INTELRUNNER
The implied odds of a resumption in discontinued government by then (shudder) stand at 80%.
All of this over paying for all of the healthcare of illegal residents of America.
Are they just trying to buy 3 generations of votes again? Or do they know denying all of the benefits (over a third of them just collect those) will cause much of their antidemocratic project in social & political engineering to self-deport?
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
So far, Trump has done little to help. There are even still nonsense regulations about methane in effect. But it's not restricted to climate; it's the same game as energy: drum up an environmental pretext and grind the industry to a halt through prohibitive cost.
As a result, beef prices are making new highs again...sure does seem to be happening all over the world too.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Argentina prefers the United States (41%) and China is the runner-up (25%).
LA has increased its deputies from 37 to 101 and senators from 6 to 20. Bitter opponents who had no reservations about fraternizing with China to boost their electoral standing (including allowing the overfishing of Argentine waters) are complaining about Bessent's swap line.
Interestingly, lots of U.S. critics of D.C.'s asinine foreign policy are complaining, despite many of them insisting America should be competing with China as China competes, with handouts, development, and the like.
Very interesting...more Argentina content:
β’ Milei's Argentina leads LatAm growth forecasts [8/19]
β’ LatAm geopolitical loyalties [7/23]
β’ The plummeting inflation rates [7/14]
β’ The plummeting child poverty rates [7/14]
β’ Argentina's inflation miracle [5/13]
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Funny how the Establishment favorite always swells right before, huh?
Really funny.
β CHART WATCH β
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Such is life when you flip your cheap energy supplier the bird and have to rely on one of the following: (1) heavily demanded Middle Eastern sources, (2) super expensive American LNG, or (3) buying that same cheap Russian gas at a premium from Turkey.
What are they thinking? The financial pundits will call them stupid, but you aren't that naΓ―ve, are you?
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
It broke out of its range a month ago and will likely continue outperforming for a bit as the healthcare sector swings into gear.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
I will never understand not putting a 50-line on a diffusion index...
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
In this case we speak of the dynamic resistance running from the 1929 Roaring Twenties peak to the 2001 Dotcom peak...
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Question: Did you participate in the No Kings protest on October 18? (% who say "yes")
By the way, it's YouGov, so as alwaysπ§.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
(GDP per capita)
Mississippi is hot on Germany's ass, and not far off Canada either.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Sounds reasonable.
No way this ends poorly.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
As a result, beef prices are making new highs again.
The lower & more pink the number, the more spent on groceries, and vice versa the higher & more yellow the number.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Almost all of the upside in the stock market occurs after hours. Or before hours. Something worth remembering...
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Weβve got fresh polling on the New York mayoral race, courtesy of Tulchin Researchβ¦
The results are fairly consistent across markets: Mamdani has an 88-90% chance of winning the mayoral election in NYC.
This will be accomplished on the strength of his 90%+ odds in Brooklyn, Manhattan, and Queens. The Bronx is more of a toss-up; Staten Island is, of course, firmly Cuomo's territory.
This has never really been in doubt so long as the race stayed multiple choice, and Cuomo's campaign has done a lot to render a Sliwa dropout irrelevant (which was not the case two months ago).
It seems possible that Cuomo may not even match his own strength in the Democratic primary, which is remarkable.
News from Underground Coverage
β’ You Don't Mess With The Zohran - Part 1, June 26th
β’ You Don't Mess With The Zohran - Part 2, October 25th
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
INTELRUNNER
Over the weekend, Bitcoin staged a short-lived recovery after briefly dipping to the lower boundary of the top-buyersβ supply cluster, spanning $107Kβ$118K. According to the Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap, the price rebounded from the midline near $116K before retracing to around $113K.
This structure closely mirrors the post-ATH bounce patterns observed in Q2βQ3 2024 and Q1 2025, where temporary rallies emerged as demand was quickly absorbed by overhead supply. In the current instance, renewed selling from long-term holders has further amplified resistance at this supply zone, highlighting how profit-taking at elevated levels continues to cap upward momentum.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM