INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B) has been raising cash for three years.

12 straight quarters of net sales.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Thank God they saved all those people by moving them from mental hospitals to prisons.

We could've just reformed the hospitals, but I guess that's too big an ask for Boomers & their parents.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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โ€œSome nations have descended into such depths of evil and corruption that the only solution is to eradicate them completely, leaving no trace.โ€
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง The prediction market for how long Israel's aggression against Lebanon is going to last...

70% of the crowd thinks it continues through Wednesday. There aren't any further days yet, so we might interpret this as Wednesday through indefinitely.

๐ŸŽฑ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŽฑ
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง The prediction market for how long Israel's aggression against Lebanon is going to last... 70% of the crowd thinks it continues through Wednesday. There aren't any further days yet, so we might interpret this as Wednesday through indefinitely. ๐ŸŽฑ CHARTโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ’ฅ How many countries will Israel bomb this November?

Half the market says 2.
I suppose that's fair. 1 is extremely optimistic. 3 is a real dark horse at 12%. They could do 3 no problem if they get going...

๐ŸŽฑ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŽฑ
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๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท The East Asian Equity Indices (Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea) performance over the last year. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท The South Korean KOSPI Index is putting in quite the performance year-to-date, appreciating by 75%.

That's about 80.5% in dollars, propelled by strong growth in its two largest companiesโ€”SK Hynix (251% YTD) and the 4th largest Asian corporation, Samsung (109%)โ€”as well as in defense, shipbuilding, batteries, and fintech.

KOSPI is the second best performing primary national index over the past quarter century, averaging 7% per annum.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐ŸŒ Year-to-date returns leaderboardโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐ŸŒŽ The Returns Leaderboard for the month of October 2025 (in USD)

๐Ÿฅ‰ EM Equities ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ (+4.2%)

๐Ÿฅˆ The NASDAQ 100 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (+4.7%)

๐Ÿฅ‡ The Magnificent 7 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ (+5.6%)

๐Ÿ”ฝ Japanese Yen ๐Ÿ’ฒ (-4.1%), Bitcoin ๐Ÿ’ฐ (-4%), Chinese Equities ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ (-3.8%)

๐Ÿ”ผ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ”ฝ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ You think it would be fair to say online gambling saved the NFL?
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Who will be the 2025 NFL Champion? Kalshi's prediction market points to the Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs 18%
Detroit Lions 12%
Buffalo Bills 11%
Green Bay Packers 10%
Philadelphia Eagles 10%
Indianapolis Colts 8%

๐Ÿˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ In America, the younger you are, the more likely you are to believe in political violence.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ America's Wealth by Generation

This is something else. They'll point to compounding and that's a multiplier, but in reality, it's more the fact that Boomers did two key things: (1) they bought assets in an era of gratuitous public spending and thus immense inflation and (2) they demanded the government borrow from the future to prevent a real recession in their lifetimes.

What's the result? The Silent Generation's depleted pensions still carry more weight than the sum of Millennial wealth.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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Restaurant demand keeps bleeding. Chart Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Restaurant stocks are taking a beating in 2025...

๐Ÿฝ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฝ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Restaurant stocks are taking a beating in 2025... ๐Ÿฝ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฝ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Accordingly, the Restaurant ETF is approaching its Liberation Day lows.

$EATZ has suffered a 20% drawdown from its all-time high in July.

๐Ÿฝ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฝ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Action in the indices today...

The Nasdaq led. The S&P was also positive. The Russell lost a third of a point; the Dow lost almost half of one.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF ($RSP) has essentially gone nowhere over the past year. All the action is occurring in the megacaps & the AI bubble. I'm really trying to drive this home: breadth is not going well. ๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPY) is up about 14.6% this year. A lot of that upside has been in the technology sector ($XLK) is up 26.62%, and the Mag 7 ($MAGS) are up 25.56% YTD.

The S&P 500 Excluding Technology ($SPXT) is only up 9.88%, and excluding the Mag 7, the S&P 493 is up 12.10% on the year.

๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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๐ŸŒŽ Trick-or-Treat Around the World: origin of traditions around the world where children go door to door for treats

๐Ÿญ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿญ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Container ship departures from China to the US are down significantly since June. ๐Ÿšค CHART WATCH ๐Ÿšค
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Three Nations Control the Global Fleet

Greece, China and Japan command the global fleet, holding over 40% of the world's shipping
capacity.

โš“๏ธ CHART WATCH โš“๏ธ
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๐ŸŒŽ Countries That Celebrate Halloween ๐ŸŽƒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŽƒ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Halloween Inflation

Adjusted for inflation, Halloween costs as much as ever. Nominally, a new record of $13 billion was set in 2025. In reality, this $8.7 billion in 2009 dollarsโ€”on par with 2023's $12 billion spent.

๐Ÿ‘ป CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‘ป
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๐ŸŒŽ The Past Year of the Crypto Fear & Greed Index

The F&G Index is strongly indicating fear as it extends into the spring time lows, down near 20.

This comes as Bitcoin is down almost 17% since its last all-time high 28 days ago...

๐Ÿค‘ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿค‘
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ v. ๐ŸŒ Foreign stocks are once again failing to break out against American stocks.

Every single one of those rejections off that trend line came with much fanfare about the end of the American era (largely out of Europe and European-owned media).

This time, though, there is some merit to the case. Without the Mag 7's dominance, that trend line would be broken. It's just the sheer power of the consolidated AI bubble holding them down.

๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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This is the nonfinancial market capitalization divided by the nonfinancial corporate gross-value added including estimated foreign revenuesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Buffett Indicator continues to set new all-time highs; this reading is a whopping 223%.

That's right: two hundred & twenty-three percent!

That's up from 209% at the beginning of July. The indicator is calculated by taking the ratio of the total market capitalization of the Wilshire 5000 to the gross domestic product.

For more:
โ€ข Hussman Strategic Advisors upgraded version [8/30]
โ€ข Berkshire Hathaway's mounting cash pile [11/2]

๐Ÿšจ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿšจ
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