INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Itโ€™s July CPI Day. Headline CPI came in low & steady at 2.7% (consensus forecast was 2.8%) year-over-year. Month-over-month was right on target at 0.2%. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Now for Core CPIโ€ฆ

MoM core inflation came in at the consensus of 0.2%, up from 0.3% in June.

YoY was very slightly hot, registering a 3.1% instead of 3% even. This is up from 2.9% in June.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Southern economics has been booming since the lockdownsโ€ฆ

Itโ€™s been the fastest growing region in terms of population & GDP, supplanting the West.

Real per capita income is up 80% since 1990 (in 2017 dollars).

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Russell 2000 ETF had its 3rd best day of the year, rising 3%.

Hedge funds & other large speculators are even more short than they were 3 weeks ago (despite that healthy dip on the 1st).

Commercials are almost record long; you know how this ends. $IWM is still 7.35% off its all-time high.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Wheat is back to 5 year lows, and corn is not far behind.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Mag 7 Cleared $19 Trillion in Total Market Cap ๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Magnificent 7 are pushing $20 trillion in collective market capโ€”a 34% share of the S&P 500.

Nvidia (up 264% since December 2023) leads with almost $4.5 trillion, while Tesla (35%) brings up the rear at just over $1 trillion. Appleโ€™s only up 14% since then, but their market cap is third largest.

$NVDA $META $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $TSLA $AAPL

๐Ÿ”ผ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ผ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The market-implied number of cuts, together with the actual 2024 easing, represents the slowest Fed cutting cycle in recent historyโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช The spread between CDU/CSU and AfD has narrowed yet againโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ—ณ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ณ
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Polling from August 6th-11th shows Alternative for Deutschland taking the lead in Germany.

๐Ÿ—ณ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ณ
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INTELRUNNER
๐ŸŒŽ Bitcoin reached its highest point since July 14th. $BTC seems to be mounting another challenge to resistanceโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿฆณ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿฆณ
๐Ÿค‘ New All-Time High for Bitcoin!

๐Ÿ’ฒ1๏ธโƒฃ2๏ธโƒฃ3๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ”ฃ7๏ธโƒฃ4๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Peter Thielโ€™s new IPO, a crypto exchange called Bullish, had its first day of trading today.

$BLSH opened at $95.69 and went up 31% to a high of $117.93 before falling 41% to a low of $69.75 (and closing 10ยข higher).

Itโ€™s traded up to $75.70 in post-market.

๐Ÿšฎ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿšฎ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 57% of the S&P 500 is golden crossed (50-day moving average > 200-day).

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐ŸŒ Last year, global approvals of coal-fired plants rose to their highest level since 2015โ€ฆ

Coal is back.

๐ŸŒซ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒซ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The healthcare sector ($XLV) had its best day against the S&P 500 ($SPY) since early April. The price action on the ETF itself looks oversold to me. ๐Ÿ˜Ž CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ˜Ž
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Prior instances of a positive close in the same day as a 52-week low in $XLV (the healthcare sector ETF) almost all occurred at major lowsโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The MOVE Index (treasury volatility) is falling to multi-year lows. This level was last visited January 18th of 2022. This may be indicative of complacency, but for now, thereโ€™s little fear in the market. โฉ CHART WATCH โช
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The MOVE Index has fallen further to multi-year lows. Now itโ€™s just north of the 2021 close.

Very bullishโ€”there is little fear in the market. But it canโ€™t help but feel a bit like a calm before a stormโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ”ด CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ด
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