INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ This Chinese Technology ETF ($CQQQ) looks very much like the $KWEB Chinese Internet fund, about which I wrote on the 19th: Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technicallyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Historically oversold, General Mills, Inc. has returned to the dynamic support associated with its 40-year up trend.

$GIS is above the 50DMA ($49.81) & below the 200DMA ($56.00). Big volume came in on the 17th & 19th. Itโ€™s down 31% YoY and 20% YTD, but itโ€™s up almost 5% over the past week.

General Mills pays a dividend of 4.77% and is expecting a slight decrease in sales & free cash flow margin over the next year.

This is never financial advice.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Will the breakout continue in the Lithium ETF ($LIT)? ๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The breakout will continue as anticipated in the Lithium ETF ($LIT).

+25.85% in six & a half weeksโ€ฆ

๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ Topics by percentage of Trumpโ€™s UN speechโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germanyโ€™s energy has stopped contracting, but wind has been a real letdown of late (there isnโ€™t much of it). Solar is doing better than ever (clearly the winner between the two in the grand European experiment), but it was renewed usage of coal that trulyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Share of Hungary's electricity generation by source. Solar has overtaken gas to become Hungary's second largest electricity source.

The four largest sources are shown; these made up 92% of electricity production in 2024.

โ˜ข๏ธ CHART WATCH โ˜ข๏ธ
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The History of Bitcoinโ€™s Market Price ๐Ÿ’ฐ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฐ
๐Ÿค‘ The evolution of market share in cryptocurrency from 2015โ€“2025โ€ฆ

Naturally, Bitcoinโ€™s share has declined, and Ethereum has replaced XRP at #2.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short- and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study This is Figure 1 from the Henry Ford Health System study of 16,511 vaccinated & 1,957 unvaccinated children. They used medical records fromโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COVID-19 vaccine uptake since start of the pandemic

The percent of U.S. adults who have gotten the most up-to-date COVID-19 vaccine available [through March 2025].

๐Ÿ’‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The local affiliates who took part in the Jimmy Kimmel boycottโ€ฆ

๐Ÿฆ… CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฆ…
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Overtime hours & temporary work seeing a bump in what may be the beginning of a recoveryโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ›  CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ› 
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Economy Expands at Fastest Pace in Nearly Two Years (GDP & Personal Consumption, QoQ)

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ When the S&P 500 rises 30%, it tends to be even higher over the following period. In fact, itโ€™s higher 100% of time 2-12 months after the signal. Today is the best advance-decline reading in the $SPX since May 27th, and itโ€™s another new all-time high.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPX) in log scale and the S&P 500 divided by the M2 money supply (to roughly account for inflation).

Weโ€™re just south of Dotcom highs now in the latter caseโ€ฆ

๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Breakout in solar ($TAN). Itโ€™s the end of a 2.5 year trend, but solar has been in decline since the beginning of 2021. ๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The breakout in solar ($TAN) has pressed forward 13.4% over the last 11.5 weeks.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The SPDR Energy Sector ETF ($XLE) is breaking out of the rising wedge it dropped into just before Liberation Day.

โšก CHART WATCH โšก
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๐Ÿค‘ The evolution of market share in cryptocurrency from 2015โ€“2025โ€ฆ Naturally, Bitcoinโ€™s share has declined, and Ethereum has replaced XRP at #2. ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐ŸŒŽ Bitcoinโ€™s Bull Market Correction Drawdowns

The drawdowns this cycle have been relatively modest.

๐Ÿ’ฐ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฐ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Polymarket odds for the 2028 Democratic Primary
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Polymarket odds for the 2028 Presidential Election in the United Statesโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ J.D. Vance 27%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Gavin Newsom 22%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Marco Rubio 5%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Andy Beshear 3.5%
๐Ÿชจ Dwayne Johnson 3.5%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Wes Moore 3.3%

๐Ÿ—ณ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ—ณ
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๐ŸŒ Reserve Assets: Fiat vs. Gold
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Global Gold Reserves: the United States of America vs. the World

After the beginning of the end kicked off in 2008, many central banks (particularly in developing & emerging economies) began buying gold hand over fist, correctly anticipating devaluation in the Dollar & all other fiat currencies operating within its system.

The average total purchase from 2011-2021 was around 118 tons/year. In the year or so after the Russo-Ukrainian War began, they averaged 291 tons/year. Here in the second half of 2025, buying is picking up again (as is inflation) after a period of subdued buying (waiting to see if Trump would blow up the world economy & create a significant discount).

While Asia has added tons of gold to its reserves in the last decade & a half, the developed world has largely resisted this trend. Most Western central bankers either stood pat like the U.S. or sold off all of their gold like the U.K. Now during the Trump Administration, it appears America is embracing cryptocurrency.

The Administration has discussed revaluation of gold as one solvency strategy. With Asiaโ€™s buying spree & the U.S. share in gold reserves falling to 20% (from 53% in 1957), will D.C. decide to take up gold purchases? Or is it stablecoin hegemony & U.S. military dominance all the way?

๐Ÿช™ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿค‘
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The Debtors & Creditors of Europe (from largest to smallest):

Creditors: ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

Debtors: ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น

See the problem?

France was a creditor nation briefly after the pandemic began but that soon reversed. Greece, Portugal, and the Netherlands are essentially neutral. Germany is loaning all the money, but their economy is seriously stagnating.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tesla is up 8.9% this month. Technically, itโ€™s been all over this dynamic resistance of late. Which way will $TSLAโ€™s triangle break? โค๏ธ CHART WATCH โค๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tesla is up 31.57% in the five weeks since I posted that developing triangle breakout. Just sayingโ€ฆ

Iโ€™m shooting more from the hip on this one. Call it a hunch*, but I bet $TSLA ends up back in that $355-365 zone.

*Just donโ€™t call it financial advice.

๐Ÿšš CHART WATCH ๐Ÿšš
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