INTELRUNNER
Housing prices are rising again, and the Fannie & Freddie haven't even started their MBS splurge.
The MoM percent change is up to 0.4%...
The MoM percent change is up to 0.4%...
If you break that down, you get a median age of 40 for first-time home buyers, another new record.
Repeat buyers average a median of 62.
If the problem is the houses are too expensive for most people, how is driving prices higher to drive mortgage rates lower intelligent?
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There were less significant losses as American small caps, non-cyclicals, and precious metals cooled off...
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INTELRUNNER
Wall Street has been nonstop undershooting actual EPS of late.
They are continuously forced to revise way up, over and over.
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$2.52 billion in cryptocurrency liquidations in the past 24 hours.
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INTELRUNNER
The SpaceX and xAI merge will create another top 10 company for Musk...
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INTELRUNNER
$IBC is benefitting from optimism about the new caretaker administration. It has been seeing significant speculative capital, including many hedge funds buying up distressed assets.
Since, $IBC has regained 67.2%. Venezuela has a long road to recovery ahead of it.
The socialists took power on the cusp of the 00s bull run in oil. Mistaking high oil pricing for the bounty of their revolutionary endeavor, they embarked on an enormous welfare state. And I'm not kidding: healthcare, literacy, food, housing programs; energy and food subsidies; straight up cash transfers; price controls; and even discount oil for all of their LatAm allies.
Then the price dropped by over two-thirds. Poor management (loyalists aren't always the best leaders), purges of experienced staff (for going on strike, which you might consider ironic, and it is, but it's also a normal reaction in communist nations), and underinvestment in maintenance led to production declines even before the price rolled over. This created enormous budgetary shortfalls.
Instead of trimming back, they took it as a short-term obstacle (because of course they did; it's always the path of least resistance to corruption) and began borrowing to sustain the massive welfare state. What they got instead was a massive, debilitating inflation culminating in a 344,510% headline rate in February 2019.
And so, now, in 2026, Venezuela's GDP has dropped 70% since 2012.
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INTELRUNNER
We're now at a 52% drawdown from the October 6th all-time high with a 31% drop year to date.
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INTELRUNNER
We had a surprise underdog victory in the special election in New Jersey's 11th District. Leftist Analilia Mejia defeated AIPAC candidate & former Lieutenant Governor Tahesha Way as well the favorite & the primary target of AIPAC, former representative Tom Malinowski.
In a three-way format that's becoming increasingly common in Democratic competitions, one candidate accepted piles of Jewish money to support Israel, one candidate came out against Israel, and another offered both support & mild criticism while striking a moderate tone.
In Israel lobby politics, the latter is treated exactly the same as outright opposition. They expect 100% compliance on votes & rhetoric or they're intolerant of you.
Malinowski dominated the prediction markets until the very end. Believing the leftist had little chance in this very wealthy city of executives & professionals (97th percentile), the Israel lobby focused their ire & surreptitious spending on Malinowski. (They set up cutout organizations with generic political names like "Americans for New Jersey" and attack their opponents on everything but foreign policy).
This has backfired on them as their candidate failed to reach 10,000 votes while two they don't like topped 16,000.
Mejia beat Malinowski by only 108 votes at last counting. Mejia will have to run again in the June primary if she intends to retain her new seat.
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Honestly, basically every credit spread has been declining...
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INTELRUNNER
The $VIX fell 8.21% over the day.
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$JETS is up on the back of a sector-wide tailwind, particularly in budget airlines like $ALGT and $ULCC. It is just now reaching the levels it fell from during the March 2020 COVID collapse.
Southwest ($LUV), the largest holding, saw 300% year over year leap in EPSβgood for a 33.3% gain over the past three months.
13.4% of the holdings in $JETS have seen insider buying in the past six months.
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