$JETS is up on the back of a sector-wide tailwind, particularly in budget airlines like $ALGT and $ULCC. It is just now reaching the levels it fell from during the March 2020 COVID collapse.
Southwest ($LUV), the largest holding, saw 300% year over year leap in EPSβgood for a 33.3% gain over the past three months.
13.4% of the holdings in $JETS have seen insider buying in the past six months.
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$PAVE has appreciated against $IFRA for most of its history. $PAVE is the more pure infrastructure play, but $IFRA has the higher yield, as you'd expect from the make-up.
Since 10/1, $PAVE is up 15.5% and $IFRA gained 11.5%. As anticipated, $PAVE gained 3-4% on $IFRA over the roughly four-month period.
We noted both would benefit from industrial construction, data center construction, and building out chip manufacturing capacity, as trillions of dollars have been allocated by Congress to do. Here's a quick differentiation between the two ETFs from last time:
There are two key American ETFs for infrastructure: (1) the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF ($PAVE), which is largely industrial, construction, and raw materials companies, and (2) the iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF ($IFRA), which has those but also includes companies in utilities & energy.
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Breadth has been catching up. This was essentially required to preserve the bull run. Of late, midcaps have been most impressive.
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What we've seen so far is curve steepening, rates path repricing due to softer macro, and mild de-risking. The 2s-10s curve is at its steepest in four years.
This has been caused by the two-year note's yield drifting back down to 3.5% while the ten-year note remains anchored in the low-to-mid 4s.
Upcoming inflation and payroll data are likely to resolve this one way or the other. Until then, it may not be a bad idea to store spare capital in something like $SHY.
You didn't think this was financial advice, did you? No, it's not financial advice...
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The NASDAQ 100 ($QQQ) led the market today with 0.77% gain, followed by the Russell 2K ($IWM) at +0.7%. The S&P 500 ($SPY) advanced 0.48%, and the Dow Jones Industrial ($DJI) lagged, coming in nearly flat with a gain of 0.04%.
Technology ($XLK) and Basic Materials ($XLB) led sectors, adding 1.57% and 1.3%. Consumer Discretionary ($XLY), Consumer Staples ($XLP), Financials ($XLF), and Healthcare ($XLV) were all in the red with the latter worst off (-0.88%).
Semiconductors ($SOXX) and mining ($XME) broadly led the rally with gains of 1.22% and 2.42% respectively. Gold miners ($GDX) and silver miners ($SIL) specifically rose 5.65% and 5.81%.
$AMD gained 3.63%, $NVDA 2.5%, $AMAT 2.5%, and $NXPI 2.05%. $ASML was up a more modest 1.17%. $MSFT gained 3.11%. $CDE saw a 7.42% jump, $HL was up 5.14%, $FCX was up 4.84%, and $NEM gained 4.69%.
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Let's hope it goes better than last time it was in the $SPX, when $CIEN fell by 90%. In the interim, it has gained 2,500% in the S&P 400...
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$STRC is 36 cents shy of par pre-market.
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As usual, everything is set up to place disproportionate stress on small entities.
In the modern world, small business entities are meant to be yoked...
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It's going the way of the American Post Office: somehow continually deeply in the red despite possessing monopolies.
Newfoundland is worst off at 9.2%, while Quebec and Saskatchewan have the lowest at 5.2% and 5.3% respectively.
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