Nomos of War
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Forwarded from Deleted Account
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Schmitt's concept of the รœberwert (overvalue, more-than-value) can be seen in Xenophon's Anabasis. At any moment he might respond monarchically, democratically, tyrannically.

A man will be beaten, his life threatened โ€“ other times, Xenophon will leap from his horse, take sword and shield from a man to bear the mountain for him.
Nothing more need be said. An infinite lesson.
โค7
Forwarded from Joel Davis (censored)
Top US geostrategic think-tank RAND Corp just released a report which claims its in US interests to bring the Ukraine War to a swift conclusion. The report also says that total Ukrainian victory, defined as an "end to the war that leaves Ukraine in full control
over all of its internationally recognized territory," is a "highly unlikely outcome."

The report views the US objectives of weakening Russian power and pressuring European governments to reduce energy dependence on Russia as already achieved, meanwhile the report warns that the longer the war continues the greater the risk of further Russian territorial gains and unmanageable support costs to US-NATO.

Continued conflict also leaves open the possibility that Russia will reverse Ukrainian battlefield gains made in fall 2022. Moscowโ€™s mobilization might stabilize the lines as of December 2022 and allow Russia to launch offensives in 2023.

The intensity of the military assistance effort could also become unsustainable after a certain period. Already, European and some U.S. stocks of weapons are reportedly running low. Russiaโ€™s campaign of destruction of Ukrainian critical infrastructure will create major long-term challenges for sustaining the war effort and for economic recovery and has also substantially increased Kyivโ€™s projections for the economic support it will need from the United States and its allies.

The report also warns that a protracted war will generate negative consequences for the US's "other global priorities."

Russiaโ€™s deepening military cooperation with Iran during this warโ€”at a time when Iran is reneging on its commitments to restrain its nuclear programโ€”suggests that Moscow could play the spoiler on such issues as nonproliferation. And although Russia will be more dependent on China regardless of when the war ends, Washington does have a long-term interest in ensuring that Moscow does not become completely subordinated to Beijing.

The report concludes that the war will end with some kind of "negotiated outcome" as neither side possesses the capabilities for absolute victory, and that avoiding a long war is "higher priority for the US than facilitating significantly more Ukrainian territorial control." It suggests that the US force Ukraine to the negotiating table by making its aid conditional upon it, however it warns that bringing Russia to the negotiating table won't be so easy as the US doesn't have much incentive to offer Russia other than Ukraine's formal neutrality with respect to NATO.

Neutrality is what Russia demanded from the very beginning and would therefore be an extremely difficult sell politically, especially for Zelensky in Ukraine. Its a novel scenario that US negotiators would face trying to both guarantee Ukraine's security and its neutrality - these guarantees appear contradictory on their face. The Russians might have created enough leverage here to keep NATO out of Ukraine after all.
Forwarded from caseus
Forwarded from Intel Slava
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Former Supreme Commander of NATO James Stavridis has stated his belief that the war will end in a manner similar to the Korean War in the next few months, given the current stalemate.

Itโ€™s really interesting how the narrative in Western Media has rapidly shifted lately. They went from breathlessly proclaiming an imminent offensive on Melitopol and thence to Crimea, to now it appears their benchmark is just achieving peace on current lines. ๐Ÿ˜‚
Forwarded from Lance's Legion: Taberna
Forwarded from The way of the warrior (ะขัƒั…ะฐั‡ะตะฒัะบะธะน)
โ€œ๐˜๐˜ง ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜จ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ, ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ง ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ข๐˜ฃ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฎ, ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฆ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ค๐˜ต๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฎ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ท๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ฆ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ, ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ด ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ง ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜บ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ธ, ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ณ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ฉ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฐ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ง๐˜บ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ญ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ด.โ€

~๐˜Š๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ญ ๐˜ด๐˜ค๐˜ฉ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ต

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