Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 92.6% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 41.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps cut (99.0%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
AI: No changes.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 92.6% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 41.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps cut (99.0%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
AI: No changes.
๐1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 90.8% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 41.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (88.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)
AI: Government-shutdown data gap lowered December cut odds; minor shifts.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 90.8% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 41.9% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (88.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)
AI: Government-shutdown data gap lowered December cut odds; minor shifts.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 58.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps hike (0.1%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.0%)
AI: Powellโs hawkish tone reduced cut odds; trend turning less dovish.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 58.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ October: โฅ 25 bps hike (0.1%)
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.0%)
AI: Powellโs hawkish tone reduced cut odds; trend turning less dovish.
๐คฌ6โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)
AI: Cut odds rise; bond yields drop on soft inflation data.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)
AI: Cut odds rise; bond yields drop on soft inflation data.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
โค2๐คฌ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.2% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (69.2%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
AI: No changes.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.2% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (69.2%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
AI: No changes.
๐คฌ3๐คฃ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 38.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (69.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
AI: Cut expectations trimmed after Powell's hawkish comments; weekly downtrend continuing.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 38.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (69.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
AI: Cut expectations trimmed after Powell's hawkish comments; weekly downtrend continuing.
โค2๐ฉ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (68.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Cut odds rose after weak PMI data and tariff worries.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 61.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (68.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
AI: Cut odds rose after weak PMI data and tariff worries.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 71.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.9%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (34.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
AI: Higher cut probabilities after soft ADP jobs data; upward trend.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 71.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.9%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (34.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
AI: Higher cut probabilities after soft ADP jobs data; upward trend.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.8% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 39.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (33.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Cut odds dipped on strong US data; downward trend emerging.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 68.8% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 39.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (33.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Cut odds dipped on strong US data; downward trend emerging.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 76.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 43.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (74.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds rose on weak jobs data; upward weekly trend.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 76.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 43.7% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (74.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: Rate-cut odds rose on weak jobs data; upward weekly trend.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 44.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: Post-strong jobs report trim December cut odds, raise later.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 44.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: Post-strong jobs report trim December cut odds, raise later.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 72.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 44.1% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
AI: January cut odds rise after weak sentiment; other probabilities stable.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 72.9% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 44.1% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
AI: January cut odds rise after weak sentiment; other probabilities stable.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 72.3% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 46.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (37.9%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
AI: 3 cuts 72.3%, 4 46%; January slips after hot jobs.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 72.3% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 46.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (37.9%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
AI: 3 cuts 72.3%, 4 46%; January slips after hot jobs.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 71.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (38.6%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: No changes.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 71.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (38.6%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
AI: No changes.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 52.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.2%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.5%)
AI: Fed cut odds rose on soft labor data; weekly uptrend.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 73.4% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 52.6% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (73.8%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.2%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.5%)
AI: Fed cut odds rose on soft labor data; weekly uptrend.
๐ฅ4โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 64.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 55.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (62.4%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (52.5%)
AI: Today 64%โฅ3 cuts, 55.5%โฅ4; decline from cautious Fed.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 64.0% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 55.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (62.4%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (52.5%)
AI: Today 64%โฅ3 cuts, 55.5%โฅ4; decline from cautious Fed.
โค2๐2๐1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 54.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (54.1%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Rate-cut odds slid on strong retail sales, hawkish Fed remarks.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
๐ข โฅ 4 cuts: 54.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (54.1%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Rate-cut odds slid on strong retail sales, hawkish Fed remarks.
๐คฌ6โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 49.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 46.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Hawkish Fed remarks lowered 2025 rate-cut odds this week.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 49.1% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 46.8% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)
AI: Hawkish Fed remarks lowered 2025 rate-cut odds this week.
๐คฎ5โค1๐ญ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (38.5%)
AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (38.5%)
AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 48.5% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 44.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (37.5%)
AI: Three cuts 48.5%, five cuts 44.0%; hawkish Fed rhetoric.
๐ข โฅ 3 cuts: 48.5% probability
๐ข โฅ 5 cuts: 44.0% probability
Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐๏ธ December: โฅ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
๐๏ธ January: โฅ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
๐๏ธ March: โฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
๐๏ธ April: โฅ 25 bps cut (37.5%)
AI: Three cuts 48.5%, five cuts 44.0%; hawkish Fed rhetoric.
โค2