Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 52.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.3%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 48.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (35.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.0%)

AI: Strong payrolls report lowers 2025 cut odds; slight spring upticks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 45.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Kashkari’s caution lifted early-cut probabilities, trimmed totals; upward trend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 42.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓 January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.1%)
🗓 March: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.1%)
🗓 April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.2%)
🗓 June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: ≥4 cuts 42%; ongoing decline; inflation, Kashkari remarks weigh.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 42.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Slight dip in January cut odds after strong services data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 39.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.9%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Odds fell after weak jobs data suggested longer Fed pause.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.4%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.7%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.3%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: 4+ cuts 39.5%; June 53%; early cuts fade on jobs.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 37.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (6.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (28.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: Odds dip after Williams signals policy near neutral.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 36.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: 4 cuts 36.7%, Jan 4.1%, later higher; CPI impact.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 37.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (5.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (28.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (63.5%)

AI: Cut odds inch higher weekly, spurred by Miran's dovish remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 41.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (23.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.0%)

AI: Four-cut odds 41%; weekly uptrend after benign CPI data.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 37.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (17.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (23.9%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.5%)

AI: Cut odds fell on strong retail sales; downward weekly trend.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 38.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (18.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.6%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.5%)

AI: Cut odds: 38.4%, 18.1%, 27.6%; rise after Miran remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 38.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (28.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (53.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.8%)

AI: Bowman labor warning lifted March cut odds; rest steady.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 62.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (3.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (27.2%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (8.4%)

AI: ≥3 cuts odds 62.5%, boosted by Bowman’s dovish remarks.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 62.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (25.4%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (4.7%)

AI: No changes.

Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 39.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (1.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (20.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (26.5%)
🗓️ June: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (2.2%)

AI: No changes.