INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally 🇺🇸 but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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🪙 $1.82 billion in stablecoins flowed into Binance.

🔶 CHART WATCH 🔶
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🌐 This is the past year in total social mentions of cryptocurrencies.

Call that what you will, but it’s no irrational exuberance…

🪙 CHART WATCH 🔷
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🇺🇸 The Nail Salon Boom

💅 CHART WATCH 💅
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🇺🇸 The S&P 500 ($SPX) has had -21% fall and a 34% rally to a series of all-time highs so far this year…

🌐 CHART WATCH 🌐
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🌐 Change in consensus forecast for GDP growth in 2026 (from Jan 2025).

🔺️ CHART WATCH 🔺️
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🇬🇾🇦🇲🇨🇩🇰🇬 The fastest growing trading nations…

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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🇺🇸 The big move in solar energy ($TAN) against overall energy ($XLE) is the largest two-day gain (13.8%) in the ratio since 2013.

Will solar repeat its Trump I performance? It’s up 30% since Inauguration Day, but it hit +1,272% back then…

☀️ CHART WATCH ☀️
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🇺🇸 $XLV, returned to local range highs, rising 4.72% this week, including several gap days. The healthcare ETF is now breaking out of a down trend channel that stretches back a year. This puts $XLV atop the sector leaderboard for this week with communications…
🇺🇸 Beyond Meat ($BYND), the purveyors of the freaky plant-based pseudo-meat, opened $46 on May 2nd, 2019 & rose 411% in just shy of 3 months, closing at $234.90 on July 26th.

Since then it has fallen 98.9% to $2.53/share…

📉 CHART WATCH 📉
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🌍 Global Equity Valuation Indicators Small & value are undervalued against large & growth, just like Dotcom, but this time, global equities are undervalued against US equities as well… 📉 CHART WATCH 📉
🇳🇿🇺🇸🇮🇳 Global Equity Forward P/E

New Zealand wins with an extreme forward valuation. The United States & India are neck-and-neck for 2nd & 3rd, followed by Australia & Sweden. China, Greece, Japan, and Taiwan have historically had extreme valuations.

Turkey has the lowest forward P/E, followed by Hungary & Brazil, and then Poland & South Korea (two of the best performing stock markets this year).

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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🇨🇳 China’s Sub-2% Bond Yields May Be Tailwind for Chinese Stocks 📈 CHART WATCH 📈
🇨🇳 Chinese internet stocks are making yet another foray in this critical resistance region.

Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technically strong.

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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Yesterday Two Days Ago, Tesla ($TSLA) lost $152 billion in market cap. 🔽 CHART WATCH 🔽
🇺🇸 Tesla is up 8.9% this month. Technically, it’s been all over this dynamic resistance of late.

Which way will $TSLA’s triangle break?

❤️ CHART WATCH ❤️
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🌐 Foreign aid was over one-fifth of these countries’ national incomes. I’m skeptical of a few of these. And Ukraine is drastically understated; they get 50-80% of their national income from abroad. 🌎 CHART WATCH 🌎
🇺🇦 In a recent poll, Gallup asked Ukrainians: which of the following statements about the war with Russia comes closest to your personal views?

🔽 24% chose “Ukraine should continue fighting until it wins the war” (down from a 2/3rds supermajority in the early part of the war, the hawks lost their majority in mid-2023 and now only a quarter—mostly located deep in Western Ukraine—wish to continue the fight)

🔼 69% believe “Ukraine should seek to negotiate an ending to the war as soon as possible” (interestingly, this position represented about a quarter of the population early in the war, but now 7 in 10 Ukrainians want a negotiated peace)

7% refused or said they “didn’t know” (5-10% range, indecision/refusal peaked in 2023-4 and dropping since)

📉 CHART WATCH 📈
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🇬🇷🇫🇷 The 5 & 10 Year Bond Yields for France & Greece, with spreads charted beneath. Bet you didn’t think you’d see the Greeks borrowing money at a cheaper rate than the French in this lifetime… 🔣 CHART WATCH 🔣
🇺🇸🇩🇪🇯🇵🇮🇹🇪🇸🇬🇧

30-year government bond yields in the US, Germany, Japan, UK, Italy and Spain, in percent interest.

🔤 CHART WATCH 🔤
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🇺🇸 Action in the stock indices turned negative today (except in the $DJI, which eked out the slightest of positive returns while the $NDX took a beating).

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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🇧🇷🇲🇽🇦🇷 Direct foreign investment in Latin America 🌍 CHART WATCH 🌍
🇦🇷🇩🇴🇬🇹🇵🇦 What’s the growth outlook in Latin America this year?

⬆️Best Outlooks: Argentina leads with 5.5% expected growth, followed by the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Panama, and Paraguay

⬇️Worst Outlooks: Venezuela lags with -4% growth anticipated, followed by Mexico, who is treadunf water, and Bolivia around 1%.

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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🇺🇸 The Dallas Cowboys are still the most valuable football team in America…

🏈 CHART WATCH 🏈
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Palantir charts. ❗️ CHART WATCH ❗️
🇺🇸 Palantir’s valuation is a serious outlier. It doesn’t mean it’s totally outlandish.

With America moving into state capitalism and future administrations being unlikely to roll it back, shady contractors like $PLTR are likely going to be rolling in it.

🔤🔤 CHART WATCH 🔤🔤
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🇺🇸 The S&P 500 ($SPX) and the CNN Fear & Greed Index back to July 2021… 🌐 CHART WATCH 🌐
🇺🇸 The CNN Fear & Greed Index slips back into neutral territory (55).

📊 CHART WATCH 📊
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Hedge funds & other large speculators are even more short than they were 3 weeks ago (despite that healthy dip on the 1st).
🇺🇸 The cumulative speculative short on American small caps has become enormous.

🔥 CHART WATCH 🔥
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Central banks’ gold demand & the spot price of gold. 🪙 CHART WATCH 🪙
🇺🇸 The Dollar Index ($DXY) remains strongly inversely correlated with the price of gold.

💲 CHART WATCH 🪙
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