INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Electricity demand for major data centers. ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Offices out, data centers in.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ In gray, the nominal yield. In yellow, inflation expectations. And in โ€ฆteal? Real yield.

For 2020 & 2021, incredibly well justified inflation expectations drove growth in nominal yield until the fastest hiking cycle in history was initiated by the Fed. From 2022 to well into 2023 after the cycle ended, it was growth in real yield pushing nominal yield up.

All of the above are stable lately.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช What do Germans think about shutting down their arms trade with Israel? Hereโ€™s how the ARD-DeutschlandTrend survey worded it:

Germany should no longer send weapons to Israel for the time being because of Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip.


Yes (blue), cut Israel off? No (red), continue selling them arms. Or โ€œdonโ€™t knowโ€ (gray).

75% of Germans said โ€œyes.โ€

Itโ€™s also broken down East/West, by age bracket, and by political party. The parties with the greatest interest in selling arms to Israel were SPD (21%) and CDU/CSU (18%), but all of the listed demographics were at least 70% against that.

๐Ÿš€ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿš€
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๐ŸŒŽ The total crypto market cap has cracked $4 trillion.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐ŸŒŽ The only two other times Brent crude traded this low against the S&P 500 were in 1999 & 2020.

๐Ÿ›ข CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ›ข
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Global Inflation Rates

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s Rising Role in the Global Economy ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The U.S. share of Indiaโ€™s exports, and Russiaโ€™s share of Indiaโ€™s oil importsโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ†™ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ†™
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NFIB: Small Business Update

(1) Small Business Conditions, Earnings, and Sales
(2) Small Business Employment Indexes
(3) Small Business Price Indexes

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Preseason estimates have been unseasonablyโ€”and historicallyโ€”beat.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Remember when they said companies would pass every penny of the new tariffs to their consumers? I remember. That wasnโ€™t exactly accurate, was it? ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Japanese & European Passenger Car Export Prices to North America showed a sharp decline.

That means as far as Japanese auto exports are concerned, foreign exporters are paying into the tariffs...

๐Ÿš˜ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿš˜
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Itโ€™s July CPI Day.

Headline CPI came in low & steady at 2.7% (consensus forecast was 2.8%) year-over-year.

Month-over-month was right on target at 0.2%.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Itโ€™s July CPI Day. Headline CPI came in low & steady at 2.7% (consensus forecast was 2.8%) year-over-year. Month-over-month was right on target at 0.2%. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Now for Core CPIโ€ฆ

MoM core inflation came in at the consensus of 0.2%, up from 0.3% in June.

YoY was very slightly hot, registering a 3.1% instead of 3% even. This is up from 2.9% in June.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Southern economics has been booming since the lockdownsโ€ฆ

Itโ€™s been the fastest growing region in terms of population & GDP, supplanting the West.

Real per capita income is up 80% since 1990 (in 2017 dollars).

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Russell 2000 ETF had its 3rd best day of the year, rising 3%.

Hedge funds & other large speculators are even more short than they were 3 weeks ago (despite that healthy dip on the 1st).

Commercials are almost record long; you know how this ends. $IWM is still 7.35% off its all-time high.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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