Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.5%)
AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.5%)
AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 51.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Cut odds up this week after weak Home Depot outlook. ([bloomberg.com](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-18/home-depot-cuts-forecast-on-weak-demand-for-big-ticket-items?utm_source=openai))
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 51.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Cut odds up this week after weak Home Depot outlook. ([bloomberg.com](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-18/home-depot-cuts-forecast-on-weak-demand-for-big-ticket-items?utm_source=openai))
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