni ishsiz qolmay deb har xil narsalarga urishdan foyda yo’q. Shoshilib, chala va nomiga o’qib o’rgangan hunarlaringizni AI albatta sizdan ancha yaxshi qila oladi. Muhimi, diqqatni jamlang. Diqqat va kuchli mehnat endi har doimgidanda muhimroq, ayniqsa bugungi hamma chalg’igan dunyoda.
@feruza_dev
OpenAI da 3 nafar ilmiy tadqiqotchilar bilan ko’rishdik, ular ham bir xil fikrda. Ya’ni, AGI (inson qobiliyatlarini taqlid qila oladigan sun’iy idrok) keyingi 5 yillikda dunyoga keladi, va deyarli o’zlari ham ishsiz qolishlari mumkinligini aytishdi. Yoki bo’lmasa, Dan Hendrycksni olaylik, Center for AI Safety rahbari. Keyingi 3-5 yilda AGI chiqishini va hozirdan boshqa “hobby”lar oxtarishni boshlashimiz kerakligini maslahat berdi. Boshqa tarafda esa, Sebastian Thrun, Waymo va Udacity asoschilaridan biri, hamma texnologiya yaxshi va faqatgina hayotimizning sifatini rivojlantirishga ishlaydi deb ta’kidladi.
Xullas ba’zilar xotirjam bo’lsa, ba’zilar vahimada. Endi bunga mantiqan qaraylik. Vahima qilayotgan insonlarning ko’pchiligi AI xizmatlarini ishlab chiqarib, sotayotgan jamoa vakillari. Va ko’pincha aynan shunday kompaniyalar hammaga va shu jumladan investorlarga ‘keyingi falon yillarda AGI ni biz ishlab chiqaramiz’ degan sari, investorlar ham ko’proq pul bergisi keladi. Bu gapim bilan hammasi bo’lmagan gap, AI ish bozorida hech narsani o’zgartirmaydi demoqchi emasman, o’zgarishlar bo’lishi aniq.
Shaxsan o’ylaymanki, bunday gaplarga quloq solib, vasvasaga tushgandan ko’ra, qiziqqan yo’nalishingizni chuqur o’rganing, diqqatingizni jamlang va sun’iy idrokni sohangizda o’z foydangizga qanday ishlatishingiz mumkinligi haqida o’ylang. Doim AI haqidagi yangiliklarni ko’rib, ijtimoiy tarmoqlardagi vahimachilarni kuzatib, o’zingizni ishsiz qolmay deb har xil narsalarga urishdan foyda yo’q. Shoshilib, chala va nomiga o’qib o’rgangan hunarlaringizni AI albatta sizdan ancha yaxshi qila oladi. Muhimi, diqqatni jamlang. Diqqat va kuchli mehnat endi har doimgidanda muhimroq, ayniqsa bugungi hamma chalg’igan dunyoda.
@feruza_dev
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Forwarded from Nodir's notebook
Sutskever says our brains are biological computers, and therefore AI will be able to do anything that we can do, and beyond.
I don't know if this is true, but also I don't see why not, so I can't exclude it
https://youtu.be/zuZ2zaotrJs?si=sxpw9O8rEbp6cVQd
I don't know if this is true, but also I don't see why not, so I can't exclude it
https://youtu.be/zuZ2zaotrJs?si=sxpw9O8rEbp6cVQd
YouTube
Ilya Sutskever, U of T honorary degree recipient, June 6, 2025
Meet #UofT honorary degree recipient Ilya Sutskever, recognized for his excellence in the academy and outstanding service to the public good, for his trailblazing work and global impact as a scholar and visionary in artificial intelligence.
Read the U of…
Read the U of…
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Forwarded from On the Road
Over and over again, I see people not realizing they are becoming victims of the sunk cost fallacy and getting stuck in things, deals, products, and relationships that no longer make them happy and that they would be much better off leaving behind.
The sunk cost fallacy happens when we keep committing resources to something simply because we’ve already invested, even if the best choice is to walk away. It quietly drives bad decisions in sports, business, and daily life.
- Soccer Transfers: Clubs often keep playing expensive signings to “justify” their transfer fee. For example, FC Barcelona spent over €140 million to buy Philippe Coutinho. Even after it became clear he wasn’t performing and didn’t fit their system, they continued to give him chances and build the team around him just to avoid admitting the money was lost. Instead of moving on earlier, they kept doubling down on an investment that couldn’t be recovered, a classic sunk cost fallacy.
- Business Projects: SoftBank poured billions into WeWork, even as it became obvious the business model was flawed and the company was burning cash unsustainably. When financial problems and leadership issues came to light before the IPO, SoftBank faced a choice: walk away or invest more. Rather than accept the losses, they launched an even bigger bailout to rescue the valuation they had once championed. This decision of throwing more money at a failing bet purely because they had already invested so much ended up compounding their losses..
- Everyday Choices:
- Careers: Many people stay in careers they dislike because “I already spent years studying for this” or “I’ve been at this company a decade.” Even when they’re burned out or unfulfilled, the fear of “wasting” past effort keeps them stuck. But time invested is gone it shouldn’t dictate your future happiness.
- Books: Forcing yourself to finish a book you aren’t enjoying because “I’ve already read 120 pages.” In reality, putting it down and picking up something better is usually the smarter choice.
- Relationships: Staying in a friendship or relationship mainly because you’ve been together so long, rather than whether it still adds value to your life.
Ironically, the money, time, or effort you already spent is gone either way it can’t be recovered. The only thing that matters is whether continuing improves your future.
Next time you feel stuck because of how much you’ve invested, ask yourself: If I hadn’t already spent anything, would I still choose to keep going? That one question can save you from throwing good resources after bad.
The sunk cost fallacy happens when we keep committing resources to something simply because we’ve already invested, even if the best choice is to walk away. It quietly drives bad decisions in sports, business, and daily life.
- Soccer Transfers: Clubs often keep playing expensive signings to “justify” their transfer fee. For example, FC Barcelona spent over €140 million to buy Philippe Coutinho. Even after it became clear he wasn’t performing and didn’t fit their system, they continued to give him chances and build the team around him just to avoid admitting the money was lost. Instead of moving on earlier, they kept doubling down on an investment that couldn’t be recovered, a classic sunk cost fallacy.
- Business Projects: SoftBank poured billions into WeWork, even as it became obvious the business model was flawed and the company was burning cash unsustainably. When financial problems and leadership issues came to light before the IPO, SoftBank faced a choice: walk away or invest more. Rather than accept the losses, they launched an even bigger bailout to rescue the valuation they had once championed. This decision of throwing more money at a failing bet purely because they had already invested so much ended up compounding their losses..
- Everyday Choices:
- Careers: Many people stay in careers they dislike because “I already spent years studying for this” or “I’ve been at this company a decade.” Even when they’re burned out or unfulfilled, the fear of “wasting” past effort keeps them stuck. But time invested is gone it shouldn’t dictate your future happiness.
- Books: Forcing yourself to finish a book you aren’t enjoying because “I’ve already read 120 pages.” In reality, putting it down and picking up something better is usually the smarter choice.
- Relationships: Staying in a friendship or relationship mainly because you’ve been together so long, rather than whether it still adds value to your life.
Ironically, the money, time, or effort you already spent is gone either way it can’t be recovered. The only thing that matters is whether continuing improves your future.
Next time you feel stuck because of how much you’ve invested, ask yourself: If I hadn’t already spent anything, would I still choose to keep going? That one question can save you from throwing good resources after bad.
The Wall Street Journal
SoftBank, WeWork and Sunk Costs
SoftBank, one of the world’s largest and supposedly savviest investment firms, looks like it is making a classic rookie error by succumbing to the sunk cost fallacy in its latest investment into WeWork.
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Forwarded from Pavel Durov (Paul Du Rove)
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