INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Dollar ($DX1!) is in its longest streak of monthly declines since 2017.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A map of the strikes on Iran during Operation Rising Lion (Israel) and Operation Midnight Hammer (America).

๐ŸŒŽ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Franceโ€™s INSEE Household Confidence survey further weakensโ€ฆ

On balance, the INSEE survey remains weak and French consumers are troubled. There had been some recovery in train, through mid-2024. But since then, the recovery has eroded as the chart at the top of this report shows.


๐Ÿงฟ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงฟ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Delinquent student loans are swelling since collections resumed in May.

Nearly one-third of federal student loan borrowers โ€“ about 5.8 million people โ€“ are now more than 90 days delinquent, a sharp increase from the 12% delinquency rate seen before the pandemic.


๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐ŸŒ Global Per Capita Electricity Generation in kilowatt hours.

โšก๏ธ CHART WATCH โšก๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Henry Hub Natural Gas futures climbed 6% todayโ€ฆ

๐Ÿงš CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงš
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ America bombs Iranโ€”who expected this price action?

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ The rate of robbery across Europeโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ—บ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—บ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FedWatch indicates the probability of a rate cut on July 30th is once again rising.

Having fallen from 22% to 14.5% from May 28th to June 20th, it is now up to 18.6%.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Countries rich people are leavingโ€ฆ

โ†—๏ธ CHART WATCH โ†—๏ธ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Social Security and Medicare are increasingly unfunded liabilities.

They will either be reformed some now or reformed a lot later.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Central bank balance sheets are shrinking across the G4.

The Fed, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England have reduced their asset holdings by an average of ~$110 billion/mo over the last 6 months.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Market concentration is increasing.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s Falling Property Prices

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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๐ŸŒ Temperature drives CO2 changes, not the other way around.

Note in the chart that the HadCRUT5 temperature plot is shifted forward by 4 months, and that CO2 level changes match the temperature changes after that lag.


๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The status of Strategic Bitcoin Reserve legislation across America...

Were the measures currently pending in all 26 of these states to pass, 262,577 BTC totaling over $28 billion in dollar terms would have to be purchased.

๐Ÿ’ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ธ
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๐ŸŒ The price of copper, 1850-2025โ€ฆ

Copper's price history is a story of its fundamental link to industrial progress and economic health, marked by significant cycles driven by major global events, technological changes, and shifting supply-demand balances, with the energy transition being the dominant theme today.


๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The delinquency rate of multi-family housingโ€”watch this space.

๐Ÿ  CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ 
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๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Turkish Lira is down another 11.37% year to date against the Dollar.

Thatโ€™s -85.21% since 2020 and -96.27% since 2010 as well.

But then again, it lost 99.57% from July 1990 to July 2000, so this is not Turkeyโ€™s first (or second) rodeo.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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