INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPX) and the CNN Fear & Greed Index back to July 2021โ€ฆ

๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s growth momentum has weakened. Expansion in output, consumption, and investment all slowed sharplyโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿช™ $1.82 billion in stablecoins flowed into Binance.

๐Ÿ”ถ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ถ
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๐ŸŒ This is the past year in total social mentions of cryptocurrencies.

Call that what you will, but itโ€™s no irrational exuberanceโ€ฆ

๐Ÿช™ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ท
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Nail Salon Boom

๐Ÿ’… CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’…
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPX) has had -21% fall and a 34% rally to a series of all-time highs so far this yearโ€ฆ

๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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๐ŸŒ Change in consensus forecast for GDP growth in 2026 (from Jan 2025).

๐Ÿ”บ๏ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”บ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฌ The fastest growing trading nationsโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The big move in solar energy ($TAN) against overall energy ($XLE) is the largest two-day gain (13.8%) in the ratio since 2013.

Will solar repeat its Trump I performance? Itโ€™s up 30% since Inauguration Day, but it hit +1,272% back thenโ€ฆ

โ˜€๏ธ CHART WATCH โ˜€๏ธ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $XLV, returned to local range highs, rising 4.72% this week, including several gap days. The healthcare ETF is now breaking out of a down trend channel that stretches back a year. This puts $XLV atop the sector leaderboard for this week with communicationsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Beyond Meat ($BYND), the purveyors of the freaky plant-based pseudo-meat, opened $46 on May 2nd, 2019 & rose 411% in just shy of 3 months, closing at $234.90 on July 26th.

Since then it has fallen 98.9% to $2.53/shareโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐ŸŒ Global Equity Valuation Indicators Small & value are undervalued against large & growth, just like Dotcom, but this time, global equities are undervalued against US equities as wellโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Global Equity Forward P/E

New Zealand wins with an extreme forward valuation. The United States & India are neck-and-neck for 2nd & 3rd, followed by Australia & Sweden. China, Greece, Japan, and Taiwan have historically had extreme valuations.

Turkey has the lowest forward P/E, followed by Hungary & Brazil, and then Poland & South Korea (two of the best performing stock markets this year).

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s Sub-2% Bond Yields May Be Tailwind for Chinese Stocks ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese internet stocks are making yet another foray in this critical resistance region.

Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technically strong.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
Yesterday Two Days Ago, Tesla ($TSLA) lost $152 billion in market cap. ๐Ÿ”ฝ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ฝ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tesla is up 8.9% this month. Technically, itโ€™s been all over this dynamic resistance of late.

Which way will $TSLAโ€™s triangle break?

โค๏ธ CHART WATCH โค๏ธ
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๐ŸŒ Foreign aid was over one-fifth of these countriesโ€™ national incomes. Iโ€™m skeptical of a few of these. And Ukraine is drastically understated; they get 50-80% of their national income from abroad. ๐ŸŒŽ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒŽ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ In a recent poll, Gallup asked Ukrainians: which of the following statements about the war with Russia comes closest to your personal views?
๏ปฟ๏ปฟ
๐Ÿ”ฝ 24% chose โ€œUkraine should continue fighting until it wins the warโ€ (down from a 2/3rds supermajority in the early part of the war, the hawks lost their majority in mid-2023 and now only a quarterโ€”mostly located deep in Western Ukraineโ€”wish to continue the fight)

๏ปฟ๏ปฟ๐Ÿ”ผ 69% believe โ€œUkraine should seek to negotiate an ending to the war as soon as possibleโ€ (interestingly, this position represented about a quarter of the population early in the war, but now 7 in 10 Ukrainians want a negotiated peace)

โน 7% refused or said they โ€œdidnโ€™t knowโ€ (5-10% range, indecision/refusal peaked in 2023-4 and dropping since)

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท The 5 & 10 Year Bond Yields for France & Greece, with spreads charted beneath. Bet you didnโ€™t think youโ€™d see the Greeks borrowing money at a cheaper rate than the French in this lifetimeโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ”ฃ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ฃ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

30-year government bond yields in the US, Germany, Japan, UK, Italy and Spain, in percent interest.

๐Ÿ”ค CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ค
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Action in the stock indices turned negative today (except in the $DJI, which eked out the slightest of positive returns while the $NDX took a beating).

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Direct foreign investment in Latin America ๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆ Whatโ€™s the growth outlook in Latin America this year?

โฌ†๏ธBest Outlooks: Argentina leads with 5.5% expected growth, followed by the Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Panama, and Paraguay

โฌ‡๏ธWorst Outlooks: Venezuela lags with -4% growth anticipated, followed by Mexico, who is treadunf water, and Bolivia around 1%.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Dallas Cowboys are still the most valuable football team in Americaโ€ฆ

๐Ÿˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿˆ
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INTELRUNNER
Palantir charts. โ—๏ธ CHART WATCH โ—๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Palantirโ€™s valuation is a serious outlier. It doesnโ€™t mean itโ€™s totally outlandish.

With America moving into state capitalism and future administrations being unlikely to roll it back, shady contractors like $PLTR are likely going to be rolling in it.

๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPX) and the CNN Fear & Greed Index back to July 2021โ€ฆ ๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The CNN Fear & Greed Index slips back into neutral territory (55).

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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