INTELRUNNER – Telegram

INTELRUNNER

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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally 🇺🇸 but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...

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🇮🇪 The prediction market for the upcoming vote on the Irish presidency (October 24, 2025).

Jim Gavin is clinging to a slight lead. Heather Humphreys has been narrowing the gap all week and is now closer to regaining 1st than she’s been all month.

There is half a point of distance between them.

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CHART WATCH

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🇮🇪 The prediction market for the upcoming vote on the Irish presidency (October 24, 2025). Jim Gavin is clinging to a slight lead. Heather Humphreys has been narrowing the gap all week and is now closer to regaining 1st than she’s been all month. There…

🇮🇪 This is a national poll about support for Irish political parties. There’s been a fair amount of chop of late among the top 3, and the Soc Dems have broken from the pack to take a clear 4th:

1️⃣

Sinn Féin

2️⃣

Fianna Fáil

3️⃣

Fine Gael

4️⃣

Social Democrats

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short- and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study

🇺🇸 About 1 in 3 American women over the age of 60 is on psychiatric medications.

This trend has continued to worsen since at least 1999, as indicated by the upward shift period to period.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The United States of America is once again in possession of the highest price-to-earnings ratio in three world.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 Money market fund assets as a percent of the S&P market cap…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The Big Bad AI Bubble exceeds the Dotcom Bubble… ↗️ CHART WATCH ↗️

🇺🇸 Performance of the NASDAQ 100 following (1) the Netscape IPO and (2) the release of ChatGPT.

The Netscape IPO (light blue) started trading in August 1995. ChatGPT (dark blue) came out in November 2022.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The Russell 2K ($IWM) vs. the S&P 500 ($SPY) Small caps are back. 📈 CHART WATCH 📈

🤑 Will Ethereum & the Russell 2000 break out to new highs like Bitcoin & the NASDAQ 100?

Whatever happens, since mid-2021, these two assets ($ETH, $IWM) do it together…

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CHART WATCH

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6 views22:11

🇺🇸 S&P 500 firms have less and less to say about inflation. 📉 CHART WATCH 📉

🇺🇸 Trade & tariffs still top the list of firms’ most pressing concerns, but it’s falling, while monetary policy, inflation, and labor availability are rising…

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CHART WATCH

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🇨🇳 This Chinese Technology ETF ($CQQQ) looks very much like the $KWEB Chinese Internet fund, about which I wrote on the 19th: Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technically…

🇺🇸 Historically oversold, General Mills, Inc. has returned to the dynamic support associated with its 40-year up trend.

$GIS is above the 50DMA ($49.81) & below the 200DMA ($56.00). Big volume came in on the 17th & 19th. It’s down 31% YoY and 20% YTD, but it’s up almost 5% over the past week.

General Mills pays a dividend of 4.77% and is expecting a slight decrease in sales & free cash flow margin over the next year.

This is never financial advice.

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CHART WATCH

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5 views00:33

🇺🇸 Will the breakout continue in the Lithium ETF ($LIT)? 🧪 CHART WATCH 🧪

🇺🇸 The breakout will continue as anticipated in the Lithium ETF ($LIT).

+25.85% in six & a half weeks…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇳 Topics by percentage of Trump’s UN speech…

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CHART WATCH

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🇩🇪 Germany’s energy has stopped contracting, but wind has been a real letdown of late (there isn’t much of it). Solar is doing better than ever (clearly the winner between the two in the grand European experiment), but it was renewed usage of coal that truly…

🇭🇺 Share of Hungary's electricity generation by source. Solar has overtaken gas to become Hungary's second largest electricity source.

The four largest sources are shown; these made up 92% of electricity production in 2024.

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CHART WATCH

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The History of Bitcoin’s Market Price 💰 CHART WATCH 💰

🤑 The evolution of market share in cryptocurrency from 2015–2025…

Naturally, Bitcoin’s share has declined, and Ethereum has replaced XRP at #2.

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short- and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study This is Figure 1 from the Henry Ford Health System study of 16,511 vaccinated & 1,957 unvaccinated children. They used medical records from…

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COVID-19 vaccine uptake since start of the pandemic

The percent of U.S. adults who have gotten the most up-to-date COVID-19 vaccine available [through March 2025].

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 The local affiliates who took part in the Jimmy Kimmel boycott…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 Overtime hours & temporary work seeing a bump in what may be the beginning of a recovery…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 US Economy Expands at Fastest Pace in Nearly Two Years (GDP & Personal Consumption, QoQ)

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 When the S&P 500 rises 30%, it tends to be even higher over the following period. In fact, it’s higher 100% of time 2-12 months after the signal. Today is the best advance-decline reading in the $SPX since May 27th, and it’s another new all-time high.…

🇺🇸 The S&P 500 ($SPX) in log scale and the S&P 500 divided by the M2 money supply (to roughly account for inflation).

We’re just south of Dotcom highs now in the latter case…

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CHART WATCH

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🇺🇸 Breakout in solar ($TAN). It’s the end of a 2.5 year trend, but solar has been in decline since the beginning of 2021. 🕯 CHART WATCH 🕯

🇺🇸 The breakout in solar ($TAN) has pressed forward 13.4% over the last 11.5 weeks.

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CHART WATCH

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