INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 Wheat is back to 5 year lows, and corn is not far behind.

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 The Mag 7 Cleared $19 Trillion in Total Market Cap 📱 CHART WATCH 🔍

🇺🇸 The Magnificent 7 are pushing $20 trillion in collective market cap—a 34% share of the S&P 500.

Nvidia (up 264% since December 2023) leads with almost $4.5 trillion, while Tesla (35%) brings up the rear at just over $1 trillion. Apple’s only up 14% since then, but their market cap is third largest.

$NVDA $META $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $TSLA $AAPL

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 The market-implied number of cuts, together with the actual 2024 easing, represents the slowest Fed cutting cycle in recent history…

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇩🇪 The spread between CDU/CSU and AfD has narrowed yet again… 🗳 CHART WATCH 🗳

🇩🇪 Polling from August 6th-11th shows Alternative for Deutschland taking the lead in Germany.

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 Organic traffic to news sites has been falling since this time last year, when it peaked just shy of 2.5 billion. The share of searches resulting in zero clicks (perhaps due to AI, perhaps due to the abomination that is modern search results) has gone…

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🇯🇵 AI Compute Power by Region

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 Mortgage Loan Applications and 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Interest Rate Mortgage applications increased 0.8% (22.1% y/y) in the week ending July 18, after falling 10.0% the prior week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage…

🇺🇸 10-month low in fixed rates for 30-year mortgages…

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🌎 Bitcoin reached its highest point since July 14th. $BTC seems to be mounting another challenge to resistance… 👨‍🦳 CHART WATCH 👨‍🦳

🤑 New All-Time High for Bitcoin!

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 Peter Thiel’s new IPO, a crypto exchange called Bullish, had its first day of trading today.

$BLSH opened at $95.69 and went up 31% to a high of $117.93 before falling 41% to a low of $69.75 (and closing 10¢ higher).

It’s traded up to $75.70 in post-market.

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 57% of the S&P 500 is golden crossed (50-day moving average > 200-day).

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🌐 Last year, global approvals of coal-fired plants rose to their highest level since 2015…

Coal is back.

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 The healthcare sector ($XLV) had its best day against the S&P 500 ($SPY) since early April. The price action on the ETF itself looks oversold to me. 😎 CHART WATCH 😎

🇺🇸 Prior instances of a positive close in the same day as a 52-week low in $XLV (the healthcare sector ETF) almost all occurred at major lows…

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 The MOVE Index (treasury volatility) is falling to multi-year lows. This level was last visited January 18th of 2022. This may be indicative of complacency, but for now, there’s little fear in the market. ⏩ CHART WATCH ⏪

🇺🇸 The MOVE Index has fallen further to multi-year lows. Now it’s just north of the 2021 close.

Very bullish—there is little fear in the market. But it can’t help but feel a bit like a calm before a storm…

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CHART WATCH

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INTELRUNNER

🇺🇸 The MOVE Index has fallen further to multi-year lows. Now it’s just north of the 2021 close. Very bullish—there is little fear in the market. But it can’t help but feel a bit like a calm before a storm… 🔴 CHART WATCH 🔴

🇺🇸 And with fear down, speculation is up:

These are retail flows as a percentage of aggregate market cap for the $SPX & the $NDX…

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