INTELRUNNER
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INTELRUNNER
You would think we had already run far enough by 2023 to encourage herd expansion. Weโre up 90% so far this decadeโฆ
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Beyond broad, economy-specific US tariffs, attention is now turning potential US sectoral tariffs on semiconductors. President Trump has threatened that these could reach as high as 300%. If fully enacted with no concessions, such tariffs would undoubtedly ripple through the global semiconductor industry and across Asia, which accounts for most of the worldโs semiconductor manufacturing and supplies the bulk of US imports, as shown in chart 5.
For American consumers, a broad 300% semiconductor tariff would likely lead to higher prices for a wide range of electronics. It would also affect other products, such as cars, which increasingly rely on electronic components, reflecting the pervasive role of semiconductors in modern life.
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The situation in the Northeast provinces is well past critical. Those are the lowest fertility rates on the face of the Earth.
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Are they for the cartels? Or the Venezuelans?
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Willem Buiter, another former member of the Monetary Policy Committee, said that, unless Ms Reeves changed course, she would face scrutiny from the markets โthat will be at least as effective as the pressure from the IMF was in the 1970sโ.
He said the Chancellor โwill be forcedโ to break Labourโs manifesto and raise taxes on working people in the autumn to calm the bond markets.
โI think thereโs no realistic alternative to basically breaking the commitment not to raise key taxes, personal income tax, VAT, during this Governmentโs term in office. So she will be forced to do that,โ he added.
Oh yeah, great ideaโฆ
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INTELRUNNER
โWeโve still got bond yields that are even higher than the US. In fact, weโre even higher than Greece when it comes to borrowing costs, which is an indictment of where the UK is at the moment, or where itโs perceived to be by the financial markets.โ
Yeah, fair enough. In early 2016, still in the throes of their debt crisis, Greece was paying over 10pp more for 10-year debt. Now Greece is paying around 1.3pp less than the U.K.
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INTELRUNNER
Asking rents have fallen about 18% since mid-2022.
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INTELRUNNER
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INTELRUNNER
As it turns out, it never made it out of April, and a whole lot of โbuy Americaโ ensued in May & June.
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INTELRUNNER
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Newly trading on Polymarket.
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INTELRUNNER
Itโs gonna blow!
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INTELRUNNER
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