⭐️ Just Good to Know: Economics Basics

In the run-up to today's major US data drops, let's break down the key indicators:

• GDP (Gross Domestic Product) — The broadest measure of economic health. Shows total value of all goods and services produced.

• Core PCE — The Fed's favorite inflation gauge. Tracks price changes in consumer spending. Key for rate decisions.

• PMI (Flash Manufacturing & Services) — Leading indicators of business activity. Above 50 means expansion; below 50 — contraction.

🔜 These three indicators often dictate market moves — read how.

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❕ US Macro Data (PCE)

• Core PCE YoY, December: 3.0%
Forecast: 2.9%

• Core PCE MoM: 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3%

The report came in worse than expected — inflation is re-accelerating, which is negative for markets.

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❕ US Macro Data (GDP)

• US Q4 GDP: 1.4%
Forecast: 3.0%

The report also came in worse than expected — signaling a sharp slowdown in economic growth.

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⚡️ The Supreme Court of the United States has struck down President Donald Trump’s global tariffs

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📣 President Trump says he has a fallback plan regarding tariffs

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⚡️ Trump announces 10% global tariff to be added on top of existing tariffs

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⭐ The most significant Rise & Fall of the top tokens over the past week.

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🔥 Polymarket shows a 29% chance that a court will force Trump to refund $175,000,000,000 in tariff revenue

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🔥 Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said countries that embrace crypto are likely to see the most economic growth over the next decade

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🪙 US spot Bitcoin ETFs just saw -$315.8M in weekly outflows

This marks the longest outflow streak in nearly a year at 5 straight weeks.

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🔥 Odds of the Fed holding rates steady have surged to 96.5% despite court striking down Trump’s tariffs

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❕ Arkham: Hyperunit whale (Garrett Jin) selling $760M BTC

6 days ago he transferred half a billion dollars of ETH to Binance.

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🪙 Bloomberg: Bitcoin faces a $1 trillion identity crisis

Analysts say Bitcoin’s core story — rising prices — has broken down, and unlike stocks or commodities, it lacks clear fundamentals to fall back on.

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⚡️ Trump announced he will immediately increase the global tariff rate from 10% to 15%

🔄 Earlier: 10%.

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🔽 Santiment: XRP has seen its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022

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🪙 Over $13B in shorts would be wiped out if BTC can reclaim $90K

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🔥 There's now only 1,007,146 BTC left to be mined out of Bitcoin's total 21 million supply

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💎 Lookonchain: After a two-week break, Vitalik Buterin is selling ETH again

He withdrew 3,500 ETH from Aave to sell. So far, he has already sold 571 ETH.

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❕ Bitcoin miner Bitdeer liquidated 943 BTC from reserves and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero

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⚠️ Just Fun Fact: OpenClaw’s* official Discord bans any mention of crypto, including Bitcoin

* — An open-source autonomous artificial intelligence agent.

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🪙 Michael Saylor posted the Bitcoin tracker again, hinting at buying more BTC

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