fed rate cuts
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (2.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (9.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (50.5%)

AI: Small changes follow Powellโ€™s dovish speech and slipping Treasury yields.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 86.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 47.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (2.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (89.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: 3 cuts 86.4%, 4 cuts 47.1%; Asia GDP beat.
โค2๐Ÿ”ฅ2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 42.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.2%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (89.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (50.5%)

AI: Higher yields after easing bank fears trimmed four-cut odds.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.3% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 60.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (92.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: โ‰ฅ4 cuts probability surges to 60.1%, extending weekly uptrend. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/us-fed-trim-rates-twice-more-this-year-2026-rate-path-very-unclear-2025-10-21/?utm_source=openai))
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 88.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 58.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 57.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (88.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.5%)

AI: Probabilities slipped; hotter CPI anticipation amid shutdown trims cut odds.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 91.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (46.0%)

AI: โ‰ฅ3 cuts 91.9%, rise from inflation miss; weekly uptrend.
โค4๐Ÿคจ2๐Ÿ“1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 8.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 6.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (94.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: December, January cut odds up; weekly upward trend from dovish signals.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 92.6% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 41.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: No changes.
๐Ÿ–•1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 90.8% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 41.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (88.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: Government-shutdown data gap lowered December cut odds; minor shifts.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 58.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps hike (0.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (71.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.0%)

AI: Powellโ€™s hawkish tone reduced cut odds; trend turning less dovish.
๐Ÿคฌ6โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 73.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)

AI: Cut odds rise; bond yields drop on soft inflation data.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (67.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (29.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds fell after hotter-than-expected September PCE inflation. ([bea.gov](https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index?utm_source=openai))
โค2๐Ÿคฌ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (69.2%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (44.5%)

AI: No changes.
๐Ÿคฌ3๐Ÿคฃ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 38.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (69.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (46.5%)

AI: Cut expectations trimmed after Powell's hawkish comments; weekly downtrend continuing.
โค2๐Ÿ’ฉ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 67.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 61.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (68.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (31.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (45.5%)

AI: Cut odds rose after weak PMI data and tariff worries.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 71.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.9%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (34.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (42.5%)

AI: Higher cut probabilities after soft ADP jobs data; upward trend.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 68.8% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (33.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Cut odds dipped on strong US data; downward trend emerging.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 76.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 43.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (74.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (36.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds rose on weak jobs data; upward weekly trend.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 73.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (72.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ March: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (40.5%)

AI: Post-strong jobs report trim December cut odds, raise later.
โค3