INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AI Intelligence Index (higher is better). ๐Ÿง  CHART WATCH ๐Ÿง 
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AI Model Safety Grades by Future of Life Institute.

๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ฑ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Nvidia ($NVDA) cleared $4 trillion in market cap. ๐Ÿน CHART WATCH ๐Ÿน
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Having eclipsed Japan now, Nvidia ($NVDA) has a larger share of the ACWI World Index than any one of these countries and several combinations thereof.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช AI developers in France & Germany vs. an In-N-Out manager in California.

This is a stark reminder of the economic pitfalls of technocracy & bureaucracyโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Koreaโ€™s 25 Largest Companies

๐ŸŸฅ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŸฅ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The only S&P 500 sector to appreciate in price last week was Utilities ($XLU).

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AI Model Safety Grades by Future of Life Institute. ๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ฑ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Indexโ€ฆ

Grok 4 is currently in the lead.

๐Ÿ“ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ฑ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The University of Michiganโ€™s inflation expectations have cooled considerably.

Inflation Expectations peaked at 6.6% in May, now down to 4.5% in July. 5 Year Inflation Expectations have fallen to 3.4% in July from 4.4% in April.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

This is an AI-produced chart showing some of the highest effective tariff rates on American products.

Tariff regimes can be complex, so these are only rough estimates.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The cost of hedging against a 10% drop in the S&P 500 ($SPX) have risen to its highest point since May 2023.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Year-to-date and July returns for major asset classes.

๐Ÿ† CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ†
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The main equity index of Israel ($TA35) has appreciated 75.8% in 666 days since October 8th. In Dollar terms, itโ€™s almost double at 98.16%. It has largely been a relentless climb for the Israeli market (it did fall a little over 5% during the short-lived ceasefire this winter) since the pager bombings.

Looking at the rate of change (2nd chart, vertical timeline markers identical to above), there are 3 major positive thrusts (ROC > 10):

(1) in the 3rd-6th weeks of the conflict;
(2) during the anti-humanitarian blockade in March-May of this year, after the dubious โ€œceasefireโ€ shattered; and
(3) after the June attack on Iran.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The main equity index of Israel ($TA35) has appreciated 75.8% in 666 days since October 8th. In Dollar terms, itโ€™s almost double at 98.16%. It has largely been a relentless climb for the Israeli market (it did fall a little over 5% during the short-livedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The TA-35 Index ($TA35) is up about 5bp shy of 37% on the S&P 500 ($SPX) since October 8th, in dollar terms.

Since the pager bombing, which came just before the low in the market, it is up 58.85%, again in dollars.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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Top Projects by Fully Diluted Market Cap launched in July

๐Ÿ’ต CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ต
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The only S&P 500 sector to appreciate in price last week was Utilities ($XLU). ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Utilities ($XLU) is now leading all other S&P 500 sectors on the year.

Bad omen?

โšก๏ธ CHART WATCH โšก๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Where Americans Are
Struggling Financially

๐Ÿ—ฝ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ฝ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Utilities ($XLU) is now leading all other S&P 500 sectors on the year. Bad omen? โšก๏ธ CHART WATCH โšก๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 Sector-Level Change in Q325 EPS (June 30 to July 31)

6 of 11 did increase their EPS.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Asset managers seemed to have missed the boat this timeโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ—ƒ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ƒ
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