INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail represents the largest percentage of overall shares traded since Trump gave them all stimulus checks & a market down 35%. ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Margin Debt As Percentage Of Real Disposable Personal Income

Retail is a big part of the market today, and yes, a whole lot of it involves marginโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ’ธ Unlike its Dollar pair, Bitcoin has not hit a new all-time high against the Euro since January 20th.

By contrast, $BTCUSD has had 7 days with new all-time highs since then.

๐Ÿ’ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Opendoor Technologies has had a big month, gaining over 600% as of pre-market this morning.

Yesterday, $OPEN traded 298% of its market cap, coming close to topping $GMEโ€™s 316% on January 25, 2021.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ He wasnโ€™t necessarily wrong about the stagnation of the companies in question, but their success has never been about superior products. Those have always been incidental. (These are the children of InQTel, after all.)

But he was definitely wrong about the 5-year short thesis.

๐Ÿ” CHART WATCH โœ…
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Fantastic returns thus far this year in the defense industry:

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช $HAG Hensoldt +201%
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช $RHM Rheinmetall +200%
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท $THEON Theon +141%
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช $SAABB Saab AB +140%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $KTOS Kratos +124%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $ATRO Astronics +117%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท $EXENS Exosens +113%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $RKLB Rocket Lab +102%

๐Ÿ›ก CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ›ก
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๐ŸŒ Global Core Inflation (and 5 Year Range)

๐Ÿ’ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ธ
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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Total 2024 Population Change in European Countries

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH โ†—๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail gasoline & diesel prices remain relatively stable.

Retail gasoline prices for all grades averaged $3.25 per gallon (-9.5% y/y) last week for the third straight week. Prices remained above their low of $3.13 in the week of December 9. The recent high was $3.79 in the week ending April 22, 2024. Their all-time high of $5.11 occurred in the week ending June 13, 2022.

The retail price for on-highway diesel fuel rose to $3.81 per gallon (0.9% y/y) in the week of July 21 after rising slightly to $3.76 in the prior week. The latest diesel price stood well below a high of $4.63 in the week ending September 18, 2023 and a peak of $5.81 in the week ending June 20, 2022.


๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 493 outperformed the MAG 7 for a change.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2028 Democratic Primary polling with and without Kamala Harrisโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ† CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ†
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2028 Republican Primary pollingโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ† CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ†
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Homebuilders had their best day since November of 2022.

๐Ÿ”ท CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ท
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indiaโ€™s Rising Role in the Global Economy

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ We came in at 0.3% MoM on the CPI. Core CPI MoM at 0.2%. Thatโ€™s Wall Street consensus for MoM CPI. Core CPIโ€™s 0.2% was under. YoY CPI came in 0.1 hot at 2.7%. YoY Core CPI also came in under at 2.9% instead of 3%. More on this laterโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ June CPI broken down into the three main categories & their respective parts by weighting on the left. On the right, each categoryโ€™s percentage contribution to the increase in the consumer price index.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Medicareโ€™s Hospital Insurance Fund will be depleted by 2033.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 2025 GDP Growth Forecasts

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Mortgage Loan Applications and 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Interest Rate

Mortgage applications increased 0.8% (22.1% y/y) in the week ending July 18, after falling 10.0% the prior week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Associationโ€™s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey. The increase was the fourth in the last five weeks.


The effective interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan edged up to 7.02% in the week ending July 18, from 7.00% in the week ending July 11.


๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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