INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The United States of America is once again in possession of the highest price-to-earnings ratio in three world.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Money market fund assets as a percent of the S&P market capโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Big Bad AI Bubble exceeds the Dotcom Bubbleโ€ฆ โ†—๏ธ CHART WATCH โ†—๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Performance of the NASDAQ 100 following (1) the Netscape IPO and (2) the release of ChatGPT.

The Netscape IPO (light blue) started trading in August 1995. ChatGPT (dark blue) came out in November 2022.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Russell 2K ($IWM) vs. the S&P 500 ($SPY) Small caps are back. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿค‘ Will Ethereum & the Russell 2000 break out to new highs like Bitcoin & the NASDAQ 100?

Whatever happens, since mid-2021, these two assets ($ETH, $IWM) do it togetherโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 firms have less and less to say about inflation. ๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trade & tariffs still top the list of firmsโ€™ most pressing concerns, but itโ€™s falling, while monetary policy, inflation, and labor availability are risingโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ This Chinese Technology ETF ($CQQQ) looks very much like the $KWEB Chinese Internet fund, about which I wrote on the 19th: Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technicallyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Historically oversold, General Mills, Inc. has returned to the dynamic support associated with its 40-year up trend.

$GIS is above the 50DMA ($49.81) & below the 200DMA ($56.00). Big volume came in on the 17th & 19th. Itโ€™s down 31% YoY and 20% YTD, but itโ€™s up almost 5% over the past week.

General Mills pays a dividend of 4.77% and is expecting a slight decrease in sales & free cash flow margin over the next year.

This is never financial advice.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Will the breakout continue in the Lithium ETF ($LIT)? ๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The breakout will continue as anticipated in the Lithium ETF ($LIT).

+25.85% in six & a half weeksโ€ฆ

๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ Topics by percentage of Trumpโ€™s UN speechโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germanyโ€™s energy has stopped contracting, but wind has been a real letdown of late (there isnโ€™t much of it). Solar is doing better than ever (clearly the winner between the two in the grand European experiment), but it was renewed usage of coal that trulyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Share of Hungary's electricity generation by source. Solar has overtaken gas to become Hungary's second largest electricity source.

The four largest sources are shown; these made up 92% of electricity production in 2024.

โ˜ข๏ธ CHART WATCH โ˜ข๏ธ
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The History of Bitcoinโ€™s Market Price ๐Ÿ’ฐ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฐ
๐Ÿค‘ The evolution of market share in cryptocurrency from 2015โ€“2025โ€ฆ

Naturally, Bitcoinโ€™s share has declined, and Ethereum has replaced XRP at #2.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short- and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study This is Figure 1 from the Henry Ford Health System study of 16,511 vaccinated & 1,957 unvaccinated children. They used medical records fromโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COVID-19 vaccine uptake since start of the pandemic

The percent of U.S. adults who have gotten the most up-to-date COVID-19 vaccine available [through March 2025].

๐Ÿ’‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’‰
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The local affiliates who took part in the Jimmy Kimmel boycottโ€ฆ

๐Ÿฆ… CHART WATCH ๐Ÿฆ…
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Overtime hours & temporary work seeing a bump in what may be the beginning of a recoveryโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ›  CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ› 
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Economy Expands at Fastest Pace in Nearly Two Years (GDP & Personal Consumption, QoQ)

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ When the S&P 500 rises 30%, it tends to be even higher over the following period. In fact, itโ€™s higher 100% of time 2-12 months after the signal. Today is the best advance-decline reading in the $SPX since May 27th, and itโ€™s another new all-time high.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The S&P 500 ($SPX) in log scale and the S&P 500 divided by the M2 money supply (to roughly account for inflation).

Weโ€™re just south of Dotcom highs now in the latter caseโ€ฆ

๐ŸŒ CHART WATCH ๐ŸŒ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Breakout in solar ($TAN). Itโ€™s the end of a 2.5 year trend, but solar has been in decline since the beginning of 2021. ๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The breakout in solar ($TAN) has pressed forward 13.4% over the last 11.5 weeks.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The SPDR Energy Sector ETF ($XLE) is breaking out of the rising wedge it dropped into just before Liberation Day.

โšก CHART WATCH โšก
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๐Ÿค‘ The evolution of market share in cryptocurrency from 2015โ€“2025โ€ฆ Naturally, Bitcoinโ€™s share has declined, and Ethereum has replaced XRP at #2. ๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
๐ŸŒŽ Bitcoinโ€™s Bull Market Correction Drawdowns

The drawdowns this cycle have been relatively modest.

๐Ÿ’ฐ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฐ
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