Stacy in Dataland (´⊙~⊙`)
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Stacy Muur’s alpha channel.
𝕏: https://x.com/stacy_muur
Blog: https://stacymuur.substack.com
Chat: @muur_talks
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There's no new liquidity influx in the market.

Stablecoin supply has remained flat since October, ETF inflows have turned negative, DAT inflows have stalled, and the volume of funds raised has returned to bear market levels. When inflows from all major sources slow simultaneously, price movement typically follows.

The only real factors I see are the accumulation of RWAs, the gradual return of major players to DeFi, and the potential positive impact of the CLARITY Act.

If these three factors don't lead to real capital inflows, the situation will remain devoid of liquidity.
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Polygon has surpassed Ethereum in daily transaction fees several times this week.

It appears we've reached the point where Ethereum is becoming a settlement layer, and economic intensity is shifting to rollups.
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Block time wars are heating up again.

Aptos still leads with ~54ms, but the interesting part is Monad entering the leaderboard around ~400ms alongside Solana and BNB Chain. New infra players are benchmarking into the top tier from day one.
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Not funny, but fact: only Hyperliqiud and Provenance showed an increase in TVL over the past month.
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Everyone is focused on price, but it's worth keeping an eye on macro factors as well.

The GENIUS Act has already been passed, and full-scale stablecoin adoption is likely to occur 12-24 months after the midterm elections. Given that prediction markets view a divided Congress as the baseline scenario, we'll likely see a slow regulatory clarification rather than a policy shock. Markets prefer that.

Meanwhile, the supply of ERC-20 stablecoins has once again exceeded $150 billion and continues to grow – historically, this has been the clearest indicator of liquidity before major cycles. Right now, the liquidity base appears structurally sound.
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Here’s a harsh reality: Most RWA chains have pivoted to being ghost chains in the last year.

I saw @ZIGChainAnnouncements positioning as THE L1 for RWA yield and TradFi, so I did a quick sanity check.

The essential thing is a working ecosystem of apps like Valdora Finance, Oroswap, MemesDotFun, PermaPod, NawaFinance, already building yield, trading, and structured products on-chain.

Its ecosystem also leads in Shariah-compliant tokenization for Islamic finance. A huge potential adoption opportunity IMO.

$ZIG has also been an RWA bet by major institutions like SEGG Media, BTCS SA, and Apex Group, with commitments of accumulating $75M in ZIG.

By the way, ZIGChain is built by zignaly, an OG wealth management project with millions of users and capital, giving them a huge distribution advantage.
I think it's worth putting this on your watchlist.
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PYUSD's market cap on Arbitrum surpassed $221 million, making it the fourth-largest stablecoin on the network.

This growth was driven by USDai integrating PYUSD (along with M0's wM) as collateral, with plans to use the collateral as GPU-based loans. Add in the over $480 million already staked on Aave and over $210 million in Morpho vaults, and you can see how PayPal's channels are directly connected to DeFi liquidity layers.

Corporate stablecoin distribution, when it actually works.
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Silver just pushed $11B on Hyperliquid in two weeks, more than gold, indices, and equities combined.

At one point it made up 71% of all tokenized commodity volume. In TradFi, gold usually trades ~4× silver. On-chain? It’s flipped.

That tells you who’s trading here. Tokenized perps are attracting volatility hunters chasing beta and narrative momentum. Сrypto-native flow redefining what commodities trading looks like.
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Looking at the top 3 fastest-growing fintech equities, you'll see a difference in valuation.

Circle is growing the fastest, at 59%, and trades at a P/S multiple of approximately 7.3. Robinhood is growing at 52% but trades at a multiple of 15. A company with 50% growth has a multiple above 20. They have the same growth rate, but a completely different price.

So it's not about revenue growth, but about how the multiple is justified.
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2025 was brutal for new tokens.

Bitcoin printed fresh ATHs, but the rest of the market didn’t follow — altcoin market cap (ex-BTC/ETH) dropped ~30% from $1.2T to ~$825B while BTC dominance stayed glued around 58–62%. A lot of projects raised big, but once the narrative cooled, there wasn’t much underneath.
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RWA collateral on Morpho crossed $400M.

That’s a 40× YoY move, and the market basically went from zero to nine figures in under a year. Real-world yield getting plugged straight into DeFi credit rails.
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Prediction markets did it again.

Weekly spot transaction volume on DEXs reached 38.1 million, Polymarket 19.6 million, and Kalshi 17.4 million, all hitting another ATH. It seems people are using markets to assess real-world uncertainty in real time.
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If you assume privacy demand only grows from here, the field gets small fast, and Zcash was built for that exact use case.

Not optional privacy, not surface-level obfuscation, but cryptographic guarantees with a real path toward quantum resistance.

What’s happening now – it’s design finally meeting the macro backdrop. Not a Bitcoin replacement, but a private, sovereign hedge against its transparency.
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Ondo's tokenized stocks are starting to move like breakout deals.

Funds still dominate in absolute size, with USDY and OUSG doing the bulk of the work, and stablecoins steadily growing at +36%. However, tokenized stocks have grown over 3,000% year-over-year — still the smallest segment, but growing approximately 14 times faster than the rest.

If this pace continues, stocks will cease to be a complement and become a driver.
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Back in Nov 2025, sell pressure got absorbed aggressively, similar to the reflex bid we saw post-LUNA and post-FTX.

This move to $60K did attract some buyers, but the response was noticeably weaker.

That tells me liquidity isn’t as eager to step in.

If reflex demand fades, corrections stop being quick flushes and start becoming grinds.
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Capital is clustering where liquidity is thickest.

Binance now holds $47.5B in stablecoins, up 31% YoY even in a bearish tape, representing ~65% of all CEX USDT/USDC reserves. That’s 5× OKX, 8× Coinbase, 12× Bybit.

When conditions tighten, flow consolidates around the venue traders trust to clear size.
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Bitcoin fees dropped back to 2019 levels.

After the 2021 and 2024 spikes, the mempool looks almost empty again — average fees are barely registering.

Lower fees are great for users, but they also signal softer on-chain demand.
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The top 10 fastest-growing tokenized assets on Solana.

jupUSD has risen by approximately 480% in 30 days, while stocks on the Ondo blockchain (CRCLon, MUon, MSFTon, etc.) are seeing triple-digit growth. Even tokenized gold is quietly rising.

If this trend continues, Solana will further strengthen its position as a distribution network for TradFi assets.
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Alts are down on average ~81% from last year across the dashboard.

Out of 98 names, only 4 are still green.

When dispersion collapses like this, it usually resets the field. The next cycle will reward the few that actually built through this.
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While CT argues about whether DeFi is dead, institutions are wiring it into their balance sheets.

Morpho is up ~45% YTD in a tape where most alts are bleeding. Deposits jumped from $3.5B to $9B, RWAs are scaling, Coinbase is running USDC lending on it, and names like Société Générale and Apollo are leaning in.
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