INTELRUNNER
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Intel & data mostly via charts in economics, markets, politics, war, business, trade, international relations, etc.

Generally ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ but I do get around.

Nothing is financial advice...
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The other big report is in unemployment. Here are the initial (4-week moving average) & continuing claimsโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Initial Jobless Insurance Claims

Initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped by 33,000 in the week of September 13 to 231,000, from 264,000 in the week ended September 6, revised from 263,000.


๐Ÿ›ซ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ›ซ
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๐ŸŒŽ The Periodic Table of Investment Returns

โ„น๏ธ CHART WATCH โ„น๏ธ
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INTELRUNNER
The profound decline in global mergers & acquisitionsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Number of S&P Members Spinning Off Companies Is Near A Decade High

So far this year, plenty of household names opted to split themselves apart: industrial giant Honeywell ($HON) is dividing into three, while Warner Bros. Discovery ($WBD) said in June it would separate its TV networks from streaming and studios. Keurig Dr Pepper ($KDP) plans to separate its soda and coffee businesses after completing its $18 billion acquisition of JDE Peet's. And Kraft Heinz ($KHC) will spin off its grocery arm, shedding Kraft-branded staples like boxed mac and cheese and frozen meals.


โ†—๏ธ CHART WATCH โ†—๏ธ
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๐ŸŒ The Biggest Shifts in Currenciesโ€™ Value Against the Dollar

Double Digit Gains: ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ

Double Digit Losses: ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท

๐Ÿ’ฑ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’ฑ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 Growth & Value Relative to S&P 500 (Percent Performance) Value ($IVE) has gotten crushed and growth ($IVW) has ripped in this new easy money eraโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Momentum is the best-performing factor on the year.

This is interesting because it was getting crushed towards the middle.

Low Volatility is getting decimated.

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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๐ŸŒ G7 Rate Cuts

-2.5pp โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

-1.25pp โ€” ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

+0.6pp โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต

๐Ÿ› CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ›
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช The prediction market for the upcoming vote on the Irish presidency (October 24, 2025).

Jim Gavin is clinging to a slight lead. Heather Humphreys has been narrowing the gap all week and is now closer to regaining 1st than sheโ€™s been all month.

There is half a point of distance between them.

โœ… CHART WATCH โœ…
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช The prediction market for the upcoming vote on the Irish presidency (October 24, 2025). Jim Gavin is clinging to a slight lead. Heather Humphreys has been narrowing the gap all week and is now closer to regaining 1st than sheโ€™s been all month. Thereโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช This is a national poll about support for Irish political parties. Thereโ€™s been a fair amount of chop of late among the top 3, and the Soc Dems have broken from the pack to take a clear 4th:

1๏ธโƒฃ Sinn Fรฉin

2๏ธโƒฃ Fianna Fรกil

3๏ธโƒฃ Fine Gael

4๏ธโƒฃ Social Democrats

โŒ CHART WATCH โŒ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Impact of Childhood Vaccination on Short- and Long-Term Chronic Health Outcomes in Children: A Birth Cohort Study
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ About 1 in 3 American women over the age of 60 is on psychiatric medications.

This trend has continued to worsen since at least 1999, as indicated by the upward shift period to period.

๐Ÿ’Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ’Š
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The United States of America is once again in possession of the highest price-to-earnings ratio in three world.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Money market fund assets as a percent of the S&P market capโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Big Bad AI Bubble exceeds the Dotcom Bubbleโ€ฆ โ†—๏ธ CHART WATCH โ†—๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Performance of the NASDAQ 100 following (1) the Netscape IPO and (2) the release of ChatGPT.

The Netscape IPO (light blue) started trading in August 1995. ChatGPT (dark blue) came out in November 2022.

๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The Russell 2K ($IWM) vs. the S&P 500 ($SPY) Small caps are back. ๐Ÿ“ˆ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“ˆ
๐Ÿค‘ Will Ethereum & the Russell 2000 break out to new highs like Bitcoin & the NASDAQ 100?

Whatever happens, since mid-2021, these two assets ($ETH, $IWM) do it togetherโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“Š CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“Š
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ S&P 500 firms have less and less to say about inflation. ๐Ÿ“‰ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“‰
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trade & tariffs still top the list of firmsโ€™ most pressing concerns, but itโ€™s falling, while monetary policy, inflation, and labor availability are risingโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ“
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ This Chinese Technology ETF ($CQQQ) looks very much like the $KWEB Chinese Internet fund, about which I wrote on the 19th: Financial stimulus, low bond yields, & mandated buybacks are undergirding many of these equities, and the base on $KWEB looks technicallyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Historically oversold, General Mills, Inc. has returned to the dynamic support associated with its 40-year up trend.

$GIS is above the 50DMA ($49.81) & below the 200DMA ($56.00). Big volume came in on the 17th & 19th. Itโ€™s down 31% YoY and 20% YTD, but itโ€™s up almost 5% over the past week.

General Mills pays a dividend of 4.77% and is expecting a slight decrease in sales & free cash flow margin over the next year.

This is never financial advice.

๐Ÿ•ฏ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ•ฏ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Will the breakout continue in the Lithium ETF ($LIT)? ๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The breakout will continue as anticipated in the Lithium ETF ($LIT).

+25.85% in six & a half weeksโ€ฆ

๐Ÿงช CHART WATCH ๐Ÿงช
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ Topics by percentage of Trumpโ€™s UN speechโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CHART WATCH ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
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INTELRUNNER
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germanyโ€™s energy has stopped contracting, but wind has been a real letdown of late (there isnโ€™t much of it). Solar is doing better than ever (clearly the winner between the two in the grand European experiment), but it was renewed usage of coal that trulyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Share of Hungary's electricity generation by source. Solar has overtaken gas to become Hungary's second largest electricity source.

The four largest sources are shown; these made up 92% of electricity production in 2024.

โ˜ข๏ธ CHART WATCH โ˜ข๏ธ
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