INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ MP Materials ($MP) has been rapidly appreciating, being the most significant American rare earth play in the age of Chinese restrictions.

Itโ€™s up over 300% since May 28th.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The healthcare sector ETF ($XLV) is getting crushed by the S&P 500 this year. Itโ€™s underperformed by 26%.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. defense & rare earth.

๐ŸŸฅ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŸฅ
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Hmmโ€ฆwhatever could be happening here?

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Is the border closure what explains downward pressure in nonfarm payrolls?

Have they been running a shadow economy the entire time on top of the anemic above ground economy?

Does this explain the 2024 incongruence of the celebratory modeling of economists & government statisticians and the economic malaise suffered by the working class?

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Big Tech has beat EPS expectations by 12%, with Nvidia ($NVDA) still to report.

๐Ÿ“ฆ CHART WATCH โœ…
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Ethereum has punched above $4,000 again. This is $ETHโ€™s first trip back above the level since 2024โ€ฆ

๐Ÿ”น CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”น
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The spread between COMEX gold futures and the spot price has undergone some serious volatility in the wake of the tariffs on stamped 100 ounce products.

๐Ÿ’ฐ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฐ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NFIB: Raising Worker Compensation in Past 3 Mths & Average Selling Prices On the pricing front, the net percent raising their average selling prices rose to 29% last month from 25% in May. It had grown to 32% in February. The percentage planning to raiseโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The growth in compensation, and thus the growth in the unit cost of labor, slowed again in Q2:

Compensation growth slowed to 4.0% q/q in Q2 from 5.0% in Q1 and 5.5% in last yearโ€™s Q4.

As a result, unit labor costs advanced only 1.6% q/q in Q2, down markedly from a 6.9% quarterly gain in Q1. However, on a y/y basis, unit labor costs increased 2.6% y/y in Q2 versus 2.0% in Q1.

Annual unit labor costs have been on an uptrend since the middle of last year.


๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s balance of trade is broaching new lows beneath Trump 1 territory. Reuters:

Canada's merchandise trade deficit widened in June to C$5.9 billion ($4.24 billion)โ€ฆThe deficit observed in June is the second highest on record after the deficit expanded to its largest in history in April to C$7.6 billion.


Canada's exports to the U.S. as a share of total exports shrank to 70% in June from 83% in the same period a year ago while its surplus with the U.S. contracted by a half in the same period, data showed.


๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช The spread between CDU/CSU and AfD has narrowed yet againโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ—ณ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ณ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Never forget what they took from youโ€ฆ

โ€ผ๏ธ CHART WATCH โ€ผ๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Adobeโ€™s Digital Price Index (DPI), year over year change from July of 2024 to July of 2025.

More deflation in digital pricesโ€”particularly in apparel...

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Indexโ€ฆ Grok 4 is currently in the lead. ๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ฑ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Yeah, that explains a whole lotโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ฑ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A divergence is in progress. As the S&P 500 ($SPX) continues to make new highs, breadth is decliningโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Nvidia ($NVDA) is now the largest weighted single stock holding in S&P 509 ($SPX) historyโ€ฆ

๐Ÿซ‘ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿซ‘
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Checking in on the Buffett Indicator (Wilshire 5000/GDP). Weโ€™re currently reading 209.5%. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Buffett Indicator (U.S. stock market capitalization/gross domestic product) has hit a new all-time high of 213.3%.

But, you knowโ€ฆAI and stuff.

๐Ÿšจ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿšจ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Treasury issuance is still climbing, stressing the limits of demand for long-term debt.

As such, debt continues to accumulate.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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