INTELRUNNER – Telegram

INTELRUNNER

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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally 🇺🇸 but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...

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🇺🇸 Here’s some polling on the New York mayoral race.

If we retain 4 candidates, Mamdani wins decisively with a plurality of 39% (w/ Cuomo in 2nd at 21% and Sliwa in 3rd with 18%).

Were it a head-to-head between Mamdani & the embattled current mayor, Eric Adams, Mamdani wins by ten (47 to 37%).

And if it was simply a re-match of the primary in the general election, Mamdani vs. Andrew Cuomo, the embattled ex-governor, Cuomo’s 42% slightly edges Mamdani’s 41%.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 $ETHA becomes the third fastest growing ETF, behind $IBIT $FBTC…

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🇺🇸 Flows into cyclical & defensive equity funds…

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🇺🇸 A lovely presentation of the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Tracker.

You don’t get eye-popping colors like that from the Reserve, let me tell you.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) looks primed for a breakout and its first all-time high of the year.

This is likely to be the result of the U.S.-Japan trade deal.

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🇺🇸 The S&P 500, on the other hand, has made 5 new all-time highs in 5 days.

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🇬🇷 Poland & Greece are the decisive winners in equities thus far this year…

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🇹🇷 Turkey’s Lira is making fresh lows against the Dollar (as is tradition). It’s now worth 2.4 & a third cents. It’s been one long slide since the start of 2008 (-97.14%), and it’s down a similar amount since March of 2001 (the last time the Lira saw Dollar…

🇹🇷 Two polls out of Turkey (from Özdemir) looking at the results of two potential match-ups Erdoğa may face from the primary opposition party, CHP.

One against Yavas and one against İmamoğlu. The incumbent loses the first by 5.4% and the second by 4.4%. The poll was conducted July 7-11.

More: Erdoğan’s Pump Priming (NFU)

🗳 CHART WATCH 🗳

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🇺🇸 The AAII Bulls-Bears Spread.

Bulls have taken over in July.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The AAII Bulls-Bears Spread. Bulls have taken over in July. 🐂 CHART WATCH 🐂

🇺🇸 However, large speculators in the futures market are more short the $SPX than they’ve been in a year…

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🇺🇸 $ETHA becomes the third fastest growing ETF, behind $IBIT $FBTC… 🪙 CHART WATCH 🪙

🇺🇸 CME Ether Futures ($ETH1!) have reached a new record: accumulating $7.85 billion in interest…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 CME Ether Futures ($ETH1!) have reached a new record: accumulating $7.85 billion in interest… 🔹 CHART WATCH 🔹

The $ETH supply held by whales is decreasing as its price continues to climb.

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The $ETH supply held by whales is decreasing as its price continues to climb. 🔹 CHART WATCH 🔹

Should there be a tumble, support for $ETH is most likely to be found between $2400 & $2800.

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🇺🇸 Active listings in the U.S. housing market (top), as well as active listings in the four most populous states (Florida, Texas, New York, and California).

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🇺🇸 Sector performance from the start of the fourth quarter of 2024 through today…

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🇺🇸 Sector performance from the start of the fourth quarter of 2024 through today… 📊 CHART WATCH 📊

🇺🇸 The healthcare sector is particularly oversold.

The last three times (2016, 2020, 2022) that the 40-week rate of change dropped below 10%, $XLV was substantially higher two years later…

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🇺🇸 Tesla charts: their general revenue, automotive revenue, energy revenue, and their production.

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CHART WATCH

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