INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Christopher Waller jumps out to a decisive lead in the question of who Trump will nominate as Fed chair.

His percent odds have leapt from the teens to the forties.

πŸ“ˆ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Beef prices have continued their persistant ascent as the cattle cycle reaches another lower trough.

We need a lot more heads.

πŸ₯© CHART WATCH πŸ₯©
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INTELRUNNER
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ One-year shift in active housing inventory for sale between July 2024 and July 2025… πŸ› CHART WATCH πŸ›
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Sellers increasingly outnumber buyers in the U.S. housing market…

πŸ› CHART WATCH πŸ›
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Top Platforms for Podcasts:

πŸ₯‰ πŸ“± Apple ($AAPL)
πŸ₯ˆ πŸ“± Spotify ($SPOT)
πŸ₯‡ πŸ“± YouTube ($GOOGL)

πŸ‘β€πŸ—¨ CHART WATCH πŸ‘β€πŸ—¨
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ MP Materials ($MP) has been rapidly appreciating, being the most significant American rare earth play in the age of Chinese restrictions.

It’s up over 300% since May 28th.

πŸ•― CHART WATCH πŸ•―
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Atlanta Fed Wage Growth Tracker

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“‰
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The healthcare sector ETF ($XLV) is getting crushed by the S&P 500 this year. It’s underperformed by 26%.

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“‰
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. defense & rare earth.

πŸŸ₯ CHART WATCH πŸŸ₯
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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡»πŸ‡³ Hmm…whatever could be happening here?

πŸ“ˆ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Is the border closure what explains downward pressure in nonfarm payrolls?

Have they been running a shadow economy the entire time on top of the anemic above ground economy?

Does this explain the 2024 incongruence of the celebratory modeling of economists & government statisticians and the economic malaise suffered by the working class?

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“‰
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Big Tech has beat EPS expectations by 12%, with Nvidia ($NVDA) still to report.

πŸ“¦ CHART WATCH βœ…
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Ethereum has punched above $4,000 again. This is $ETH’s first trip back above the level since 2024…

πŸ”Ή CHART WATCH πŸ”Ή
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The spread between COMEX gold futures and the spot price has undergone some serious volatility in the wake of the tariffs on stamped 100 ounce products.

πŸ’° CHART WATCH πŸ’°
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INTELRUNNER
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ NFIB: Raising Worker Compensation in Past 3 Mths & Average Selling Prices On the pricing front, the net percent raising their average selling prices rose to 29% last month from 25% in May. It had grown to 32% in February. The percentage planning to raise…
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The growth in compensation, and thus the growth in the unit cost of labor, slowed again in Q2:

Compensation growth slowed to 4.0% q/q in Q2 from 5.0% in Q1 and 5.5% in last year’s Q4.

As a result, unit labor costs advanced only 1.6% q/q in Q2, down markedly from a 6.9% quarterly gain in Q1. However, on a y/y basis, unit labor costs increased 2.6% y/y in Q2 versus 2.0% in Q1.

Annual unit labor costs have been on an uptrend since the middle of last year.


πŸ“Š CHART WATCH πŸ“Š
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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Canada’s balance of trade is broaching new lows beneath Trump 1 territory. Reuters:

Canada's merchandise trade deficit widened in June to C$5.9 billion ($4.24 billion)…The deficit observed in June is the second highest on record after the deficit expanded to its largest in history in April to C$7.6 billion.


Canada's exports to the U.S. as a share of total exports shrank to 70% in June from 83% in the same period a year ago while its surplus with the U.S. contracted by a half in the same period, data showed.


πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“‰
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πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ The spread between CDU/CSU and AfD has narrowed yet again…

πŸ—³ CHART WATCH πŸ—³
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