Just News
Which forecast do you find most likely?
Anonymous Poll
29%
Mike McGlone ($10,000)
12%
Tom Lee ($250,000)
48%
Changpeng Zhao ($200,000)
11%
Cathie Wood ($300,000+)
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Polymarket’s federal lawsuit against Massachusetts could determine whether prediction markets are regulated solely by the CFTC or also by states.
The lawsuit followed state-level actions against platforms like Kalshi, with Massachusetts and Nevada moving to restrict sports-related prediction contracts.
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The TON blockchain is in the top 3 and ranks third.
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• GDP + Core PCE — 13:30 UTC
• PMI (Manufacturing and Services) — 14:45 UTC
• Supreme Court decision on tariffs
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Bitcoin mining difficulty has risen 14.7% to 144.4 trillion, marking a record absolute increase as hashrate rebounded following widespread weather-related curtailments across the US.
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In the run-up to today's major US data drops, let's break down the key indicators:
• GDP (Gross Domestic Product) — The broadest measure of economic health. Shows total value of all goods and services produced.
• Core PCE — The Fed's favorite inflation gauge. Tracks price changes in consumer spending. Key for rate decisions.
• PMI (Flash Manufacturing & Services) — Leading indicators of business activity. Above 50 means expansion; below 50 — contraction.
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• Core PCE YoY, December: 3.0%
Forecast: 2.9%
• Core PCE MoM: 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3%
The report came in worse than expected — inflation is re-accelerating, which is negative for markets.
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• US Q4 GDP: 1.4%
Forecast: 3.0%
The report also came in worse than expected — signaling a sharp slowdown in economic growth.
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