fed rate cuts
1.4K subscribers
237 links
Download Telegram
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 75.8% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 43.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (92.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (78.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)

AI: No changes.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 74.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 43.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (91.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (78.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (39.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 75.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (91.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (78.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (34.5%)

AI: IMF optimism lifts multi-cut odds; hot inflation trims January chances.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 77.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 46.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (92.6%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (77.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (36.5%)

AI: โ‰ฅ3 cuts 77%, boosted by rising jobless claims; weekly upward.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 78.3% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 46.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (93.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (80.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)

AI: 78.3%/46.2% odds rising weekly on softening labor data.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 78.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (94.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (80.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)

AI: Strong jobs data trimmed โ‰ฅ4-cut odds, slight October boost.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 78.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (94.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (81.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (41.0%)

AI: No changes.
๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿฅด1๐Ÿณ1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 79.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (94.3%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (81.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (43.0%)

AI: โ‰ฅ3 cuts 79.9%, โ‰ฅ4 44.8%; rise after dovish speech.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 88.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 45.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (95.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (86.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (43.0%)

AI: Uptrend: โ‰ฅ3 cuts 88.4%, October cut 95.7%; shutdown delay data.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 88.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 45.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (96.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (87.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (44.0%)

AI: Odds steady; Beige Book spurs tiny uptick in October cuts.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (4.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (11.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: Cuts โ‰ฅ3:87%, โ‰ฅ4:44%, higher January odds after Kashkari remarks.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.0% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 45.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (2.9%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (9.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: Cut odds edge higher on Musalem's dovish remarks; weekly uptrend.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 44.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (2.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (9.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (50.5%)

AI: Small changes follow Powellโ€™s dovish speech and slipping Treasury yields.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 86.4% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 47.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 50 bps cut (2.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (89.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (51.0%)

AI: 3 cuts 86.4%, 4 cuts 47.1%; Asia GDP beat.
โค2๐Ÿ”ฅ2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 42.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.2%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (89.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (50.5%)

AI: Higher yields after easing bank fears trimmed four-cut odds.
โค3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.3% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 60.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (92.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (53.0%)

AI: โ‰ฅ4 cuts probability surges to 60.1%, extending weekly uptrend. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/us-fed-trim-rates-twice-more-this-year-2026-rate-path-very-unclear-2025-10-21/?utm_source=openai))
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 88.5% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 58.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 87.2% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 57.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (97.7%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (88.5%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.5%)

AI: Probabilities slipped; hotter CPI anticipation amid shutdown trims cut odds.
โค2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 91.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 3 cuts: 59.7% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (98.8%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (46.0%)

AI: โ‰ฅ3 cuts 91.9%, rise from inflation miss; weekly uptrend.
โค4๐Ÿคจ2๐Ÿ“1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 8.1% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (90.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (47.5%)

AI: No changes.
โค1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 6.9% probability
๐Ÿ”ข โ‰ฅ 4 cuts: 39.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ October: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (99.1%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ December: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (94.0%)
๐Ÿ—“๏ธ January: โ‰ฅ 25 bps cut (49.0%)

AI: December, January cut odds up; weekly upward trend from dovish signals.
โค3