INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Fed Funds Rate (inverted) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the 1970s.

πŸ“ˆ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The β€œreal” return in U.S. treasuries by decade (5Y note, 10Y note, long-term bond)…

πŸ“ CHART WATCH πŸ“
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Rate increases requested by the biggest Obamacare plans.

Blue Cross Blue Shield Illinois is atop the list with a request for a 27% rate increase.

πŸ“Š CHART WATCH πŸ“Š
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πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· Turkey’s Lira is making fresh lows against the Dollar (as is tradition). It’s now worth 2.4 & a third cents.

It’s been one long slide since the start of 2008 (-97.14%), and it’s down a similar amount since March of 2001 (the last time the Lira saw Dollar parity).

It’s lost something like 85% of its value since the start of the COVID slide alone.

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“‰
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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί 11 EU countries have deficits exceeding the targeted 3%.

🌎 CHART WATCH 🌎
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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡ΌπŸ‡°πŸ‡·πŸ‡­πŸ‡° Economy-wise holdings of US portfolio assets (as of April 2025)

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CHART WATCH πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail represents the largest percentage of overall shares traded since Trump gave them all stimulus checks & a market down 35%.

πŸ“Š CHART WATCH πŸ“Š
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ 2x Long VIX Futures ETF - Fund Total Assets Hits 642.6819

People are hedging.

πŸ“ˆ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election results…

Biggest Losses: The largest party, the Liberal Democratic Party (conservative) lost 18 seats, Komeito (centrist) lost 6 seats, and the communists lost 4.

Biggest Gains: Sanseitō (β€œultraconservative”) went from 1 seat to 15, and the newly reformed Democratic Party for the People gained 12 for a total of 22.

πŸ—³ CHART WATCH πŸ—³
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INTELRUNNER
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail represents the largest percentage of overall shares traded since Trump gave them all stimulus checks & a market down 35%. πŸ“Š CHART WATCH πŸ“Š
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Margin Debt As Percentage Of Real Disposable Personal Income

Retail is a big part of the market today, and yes, a whole lot of it involves margin…

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ’Έ Unlike its Dollar pair, Bitcoin has not hit a new all-time high against the Euro since January 20th.

By contrast, $BTCUSD has had 7 days with new all-time highs since then.

πŸ’Έ CHART WATCH πŸ’Έ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Opendoor Technologies has had a big month, gaining over 600% as of pre-market this morning.

Yesterday, $OPEN traded 298% of its market cap, coming close to topping $GME’s 316% on January 25, 2021.

πŸ“ˆ CHART WATCH πŸ“ˆ
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ He wasn’t necessarily wrong about the stagnation of the companies in question, but their success has never been about superior products. Those have always been incidental. (These are the children of InQTel, after all.)

But he was definitely wrong about the 5-year short thesis.

πŸ” CHART WATCH βœ…
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Fantastic returns thus far this year in the defense industry:

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ $HAG Hensoldt +201%
πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ $RHM Rheinmetall +200%
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡· $THEON Theon +141%
πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ $SAABB Saab AB +140%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ $KTOS Kratos +124%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ $ATRO Astronics +117%
πŸ‡«πŸ‡· $EXENS Exosens +113%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ $RKLB Rocket Lab +102%

πŸ›‘ CHART WATCH πŸ›‘
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🌍 Global Core Inflation (and 5 Year Range)

πŸ’Έ CHART WATCH πŸ’Έ
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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Total 2024 Population Change in European Countries

πŸ“‰ CHART WATCH ↗️
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail gasoline & diesel prices remain relatively stable.

Retail gasoline prices for all grades averaged $3.25 per gallon (-9.5% y/y) last week for the third straight week. Prices remained above their low of $3.13 in the week of December 9. The recent high was $3.79 in the week ending April 22, 2024. Their all-time high of $5.11 occurred in the week ending June 13, 2022.

The retail price for on-highway diesel fuel rose to $3.81 per gallon (0.9% y/y) in the week of July 21 after rising slightly to $3.76 in the prior week. The latest diesel price stood well below a high of $4.63 in the week ending September 18, 2023 and a peak of $5.81 in the week ending June 20, 2022.


πŸ“Š CHART WATCH πŸ“Š
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