fed rate cuts
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (19.1%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (46.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (31.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Fewer cuts priced after strong GDP growth expectations.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 45.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (14.1%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (44.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (27.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Weekly decline persists; strong capital goods orders lowered cut odds.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (11.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (41.1%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Lower jobless claims shift cuts later; total cuts odds up.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (12.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (38.0%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (50.0%)

AI: Trend steady; Hammack trims March odds, gold lifts January.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (15.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (34.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Small probability changes following strong GDP report temper multi-cut expectations.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (13.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (34.3%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: Holiday sales strength trimmed January, June cut probabilities slightly today.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (13.7%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (34.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (30.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (13.7%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (34.1%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (32.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: Slight April rise in cut odds; weak confidence drives.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 51.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (13.7%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (36.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (32.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds rose; dovish minutes extend weekly uptrend. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/final-fed-minutes-2025-shed-light-policy-divisions-2025-12-30/?utm_source=openai))
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 51.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (11.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (35.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (33.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 50.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (11.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (35.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (36.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (50.5%)

AI: April cut odds rise on cautious Fed minutes, June slips.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 52.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (11.3%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (35.7%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (33.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (48.5%)

AI: Cutsβ‰₯4 52.1%, April down; PMI strength trimmed early cuts.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 52.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (36.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (33.3%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (48.0%)

AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 48.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (37.6%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (35.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (48.0%)

AI: Strong payrolls report lowers 2025 cut odds; slight spring upticks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 45.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (10.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (40.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (39.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Kashkari’s caution lifted early-cut probabilities, trimmed totals; upward trend.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 42.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (10.1%)
πŸ—“ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (39.1%)
πŸ—“ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (38.2%)
πŸ—“ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: β‰₯4 cuts 42%; ongoing decline; inflation, Kashkari remarks weigh.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 42.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (8.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (36.2%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Slight dip in January cut odds after strong services data.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 39.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (2.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (31.6%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: Odds fell after weak jobs data suggested longer Fed pause.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (3.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (30.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (31.7%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (52.0%)

AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (4.4%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.5%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (30.3%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: 4+ cuts 39.5%; June 53%; early cuts fade on jobs.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
πŸ”’ β‰₯ 4 cuts: 37.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
πŸ—“οΈ January: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (6.3%)
πŸ—“οΈ March: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (29.6%)
πŸ—“οΈ April: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (28.9%)
πŸ—“οΈ June: β‰₯ 25 bps cut (51.5%)

AI: Odds dip after Williams signals policy near neutral.
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