INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s Rising Role in the Global Economy

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ We came in at 0.3% MoM on the CPI. Core CPI MoM at 0.2%. Thatโ€™s Wall Street consensus for MoM CPI. Core CPIโ€™s 0.2% was under. YoY CPI came in 0.1 hot at 2.7%. YoY Core CPI also came in under at 2.9% instead of 3%. More on this laterโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ June CPI broken down into the three main categories & their respective parts by weighting on the left. On the right, each categoryโ€™s percentage contribution to the increase in the consumer price index.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medicareโ€™s Hospital Insurance Fund will be depleted by 2033.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 2025 GDP Growth Forecasts

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mortgage Loan Applications and 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Interest Rate

Mortgage applications increased 0.8% (22.1% y/y) in the week ending July 18, after falling 10.0% the prior week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Associationโ€™s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey. The increase was the fourth in the last five weeks.


The effective interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan edged up to 7.02% in the week ending July 18, from 7.00% in the week ending July 11.


๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China's true defense budget is on par with the United States' and dwarfs those of its Indo-Pacific neighbors.

The chart takes relative purchasing power into account.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The market performed in reverse order again. The Russell 2K ($RUT), normally the laggard, led with a 1.53% gain, followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI), up 1.14%.

The S&P 500 ($SPX) grew 0.78%, and the traditional leader, the Nasdaq 100 ($NDX), brought up the rear with a 0.61% improvement.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 1-Year Percent Change in the M2 Money Supply

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Itโ€™s going about as well as it ever has following a 20% correction.

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This poll asked Argentinians, Brazilians, Chileans, Colombians, Mexicans, and Peruvians which of the following if they felt most aligned with the United States, China, Russia, BRICS, or the European Union. There was also an option for โ€œno automatic alignments.โ€

Argentina prefers the United States (41%) and China is the runner-up (25%). Brazil is loyal to BRICS (44%), though many also say the U.S. (37%). Mexico is feeling closer to China (34%) than America (24%), which came second.

Chile was almost a tie, with the U.S. pulling 30% and China 26%. Columbia even more so (U.S. 37%, China 35%). And Peru was almost a tie between China (28%) and non-aligned (27%).

๐Ÿ”  CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ” 
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต U.S. automakers balked at the news about the tariff on Japanese vehicles being cut from 25 to 15%. They see the deal (as reported) as providing little in the way of new advantages in the Japanese market, while creating a competitive disadvantage for them stateside.

In honor of Trumpโ€™s deal, hereโ€™s the Toyota ($TM) to Ford ($F) ratio and the Honda ($HMC) to General Motors ($GM) ratio.

๐Ÿคฉ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿคฉ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 firms have less and less to say about inflation.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ If the equal-weighted S&P 500 ($RSP) can break out to new highs like the cap-weighted ($SPY) has, expect new 52-week highs to break out as well. Currently, around 10% have done so.

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The performance of largest metals markets has been strong year to dateโ€ฆ

Platinum is leading, up 63%. Copper has gained 43%, silver 36%, and finally gold at 31%.

๐Ÿฅ‡ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฅˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Americans' Opinions of the Moral Acceptability of 20 Behaviors

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Potential breakout in the EAFE Index ($EFA) vs. USA ($SPY).

EAFE represents the most developed markets outside America: Europe, Australasia, and the Far East.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง The United Kingdom imports more from India than they export to it.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland found some offshore oil.

๐Ÿ›ข CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ›ข
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The Volatility of Uranium Prices

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