CryptoBullet
📉 BTC has come so close to our 2nd target we gave on Oct. 1st. Still waiting for a breakdown to the 200-Week MA (which currently sits on 3200) & the ultimate triangle target of 3000. 📌 That will be a very decent buying opportunity for a short term trade…
📈 BTC beautifully bounced off of the 200-Week MA. 3000-3200 zone held as we predicted. It’s what we were looking for.
Please, read the referred post. Hope you guys followed our recommendation to buy BTC at those prices.
Please, read the referred post. Hope you guys followed our recommendation to buy BTC at those prices.
The decline in prices towards $3000 per bitcoin has also seen a sharp decline in the hash rate. This suggests that prices have declined to a point where mining is becoming uneconomical for some miners, who have responded by turning their mining rigs off.
Look at the chart from JP Morgan showing the steep decline in bitcoin mining profitability this year.
Look at the chart from JP Morgan showing the steep decline in bitcoin mining profitability this year.
CryptoBullet
The decline in prices towards $3000 per bitcoin has also seen a sharp decline in the hash rate. This suggests that prices have declined to a point where mining is becoming uneconomical for some miners, who have responded by turning their mining rigs off.…
But that’s not a problem for Bitcoin yet.
❗️There is a point in the price of Bitcoin that is very critical for mining, security and infrastructure of Bitcoin. But that critical point is so much lower than we are right now. It is out of the question until Bitcoin is below $1k.
So it’s not a problem, there are many places you can mine with unreasonably cheap electricity. In addition, there are a lot of people that care about the decentralized money and will start mining in case if big mining companies go out. It‘ll still be strong enough not to get hacked.
Do not get worried about this.
❗️There is a point in the price of Bitcoin that is very critical for mining, security and infrastructure of Bitcoin. But that critical point is so much lower than we are right now. It is out of the question until Bitcoin is below $1k.
So it’s not a problem, there are many places you can mine with unreasonably cheap electricity. In addition, there are a lot of people that care about the decentralized money and will start mining in case if big mining companies go out. It‘ll still be strong enough not to get hacked.
Do not get worried about this.
💡This bear market could continue to last for another year, but with all the fundamentals (BAKKT, NASDAQ, Fidelity, and NY Stock Exchange heavily invested into crypto assets) it's safe to say Bitcoin & the crypto market has a bright future.
✏️To note: previous bear market lasted 1.5 year & it took 3.5 years for Bitcoin to break its previous all time high from the 2013 bull run.
Every boom/bust is different, but it’s only been a year since Bitcoin's 2017 all time high.
Patience is always rewarded
✏️To note: previous bear market lasted 1.5 year & it took 3.5 years for Bitcoin to break its previous all time high from the 2013 bull run.
Every boom/bust is different, but it’s only been a year since Bitcoin's 2017 all time high.
Patience is always rewarded
If I gifted you, what would you rather take: $10k in BTC or $20k in any other crypto of your choice but you can't touch it for 5 years. What would you choose ?
🎄With Christmas around the corner, it is time to engage in celebrations. May Santa Claus bring happiness, success and glory to you. May you and your family are blessed with a wonderful time and an amazing year ahead.
Merry Christmas! 🎅
Merry Christmas! 🎅
CryptoBullet
If I gifted you, what would you rather take: $10k in BTC or $20k in any other crypto of your choice but you can't touch it for 5 years. What would you choose ?
📊 According to the poll, more than 50% of people choose Bitcoin, even if they are given double the money in any altcoin.
📌 It's important to understand that Bitcoin is the only coin you can hold for the long period of time because of the strongest fundamentals.
Bitcoin is best decentralized.
The concentration of wealth in any other coin is a lot more critical than in BTC.
[ When people complain that Bitcoin is too centralized in the hands of the few, it’s a thousand times worse in every other altcoin ]
Yeah, Bitcoin may be built on 10 year old technology (currently best programmers in industry try to improve it, so any issue will be solved), but it’s the trust.
📌 It's important to understand that Bitcoin is the only coin you can hold for the long period of time because of the strongest fundamentals.
Bitcoin is best decentralized.
The concentration of wealth in any other coin is a lot more critical than in BTC.
[ When people complain that Bitcoin is too centralized in the hands of the few, it’s a thousand times worse in every other altcoin ]
Yeah, Bitcoin may be built on 10 year old technology (currently best programmers in industry try to improve it, so any issue will be solved), but it’s the trust.
CryptoBullet
💭 Some analysts see the beginning of a new bull run in launching Bakkt and Fidelity’s new crypto platform for institutional investors. Challenge your thinking: "Bakkt & Fidelity's platform will get institutional investors to buy" This thought assumes that…
What can drive the bull market right now? 🤔
There are significant global news events that can set BTC to new all time highs quickly. For example:
• if the EURO currency breaks up into its components
• another banking crisis
• the elimination of cash by countries
so, news events of that caliber can drive BTC to new levels.
📌 Small news events are not gonna trigger the bull market. It needs to be a news event like on the global scale that affects the financial system more than it affects Bitcoin. The event should create dipper problems in the traditional financial system. Other than that bear markets end when the last seller has sold.
There are significant global news events that can set BTC to new all time highs quickly. For example:
• if the EURO currency breaks up into its components
• another banking crisis
• the elimination of cash by countries
so, news events of that caliber can drive BTC to new levels.
📌 Small news events are not gonna trigger the bull market. It needs to be a news event like on the global scale that affects the financial system more than it affects Bitcoin. The event should create dipper problems in the traditional financial system. Other than that bear markets end when the last seller has sold.
CryptoBullet
Bitcoin halving: 18 months to go .. [ The halving is the 50 percent reduction in block rewards on the Bitcoin blockchain ] A look at Bitcoin’s chart shows that both halvings have been followed by significant bull runs. 📌 Lot of people still underestimate…
Does Bitcoin have a potential expiration date?
📎 What happens when the mining subsidy is gone after subsequent halvings and what then can possibly sustain miners to continue securing the network?
First of all, there are enough people that will mine altruistically at a loss because of the utility they get.
When you have your life savings in Bitcoin, it will come almost as a utility bill. You may be willing to run that one miner and pay that $50 a month for electricity knowing that you’re helping decentralize the network and help process transactions.
And almost the same thing with businesses mining at a loss. In the long term future we can see a company, who is getting a good chunk of its revenue from the fact that Bitcoin exists, spend some money to run a mining farm to make sure Bitcoin survives.
💡We are not strangers for paying at a loss. For example, you don’t have to pay your electricity bill, it’s a loss for you, but you’re gonna pay that bill, because it makes your life easier.
📌 If something is vital to your business or to you having money that would appreciate in value because of the deflationary nature and that is not controlled by government, why not pay a bill to keep that going?
📎 What happens when the mining subsidy is gone after subsequent halvings and what then can possibly sustain miners to continue securing the network?
First of all, there are enough people that will mine altruistically at a loss because of the utility they get.
When you have your life savings in Bitcoin, it will come almost as a utility bill. You may be willing to run that one miner and pay that $50 a month for electricity knowing that you’re helping decentralize the network and help process transactions.
And almost the same thing with businesses mining at a loss. In the long term future we can see a company, who is getting a good chunk of its revenue from the fact that Bitcoin exists, spend some money to run a mining farm to make sure Bitcoin survives.
💡We are not strangers for paying at a loss. For example, you don’t have to pay your electricity bill, it’s a loss for you, but you’re gonna pay that bill, because it makes your life easier.
📌 If something is vital to your business or to you having money that would appreciate in value because of the deflationary nature and that is not controlled by government, why not pay a bill to keep that going?
🔴 Guys, we would like to express our sincere gratitude for you being part of CryptoBullet channel.
We are happy to unite best people in crypto space. We will continue to do our best to navigate you.
This bear market will eventually end. But when? We think that in 2019 we will turn into the bull market. Let's make it together!
🎄Wishing you all the best in 2019.
We are happy to unite best people in crypto space. We will continue to do our best to navigate you.
This bear market will eventually end. But when? We think that in 2019 we will turn into the bull market. Let's make it together!
🎄Wishing you all the best in 2019.
#BTC
🔴 Inverse H&S pattern is easily spotted
Volume continues to decline which is going to lead to major price action likely in the coming days (the trend says down sub $3k, but..). Traders start feeling tension, so it’s the best time for fakeouts. Be on the look out.
Some traders treat this very obvious iH&S pattern on the opposite in order not to be fooled. Anyway there is a chance that iH&S here probably is another illusion to rekt traders, but guess what happens when the majority is waiting for the opposite outcome.
💡Frankly speaking, we think there is a strong chance to see a completion of this potential iH&S pattern with 5k target.
Even if this pattern gets invalidated, we believe that we will go close to 5k in Q1 of this year to lure more people before retesting the bottom and breaking it.
🗻 Big Picture: the probability of $3200 being the bottom is around 30%. We think we need to go lower with more red volume to end this bear market.
📌Also look how the daily chart continues to struggle against the 50-day MA. Failure to break above may result in a drop to 3450. Once we close above it, the next point of resistance becomes the prior swing high at 4200. If we make it back to 4200, there is a very high probability of breaking it.
👉What bothers us is that Longs continue to get highly leveraged as Shorts continue to deleverage on Bitfinex. That actually sets up a scenario for more downside pressure.
Also on Monday 7th January 2019, Bitfinex will be offline between three to seven hours for data migration. Perfect time for manipulation.
🔥Next couple of days can be pretty interesting.
🔴 Inverse H&S pattern is easily spotted
Volume continues to decline which is going to lead to major price action likely in the coming days (the trend says down sub $3k, but..). Traders start feeling tension, so it’s the best time for fakeouts. Be on the look out.
Some traders treat this very obvious iH&S pattern on the opposite in order not to be fooled. Anyway there is a chance that iH&S here probably is another illusion to rekt traders, but guess what happens when the majority is waiting for the opposite outcome.
💡Frankly speaking, we think there is a strong chance to see a completion of this potential iH&S pattern with 5k target.
Even if this pattern gets invalidated, we believe that we will go close to 5k in Q1 of this year to lure more people before retesting the bottom and breaking it.
🗻 Big Picture: the probability of $3200 being the bottom is around 30%. We think we need to go lower with more red volume to end this bear market.
📌Also look how the daily chart continues to struggle against the 50-day MA. Failure to break above may result in a drop to 3450. Once we close above it, the next point of resistance becomes the prior swing high at 4200. If we make it back to 4200, there is a very high probability of breaking it.
👉What bothers us is that Longs continue to get highly leveraged as Shorts continue to deleverage on Bitfinex. That actually sets up a scenario for more downside pressure.
Also on Monday 7th January 2019, Bitfinex will be offline between three to seven hours for data migration. Perfect time for manipulation.
🔥Next couple of days can be pretty interesting.
#BTC
Inverse H&S didn’t break out to the upside, got rejected at the neckline. It is no longer valid.
📌 Longs on Bitfinex were too overleveraged + declining volume (pointing out the move to sub 3k), that’s what we were worried about and why we gave a warning about the risk for BTC price to roll over to the downside.
💡Now it’s becoming increasingly likely BTC will retest the lows around the 200-week MA (which is not good at all from the technical perspective) to form a Double Bottom.
Let’s see if this is just another "lower high" and if BTC continues to consolidate or moves to support range 3300-3450. We are not completely bearish yet. Expecting a reversal at the support. Before making a new low we should see 4400/4600. It’s reasonable for Q1 of this year to be green to lure more people before creating new lows. We were expecting sub 3k going into Q2, but with the turnaround in the market recently, the odds of that are decreasing.
Again, Big Picture: the probability of 3200 being the bottom is only around 30%. We are convinced that we’ll go lower this year.
Inverse H&S didn’t break out to the upside, got rejected at the neckline. It is no longer valid.
📌 Longs on Bitfinex were too overleveraged + declining volume (pointing out the move to sub 3k), that’s what we were worried about and why we gave a warning about the risk for BTC price to roll over to the downside.
💡Now it’s becoming increasingly likely BTC will retest the lows around the 200-week MA (which is not good at all from the technical perspective) to form a Double Bottom.
Let’s see if this is just another "lower high" and if BTC continues to consolidate or moves to support range 3300-3450. We are not completely bearish yet. Expecting a reversal at the support. Before making a new low we should see 4400/4600. It’s reasonable for Q1 of this year to be green to lure more people before creating new lows. We were expecting sub 3k going into Q2, but with the turnaround in the market recently, the odds of that are decreasing.
Again, Big Picture: the probability of 3200 being the bottom is only around 30%. We are convinced that we’ll go lower this year.
CryptoBullet via @vote
Where do you think the final bottom for Bitcoin will be?
anonymous poll
2000-2500 – 246
👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 40%
BTC has already bottomed – 207
👍👍👍👍👍👍 34%
1600-1900 – 59
👍👍 10%
below 1k – 54
👍👍 9%
1000-1400 – 50
👍 8%
👥 616 people voted so far.
anonymous poll
2000-2500 – 246
👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 40%
BTC has already bottomed – 207
👍👍👍👍👍👍 34%
1600-1900 – 59
👍👍 10%
below 1k – 54
👍👍 9%
1000-1400 – 50
👍 8%
👥 616 people voted so far.
Guys, who passed the poll, thank you for this! Now we have information to work with.
As of now, we see that 32% of people think that BTC has already bottomed. It corresponds to our probability that we've already seen the bottom (we give it 30% chance). We don't want you to change your mind, but take the assumption that we'll go lower and be ready for another potential 50% drop. So those, who think we BTC won't go lower, definitely should have fiat to average just in case.
💡All October we were insisting that 6k eventually would not hold the price and we would go significantly lower. Now we are 40% lower. And we don't see that the last seller has sold. Also we haven't hit bottom because people are still calling garbage coins "gems". We think that the next big drop will mean the end for the shitcoins.
📌We are almost certain that the bear market has not ended yet and that we'll go lower this year.
Now what's interesting, 41% of those who voted think that BTC will hit the bottom somewhere between $2000 and $2500. We kinda agree with you, this is a fit range to be the final stop, but there is smth to say in this regard further.
Going to 1000-1400 range is reasonable because it's the high of 2013 bull market and it should be tested. We guess it's the obvious stop for BTC and market makers may not allow you to buy at those levels, but anything can happen.
⚠️ There is a small chance of getting a wick just under 1k. And if you are reading it and taking it seriously, you should prepare for any outcome, even sub 1k prices if you are lucky to buy so cheap. But what bothers us is that closing under $1k on the weekly basis (❗️) means a disaster for the whole ecosystem: BTC existence will be threatened.
As of now, we see that 32% of people think that BTC has already bottomed. It corresponds to our probability that we've already seen the bottom (we give it 30% chance). We don't want you to change your mind, but take the assumption that we'll go lower and be ready for another potential 50% drop. So those, who think we BTC won't go lower, definitely should have fiat to average just in case.
Bear markets end when the last seller has sold. 💡All October we were insisting that 6k eventually would not hold the price and we would go significantly lower. Now we are 40% lower. And we don't see that the last seller has sold. Also we haven't hit bottom because people are still calling garbage coins "gems". We think that the next big drop will mean the end for the shitcoins.
📌We are almost certain that the bear market has not ended yet and that we'll go lower this year.
Now what's interesting, 41% of those who voted think that BTC will hit the bottom somewhere between $2000 and $2500. We kinda agree with you, this is a fit range to be the final stop, but there is smth to say in this regard further.
Going to 1000-1400 range is reasonable because it's the high of 2013 bull market and it should be tested. We guess it's the obvious stop for BTC and market makers may not allow you to buy at those levels, but anything can happen.
⚠️ There is a small chance of getting a wick just under 1k. And if you are reading it and taking it seriously, you should prepare for any outcome, even sub 1k prices if you are lucky to buy so cheap. But what bothers us is that closing under $1k on the weekly basis (❗️) means a disaster for the whole ecosystem: BTC existence will be threatened.
🎓 Corrections take place in price and corrections take place in time.
🗞 The bad news is that by not being able to have a strong dead cat bounce into 5k and then taking extra time to get back down to 3k, we’re probably gonna go lower than most people think, because time has to run its course.
And if the price can not delay the time to get us to sub 3k by having a reasonable dead cat bounce & staying a little bit higher, it’s a big trouble for the bulls.
🎯 With that being said, we are looking at sub $2000 prices as an ultimate bottom of the bear market (if we can’t have a very good bounce)
🗞 The bad news is that by not being able to have a strong dead cat bounce into 5k and then taking extra time to get back down to 3k, we’re probably gonna go lower than most people think, because time has to run its course.
And if the price can not delay the time to get us to sub 3k by having a reasonable dead cat bounce & staying a little bit higher, it’s a big trouble for the bulls.
🎯 With that being said, we are looking at sub $2000 prices as an ultimate bottom of the bear market (if we can’t have a very good bounce)