fed rate cuts
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 92.6% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 41.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: No changes.
๐Ÿ–•1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 90.8% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 41.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (88.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: Government-shutdown data gap lowered December cut odds; minor shifts.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 58.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps hike (0.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.0%)

AI: Powellโ€™s hawkish tone reduced cut odds; trend turning less dovish.
๐Ÿคฌ6โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 73.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)

AI: Cut odds rise; bond yields drop on soft inflation data.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
โค2๐Ÿคฌ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (69.2%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)

AI: No changes.
๐Ÿคฌ3๐Ÿคฃ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 38.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (69.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)

AI: Cut expectations trimmed after Powell's hawkish comments; weekly downtrend continuing.
โค2๐Ÿ’ฉ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (68.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)

AI: Cut odds rose after weak PMI data and tariff worries.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 71.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.9%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (34.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)

AI: Higher cut probabilities after soft ADP jobs data; upward trend.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.8% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (33.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Cut odds dipped on strong US data; downward trend emerging.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 76.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 43.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (74.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds rose on weak jobs data; upward weekly trend.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 73.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)

AI: Post-strong jobs report trim December cut odds, raise later.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 72.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (73.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)

AI: January cut odds rise after weak sentiment; other probabilities stable.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 72.3% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 46.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (73.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (37.9%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)

AI: 3 cuts 72.3%, 4 46%; January slips after hot jobs.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 71.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (38.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 73.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 52.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (73.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.2%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.5%)

AI: Fed cut odds rose on soft labor data; weekly uptrend.
๐Ÿ”ฅ4โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 64.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 55.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (62.4%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ April: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Today 64%โ‰ฅ3 cuts, 55.5%โ‰ฅ4; decline from cautious Fed.
โค2๐Ÿ‘€2๐Ÿ‘1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 54.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (54.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ April: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Rate-cut odds slid on strong retail sales, hawkish Fed remarks.
๐Ÿคฌ6โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 49.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 5 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ April: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Hawkish Fed remarks lowered 2025 rate-cut odds this week.
๐Ÿคฎ5โค1๐Ÿ˜ญ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ April: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (38.5%)

AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 48.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 5 cuts: 44.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ April: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (37.5%)

AI: Three cuts 48.5%, five cuts 44.0%; hawkish Fed rhetoric.
โค2